madwx

very chilly out there this morning. 40 degrees with gusty NE winds. models have been ramping up the rain event here Tuesday. definitely will get 1" and a good chance at 2

daily record of 87 in Madison, breaking the previous one set in 1977 and 2012

Don’t sleep on tomorrow evening in southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois.

At least some of these cells must be above the inversion at 850 mb

Plenty of supercells with hail but everything is still pretty sky high. Watching for any mergers or nudges. Especially the cells south of Madison

Cells popping up all over. Winds backed nicely. Bases are a little high but cell level processes bring them down a bit

Can’t argue for much more in low level wind fields

79/69 at the house. feeling pretty good so far. Only real concern is if things form just a little northeast of here.

Altocumulus flowing overhead this morning. No better feeling

I’m buying this event and am ready to wedge tomorrow

Hit 30 at the house and 32 at MSN this morning.

FYI. For those not trolling, this is a time to really not pay attention to the GFS. Skill scores are some of the lowest I’ve ever seen for anything mid to long range

Was an amazing day out. Got up to 69 at the house. Rest of the week should be beautiful too - in the 60s and 70s

thinking things will trend drier and warmer over the next 10 days but definitely some cool days mixed in, especially this week. looking at a change to SW flow and more active conditions around the 15th which should last through the end of the month (this is tied to indian ocean convection which climatologically flares up around this time - hence late May being a classic tornado stretch for the plains)

up to 0.79" this morning with more showers throughout the next 2 days.