ILSNOW

I will take the RGEM for $1000 please

the 12z HRRR Alek snow

Is there any hope for us here in the midwest or more of the same to be expected? This is from the snowmonger Joe Bastardi!!!! Monster stratwarm going on right now Lets see what that means for March 10-April 10 ( target response period)

Looking forward to the late March snowstorm where we get 3-6 inches that melts away in less than 24 hours. This winter (take away 7-10 days in Jan) has been horrific and I truly can’t remember the last time we had a during the day.

here is the 1st one nice 1017 low moving thru IL

next chance at snow is on 372 hour 18z GFS

not sure how good the GFS is with freezing rain 12z

nice 20:1 ratios to fluff up the snow

Chicago NWS The models and their ensembles are coming into better agreement with a period of snow to spread across the area Thursday night into Friday morning. While there isn`t much qpf, perhaps no more than 0.1 to 0.15 of an inch, it will be so cold that snow ratios of 15:1 to perhaps 20:1 are likely, allowing for a fluffy snow. Given these trends, have bumped up pops to categorical with at least a few inches of snow possible across the entire area. Given how cold both the ground and air temperatures will be, the snow will quickly accumulate. Winds will shift to the northwest as this snow is ending and increase and gust, possibly into the 25-30 mph range. So if we do get a few inches of new fluffy snow, blowing/low drifting snow will be possible.

off an on light snow

18z GEFS Mean (10:1)

These GFS snow numbers are at basically an 8:1 ratio for almost the entire event. Storm does have great potential but would have one for the books if we had a cold air mass in place with 12 or 14:1 ratios.

Storm what are your thoughts for the area?

Well in excess of 8 inches does include 9-17.

18z NAM looks pretty good. Question for the pros if the NAM or Euro outcomes occur on Friday would the ratios be closer to 10:1 or as crappy as todays?