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Everything posted by ILSNOW

  1. KLOT update UPDATE... 1157 AM CDT Showers and thunderstorms have begun to expand in coverage across wester central into north-central Illinois. In collaboration with DVN, we have expanded the Flash Flood Watch to the remaining forecast area. Latest radar mosaic shows the corridor of developing activity to be better focused toward the western sections of the area. Morning DVN and ILX soundings show precipitable water values of greater than 1.8 inches with latest RAP analysis shifting this a bit westward. While far northern and northwestern areas have seen less rainfall in recent days, the efficient precip production and potential for multiple rounds of showers and storms thought that expanding the watch was prudent. Do not think that the threat has changed much for the original watch area as high water already exists and showers and thunderstorms are beginning to develop. MDB
  2. Getting pounded last 1/2 hour here in buffalo grove and have the neighbors kids swimming in a newly created lake in my backyard
  3. You are correct we got 0.00 here!!!
  4. 12z NAM very different then Euro and GFS
  5. 12z GFS V16 is clearly the only model with a handle on tomorrow
  6. didnt know where to put this National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 504 AM MDT Sun Mar 14 2021 ...HISTORIC AND CRIPPLING WINTER STORM WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT ALL OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS WEEKEND... ...WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TODAY...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA... ...CONDITIONS UNLIKELY TO IMPROVE UNTIL AT LEAST EARLY MONDAY... ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Very heavy snow and blowing snow. Total snow accumulations of 20 to 30 inches with local amounts up to 50 inches above 8000 feet elevation. Wind gusts up to 60 MPH.
  7. 12z GFS is drinking again and then this on Thursday
  8. GFS in conflict with its self (doubt it happens) and GEM a little further south
  9. snippet from Milwaukee Satellite imagery was indicating a few convective elements just on the north side of the low, which is forecast to track through the area later this afternoon and evening. The fgen forcing along the front is a bit stronger than forecast and seeing some higher snowfall rates occurring over IA this morning but whether those rates translate east into our area is questionable. Bufkit profiles do show an overlap of this better forcing from the fgen band the dendrite zone, so certainly could support a few higher rates AND The dry slot based on guidance should stay just south of the region but if it does meander north a tad could see more limited snow across the WI/IL border.
  10. GFS version a little later in the weekend (likely hood of occurring pretty low) and the v16 for the same time frame
  11. my bad the McHenry snow shield remains in place
  12. ukie showing a liitle McHenry love next Wed/Thur
  13. Ended up with about 6-7 here from Sunday night and yesterday just never got into the good snows like cook county did.
  14. 23z HRRR still bringing it with an additional 17 inches over northern cook
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