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About sbnwx85

- Birthday 10/04/1985
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KSBN
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Gender
Male
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Location:
South Bend, IN
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Shoveled the driveway during the lull before round 2 moves in. The band seems narrower. We’ll see what damage it does before it sweeps off tothe west. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
In for the long haul? UPDATE... Issued at 842 PM EST Wed Jan 14 2026 Lake effect band continues to organize further, remaining generally in place from Benton Harbor to South Bend to Bourbon then curving to Wabash. Minor fluctuations in its position are occurring with a slight eastward shift over the past 20 to 30 minutes. Shouldn`t deviate too much from this area for at least the next couple of hours or more as sfc obs show convergence between Plymouth and Goshen. Reports slowly trickling in with roughly 2 to 3 inches in SW Kosciusko county, 6 inches and counting in South Bend. Headlines still looking good for now, although an expansion of the advisory may be needed into Miami and Wabash counties. Regarding amounts, will be taking a close look at them with a likihood of shifting the heavier axis slightly east through 6Z. Upstream obs show the flow isn`t in a hurry to shift until influence of the low lessens. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Up to 10”. Four inches in the last hour. Top tier stuff. Still ripping. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Brother it is rippin. 5” so far and 2” more for every hour this bad boy hangs outz -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I’ll try not to be (too) annoying tonight. Looks like the band is stopping its westward momentum and trying to come back east. Would be huge if true. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Getting the goods but stuck in a windowless producer booth. Lame. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
18z NAM moves the band around a little more. Kind of a "widespread" foot for much of St. Joseph and LaPorte in IN and Berrien in MI. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm working dayside (which is rare) and producing a show, so I haven't had time to really pay too much attention to how things have evolved locally. There's probably a couple of inches on the ground already, and the main band has already taken shape to the east. There's a 2nd band over my house inSouth Bend that is producing nicely. I'm currently between the bands at work. Would be wild if the NAM is right and the main show sets up to the east over Elkhart. HRRR still wants to move it west and drop 40" over LaPorte. Putting it in between over South Bend would be the dream. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
To that point, I can vividly remember being under a moderate risk, and the weather service/media was bangin the drum about it all week. Then I overheard a father and daughter asking each other if it was supposed to rain. I wanted to shake them violently. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah, I've learned a lot from both guys -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Several models dumping at least 20". There aren't any mesolows on the models disrupting the band, aka moving it around, so wherever it parks has a real shot at 2 feet. IWX mentions land breeze may cause the band to drift, but not too drastically. They also mention two dominant bands. With my luck, I'll end up in between the two. Snow rates will likely exceed 2" per hour overnight and this will be at least 20:1 ratio stuff, maybe as high as 30:1. Things will get out of hand quickly underneath the main band. High risk, high-reward setup. Edit: Also winds will be gusting 35-45 mph... could make for a real big mess.
