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KeenerWx

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About KeenerWx

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  • Location:
    Crown Point, IN

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  1. KeenerWx

    February 2019 Discussion

    Pulled raw daily data out of MRCC cli-MATE into excel & did quick absolute value calculations on varied time periods - e.g., 2 day, 3 day, 4 day.
  2. KeenerWx

    February 2019 Discussion

    Since 11/1/1958, this is what I see on a four-day swing for ORD: #1 1/31/1989 (65) - > 2/4/1989 (7) | 58 #2 1/2/2004 (61) - > 1/6/2004 (9) | 52 #3T 2/2/1965 (0) - > 2/6/1965 (49) | 49 #3T 2/3/1996 (-5) - > 2/7/1996 (44) | 49 #3T 12/29/1984 (63) - > 1/2/1985 (14) | 49
  3. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Any guesses as to how much has been put down?
  4. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Worried that my bullish trigger on the LE will struggle to pan out. 80/94 north still looks good in Lake County, but that band is struggling to make penetration inland. Guess we'll see!
  5. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Agreed. Should be decent area coverage of 6”+. Flakes flying here north of CP. Should start to get some more excitement by 5-6A.
  6. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Wonder how Tim & the Kankakee County crew are doing. Looks like there’s been some decent plumes playing in the eastern half over the past hour or so.
  7. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Respectable showers making their way all the way down to Iroquois County.
  8. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Lock 'er up, Hoosier.
  9. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Yep, looks like a max of 0.68 around the Gary vicinity. Fairly widespread 10"+ amounts in the core of Lake County. Chicago proper even cashes in around 4-6".
  10. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Looks like we were refreshing at the same time.
  11. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Looking forward to seeing how it depicts full evolution. Streamers look to be hitting IKK right now. EDIT: HRRR is going to slam Lake County...
  12. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Yep. Pretty consistent agreement that LE signal will start to really crank around 9-10P, and impacting the western shore of LM until about 5-6A. Looks like NWI will spread spoils throughout the day on Sunday. Verbatim, output seems to favor localized jackpots in a Gary-Chesterton-Valpo-Merrillville box, roughly. Excited to watch it unfold!
  13. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Looping through the mesoscale model interpretations is interesting. Merely entertainment, but the 18Z HRRR had a pretty wild interpretation. This will be a fun one to watch unfold. Not necessarily for big dump potential, but the evolution. Field seems to have widened with regards to who is at play, but I still feel the general consensus around spread & totals seems to be on track. Someone in Lake (poss. Porter, too) will pull 6-8". ...now watch me regret saying that and Michigan City activates its magnet.
  14. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Guidance now putting more emphasis on a highly transient lake band. Significant mesolow influence toward the second half of its lifecycle, too. Seems to now max out over Porter, but with so many cards on the table I’d be hesitant to place a bet on “ground zero”. General spread the wealth looks likely, with some interesting lollipop potential in NWI.
  15. KeenerWx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Going to be a nail-biter with LE, as always. Some of the latest mesoscale indications seem to point towards a band that is organized, yet a bit transient in nature. Of course how it reflects will always be up to any hyper localized influencers. For NW Indiana as a whole, I'm thinking 2-4" from the storm with another 2-4" north of 30 for the LE. Lollipop potential north of 80, especially in Lake County. (I.e., I generally agree with your range)
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