Harry Perry

Until Saturday. Looks like we’re headed back to the hills with high heat indices for the weekend into the beginning of next week.

Generally speaking from heat-waves in the past with dews that high, the temps seem to under-perform a bit around here. Be interesting to see if that will happen this time around, especially after this deluge.

Yeah, it’s getting that 06z HRRR messy look. Have a couple of cells that have popped to the SW of here, but they’re behaving. Also another weakening sign, infrequent intra-cloud lightning with soft thunder. Sounds like one of those noise makers for sleeping.

We’re on the compression stroke. It’s coming. Heavy sun here and 85°

Wouldn’t be surprised by a trim of the northward most ENH based off MOST of the short range guidance. Just looks messy (with some embedded rotating updrafts) Better environment south of the MI/IN/OH border this afternoon.

Especially after Friday and we get into the heat-dome with nocturnal MCS. Cue some Johnny C.

Goguac Lake in Battle Creek. All-sport lake. Good fishing. Little bit of everything and walking distance from home.

I don’t know about all of that, but I do know that I’m enjoying one above normal day on the lake today before the weather turns to shit for the rest of the foreseeable future.

Frosty start here this morning at 35°. Coldest I remember for the start of met summer. Also see the high temps backed down several degrees for this week. One 80° day looks likely Tuesday now. Should stay pretty comfortable for the first week of June.

How. The entire state has had SO much rain, especially mid Michigan. The ground is literally saturated. Next weeks “heat-wave” getting shorter and shorter per some guidance. Would end the week into the weekend with mid 50’s, rain and another upper level low lol. Even some Saharan dust (more mud rain).

This shit is for the birds. Hopefully Memorial Day turns out.

Yeah I feel like it’s going to be way more scattered this way. 23z HRRR vs. actual imagery is no where near the same. Everything is further north and south. Granted there will be outflows that will probably blow some storms overhead (which could be more of a bad thing really, just less coverage). There’s a tongue of mid level moisture working in from the southwest right now that might also fire some storms around the Gary/South Bend area, along the LLJ with available cape should blossom, but time will tell.

Trends between 20z and 22z would also agree, the tail is further and further north with each run. May end up with nothing here as well. Big bust potential.

Not sure if I ever recall this for MBY. Impressive to say the least.

Yikes, going to be a wild ride this evening. Someone’s going to end up with monster hail out of this setup.