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About roardog

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  • Location:
    Caro, Michigan
  1. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    They did just have an update saying they’re thinking 3-5 inches north of M-59 now. They changed the wording in the advisory to say 2-5 inches but that covers a large area including the southern areas that are expected to mix with or change to freezing rain and sleet.
  2. February 8th-11th Overrunning Event

    If guidance tonight continues to forecast the heaviest snow for tomorrow to be near our area, I’m sure the NWS will increase amounts a little. I could see them going with 3-6 inches instead of the current 2-4.
  3. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    I won't believe any model that shows a strong, wrapped up low coming at us(rain or snow) from the SW until I see it.
  4. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    It looks like this storm is going to be the biggest snow of the season so far for here. We only had about 3 or 4 inches with the big December clipper and this storm will beat that.
  5. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    If an early Spring to you is March 2012 then you'll probably be dead before that ever happens.
  6. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Everywhere. He’s relying on the MJO rotating through the warm phases, therefore placing a trough from Alaska down to the west coast and blow torching most of the country. He said he expects most places from the plains to the east coast to average 3-5 degrees above average during the period from Jan 20-Feb 10.
  7. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Bastardi is all about a big thaw between January 20th and February 10th. I don't recall him ever forecasting a big thaw. lol
  8. January 2018 Discussion

    Too bad Lake Erie isn't frozen over. It could have been a blizzard of '77 remake. lol
  9. Mount Agung volcano

    So it's still erupting just no major eruptions yet?
  10. Patches and piles left here.
  11. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    I don't know. neither the GFS nor the Canadian Ensembles have the trough hanging back that far to the west at day 10. I wouldn't be surprised if the Euro is keeping too much trough out west. It does that sometimes.
  12. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Wasn’t there a big rain to snow event in early February in 2006? I think I remember getting nearly a foot in that storm. I thought Detroit got snow too because I think that was the year the Super Bowl was played in Detroit and there was all sorts of hype about the storm.
  13. December 8-16 Clipper Regime

    I wasn’t even paying any attention to this latest system until today as I was just expecting it to stay SW toward your area but that sure changed. Now it looks like a top end clipper, although I’m still too far north to get the best snow. The 18z Nam nudged a hair north though giving me more snow. Maybe the 0z will continue the trend.
  14. December 8-16 Clipper Regime

    It looks like we were right. I knew it wouldn’t be cold and dry here. Below normal temps in Michigan in December almost always find a way to snow.
  15. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Well if it turns out dry, that’s alright because maybe Agung will blow it’s top and you can get some snow showers next June. Lol