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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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About ORH_wxman

  • Rank
    SNE wx FOCUS
  • Birthday 07/14/1981

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KORH
  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    KORH
  1. February 24/25 Mixed Bag / Moderate Event. CNE NNE centric

    Elevation may be important for icing in SNE. Pretty steep lapse rate up to about 900mb. Classic elevation icing sounding down here. Usually doesn't matter up your way but down here we see it fairly frequently. That said, the total qpf is pretty meh so it won't be a lot of accretion but for travel purposes the icing def may be going on for hours in the hills.
  2. February 24/25 Mixed Bag / Moderate Event. CNE NNE centric

    Yeah this isn't an obs thread for tonight. Use banter/obs for that or make a specific thread for tonight.
  3. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    Next Friday and perhaps Saturday.
  4. February 24/25 Mixed Bag / Moderate Event. CNE NNE centric

    Looks like garbage for most of SNE. Could see some brief sleet/snow in N MA and maybe need to watch for some marginal prolonged ice in N ORH county over to N Berks. But yeah, this could have been a good event for a huge chunk of the forum if the antecedent airmass didn't suck. It does look promising for NH up into ME
  5. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    Yeah that is a slow moving juggernaut on that look.
  6. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    Yeah I have always been understanding your points on the NAO FWIW. One aspect about this particular episode which I think is somewhat important (Scott and I were briefly chatting about this earlier tonight) is that we are getting the strong block with a west coast trough...so we're ejecting a lot of potential out of the southwest US every few days into the teeth of a big block. That is asking for bowling ball blue bombs in March...if this was April or even May, we'd be bemoaning our bad fortune of a train of cutoffs sliding underneath a Labrador/Davis strait anti-cyclone of death dooming us to our fate of a week's worth of 44F gale force drizzle while its 75F and sunny in Rochester, NY on the backside of the trough with sinking air. Of course, maybe this doesn't pan out at all in the next 15-18 days and we are left with the infamous Tip cosmic screwjob of watching Philly get blitzed while we are high and dry and then Maine get hit while we enjoy a rainstorm. Always possible. But this particular NAO does seem to warrant closer attention given the state of the pacific. Ironically (as mentioned above) one of the few times we actually may want a -PNA and west coast trough.
  7. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    ORH had 36 inches. Would've been all time biggest but official records didn't start until 1892 there so missed by 4 lousy years.
  8. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    Maybe some N of pike but otherwise it's mostly 34F rain. Could start as brief sleet/snow early morning though.
  9. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    This is what the NAO can do. Obviously it doesn't guarantee big storms but it helps slow the flow and you get stalled bowling balls whereas in a fast flow pattern that really isn't possible.
  10. The Revs quick Flip Frozen Freakshow

    Yeah still thinking. Need a solid 4"+ though. Not sure they get there but maybe. Hard to get reports. Find out what polar Peter had.
  11. February is upon us - pattern change is in order

    Absolutely no robust reason to discount the early March signal about 7-8 days out. That could def hit us. It could miss too. Any prediction right now is 95% conjecture.
  12. The Revs quick Flip Frozen Freakshow

    Still on the NNE train for Sunday myself. Don't think we get anything in SNE...maybe a brief burst of snow/sleet on the frond end before it flips to a miserable 33F rain...we will def be CAD'd at the surface during that event but the antecedent airmass is mostly garbage. Otherwise we'd prob be talking a solid 4-6er on the front end south of NNE.
  13. The Revs quick Flip Frozen Freakshow

    Lot of pinging here the past 30 minutes. Goes in waves...we go from virga to pinging.
  14. The Revs quick Flip Frozen Freakshow

    Radar def looks very good but keep in mind this is going to be fighting the polar high to the north which is supplying a lot of dry air. So that does help in wetbulbing the column but it will also tend to try and chew up the precip a bit too. So you end up with some virga on the northern side which makes the radar presentation look better than ground truth. Still, the frontogenetic forcing is pretty strong so we will have to watch for an east-west band of moderate to heavy snow later this afternoon. It really could go either way...trace to a couple inches or someone gets lucky in a band and we see some 3-4" amounts. Nowcast.
  15. The Revs quick Flip Frozen Freakshow

    RPM even gets a couple inches into BOS. Looks like a couple 4 spots in the berks
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