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About ORH_wxman

  • Birthday 07/14/1981

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  1. I like the marginal snow sounding over the interior on the NAM for early Sunday morning. Prob at least some pingers in there with that super cold layer near 900.
  2. Nice mother's day weekend disaster on the Euro....awful. Hopefully trends back south...or at least trends north to give us good rain. But that solution is the worst. dogshit temps and mist but not a ton of precip outside of SW CT.
  3. Trends are def good. When you get defined east-based Nina, December comes in big fairly frequently (see 2017, 2007, 2005, 1995, 1970)...keeping it weak is better though for later in winter as noted by the '95 and '17 analogs....'05 didn't really follow that mold though you could say Feb '06 was a bit unlucky and we should've scored more than that one coastal.
  4. Hopefully the Euro is more correct with the cutoff staying well south...so we'd at least be far enough north to get a decent amount of sun and avoid the horrific onshore flow. GFS on the other hand basically makes it a full-on mother's day weekend massacre.
  5. Agreed. Wind was way down today which felt amazing.
  6. Snowfall in last hour/Snow depth change since last 6 hour obs/ Snow depth
  7. Look at the peak of the heavy snow....mid afternoon.....they prob wouldve gotten 20"+ if it was 6 hours later.
  8. Just had a shower come through.....dropped temp back below 50 briefly. Best spring week of the year continues. We'll see if we can pull a freeze tonight to add to the summer preview.
  9. Bump....this was actually pretty well-forecasted by model guidance.
  10. Got up to 55F earlier this morning but it has since dropped to 51F and clouded over and wind has been picking up. Awesome weather for 4/27....best spring ever continues.
  11. Early summer cancelled again on the Euro this run. In line to bend us over for mother's day weekend. Hopefully it goes back to the 00z look.
  12. Some of the LR stuff looks interesting....maybe get our first taste of summer in here.
  13. Yeah and that's not too surprising given that this month has been wet too...at least until very recently.
  14. 75F is semi-arbitrary, but it's hard to not achieve that temp when the month is above normal. IT's a decent number for April.....70F in March is a similar benchmark or 65F in February. Just speaks to how we did it in April 2022....most of the warmth this april was front-loaded where a 60-65F high on April 2nd produces a solid positive departure. We've pissed away a chunk of that AN surplus that we banked in the first half of the month...I noticed ORH is down to +1.9 on the month and BDL is down to +1.7....and those will be whittled down further in the final week here. So yeah, it's prob not going to be too far off from typical April dogshit, except we did it in surgical fashion as to avoid the 75+ weather we typically see in the low-elevation sites by month-end.
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