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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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About ORH_wxman

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    SNE wx FOCUS
  • Birthday 07/14/1981

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KORH
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  • Location:
    KORH

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  1. ORH_wxman

    Spring 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    2015 was kind of like 2010 for you guys except it lasted a bit longer and had and extra 3-4 feet of snow in the process. Think 90-110 inches in 3 weeks instead of 40-60". Pretty crazy stuff for both areas actually compared to climo. Those stretches are rare so prob not happening again anytime soon but you'll prob see some 35-40" months within the next 2-3 years unless we get unlucky.
  2. ORH_wxman

    Spring 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    Yeah it's sneaky good at times. Flies under the radar. Big gradient in northeast RI but Cumberland is typically on the better side of things....esp N of 295. Either way, as long as it's not a total ratter, his first winter should feel pretty snowy there.
  3. ORH_wxman

    Spring 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    Yep....lol. Resident world champion accordion man is from Cumberland. Parts of the town are over 500 feet actually. Yeah its quite variable in elevation there. Obviously you gotta find the best availability for places to live....but anything up near Diamond Hill park is going to be pretty good. If you go to Woonsocket, you actually probably want to be on the southwest side of town near 146.
  4. ORH_wxman

    Spring 2019 New England Banter and Disco

    Welcome Fozz! Depending on exactly where in the Woonsocket/Cumberland area you are, you can expect between lows 40s and low 50s for snowfall average. I've circled the area those towns cover...the far SE side of Cumberland can be in the low 40s. You want to be north of 295 in Cumberland where the better hills are, and the extra latitude away from the bay def helps too...the area I circled in white is where you'll be in the 50"+ seasonal average range:
  5. Yeah I would have changed it to 2021-2025 if I could have voted again a couple years later.
  6. PIOMAS gives you a chance this year. Cryosat2 doesn't look very promising...pretty big differences this season in the two.
  7. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    May '67 had 2 separate snow events in the interior hills. May 6-7 and then May 25th....the latter had 6-8 inches in the Monadnocks. Incredible for almost June.
  8. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    The lack of sun this May is 2005-esque....not quite on the level of that 3 week shitstorm with only a few days off between reloads....but it's in the same solar system anyway. So many days of slate overcast and light precip intermixed with an occasional bluebird day.
  9. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    Well to be fair...there's really not a lot of "synoptic" meteorology involved in a May snow event...at least in terms of larger scale pattern. Wavelengths are shortened to the point where we aren't looking at a teleconnection to hint at a May snow threat like we do in, say, February. I know you already know this....so what does that leave to discuss? Well, the smaller scale....we did discuss some of the smaller scale synoptic features like how the ULL was a bit too far northwest to really drive a stronger conveyor....that's how we get something bigger like a May '77. This one just couldn't dig down enough to prodce something more significant. While a few flakes in May down to 600 or 800 feet in May isn't historic, it's definitely pretty rare. My guess is we'd have quite a bit of discussion in here too if we were looking to push mid 90s on a heat ridge...granted, probably not quite as much as the snow slop threat, but still a lot more than typical May weather. This one probably had a bit more discussion too because some of the model guidance leading into it was a bit more threatening. If the same result had happened except it was the other way around....models showing little threat of snow at all, and then a few folks did get some flakes...the discussion would have been a lot more muted due to lack of anticipation.
  10. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    He's saying that we should focus on weather that normal people like. The one problem with that is that normal people don't spend time discussing weather models or forecasts. The people who are interested in meteorology are mostly sick like us...they want snow, or severe weather, or epic flooding, etc...they don't want San Diego weather.
  11. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    https://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=box And then select "NOWdata" on the tabs...its the furthest one to the right
  12. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    Agreed on both counts...that's def water. The temps obviously didn't support ice, but you can also see a total lack of deformation in the appearance of the water...if it was ice, I'd expect to see some stretching/distortion of the droplets as it accretes/freezes.
  13. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    Models trended the wrong way in the final 24 hours or so. The sfc low shunted east while the ULL was way back NW in the adirondacks...we wanted a tighter system with a longer period of deeper lift. Still impresive for mid May though even as is. Looks like ORH prob had some mixing as they reported UP overnight at 36F.
  14. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    ORH is down to 39F so flakes at WaWa is def realistic.
  15. ORH_wxman

    May 2019 Discussion

    Maybe some cat paws but the residence time is poor. I'd love to see some big lift bright banding over an area for like 2 hours and that's what will do the trick. But SNE is about to get dryslotted, so our deeper lift may be over in a bit unless something regenerates.
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