cmillzz
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Would be shocked if it doesn't end up being at least top 10 warmest.
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it’s been fairly mild for most of Northeast this fall, though not a complete blowtorch like the Midwest/Plains has been seeing. The Northeast may cash in on that warmth toward the end of the month though, just in time for Halloween.
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very warm look for the Midwest
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Decent storms overhead here. I keep forgetting average highs are in the low-mid 60s now and my perception of what a “normal” fall is supposed to feel like is becoming skewed. More seasonable weather for the rest of the week, but the extended sure looks warm after the Fri/Sat cooldown.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
cmillzz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The weather will do what it does, regardless of our expectations. We can analyze the patterns, but getting emotionally attached to a particular outcome doesn’t really serve a purpose. Unfortunately, some people become so invested in what they want to happen that when the pattern suggests otherwise, objectivity gives way to defensiveness. -
Wow, MSP hit 90° again today. Latest back-to-back 90° days on record.
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The record was indeed tied today, impressive stuff.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
cmillzz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
looks manic tbh -
It was still a top 10 warmest September for Chicago in spite of that, though obviously aided by the first four days of the month, which were a complete blowtorch.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
cmillzz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
dude is a living meme -
CPC gave Texas the highest chances for above average temperatures, yet it ended up coolest relative to average, so there you go. With your line of thinking, they may as well have put the entire country in the "equal chances" zone.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
cmillzz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If the anticipated decay of the Niño occurs during that timeframe (or ideally later), it would favor another warm and active spring for the Midwest especially. I’ll take it. -
Late July 2013 featured a legitimately impressive cold snap, with daytime highs barely reaching 60° in Madison, which was truly October-like. Today, by contrast, temperatures have already climbed into the 70s despite the rain and persistent northeast winds, so it's not really all that noteworthy. Though I suppose it may feel that way after the hot July we just had.
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Take a look at their July temperature outlook, issued on the final day of June, and compare it to how the month actually played out. I'd take their monthly outlooks with a grain of salt.
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The bigger story is that July 2026 ended as the sixth warmest July on record at MSP, which is especially notable given the ongoing, strengthening Nino. Bringing up the earliest snowfall on record isn’t relevant and doesn’t feel appropriate to add in the discussion.
