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About Hoosier

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    Griffith, IN

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  1. Nice little focused/clustered October severe day
  2. Made it to the mid 80s here. Definitely near top tier warmth for the 10th of October.
  3. I suppose I'll take a middle ground between SPC and Chi Storm. I think the size of the risk area is overdone but I think the threat extends east of IL.
  4. Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI/LOWER OHIO VALLEYS NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES... ...SUMMARY... Strong/isolated severe storms -- including potential for hail, locally damaging winds, and a couple of tornadoes -- are expected to spread from the Mid Mississippi Valley region early, north-northeastward into the Upper Great Lakes through the evening/overnight hours Monday and into early Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough digging south-southeastward across California and the Great Basin Monday will evolve into a closed low, which is expected deepen and turn eastward overnight reaching the southwestern Utah vicinity Tuesday morning. Ahead of this system, a negatively tilted short-wave trough will be shifting northeastward across the Lower Missouri and Mid Mississippi Valleys during the day, before crossing the Upper Great Lakes region overnight. Meanwhile, ridging will remain in place -- aligned roughly along the Appalachians. At the surface, a cold front associated with the western U.S. trough will sweep across the Great Basin and into the Four Corners states. Meanwhile, a cold front shifting eastward out of the southern Plains toward the Mississippi Valley will weaken with time, while an associated/weak frontal low advances northeastward from Missouri to Wisconsin/Upper Michigan through the period. ...Mid Mississippi Valley northward into the Upper Great Lakes... Showers and scattered thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from western Illinois/Missouri south-southwestward to southeastern Texas, ahead of an advancing cold front. A couple of stronger storms ongoing early could pose local risk for severe weather. After a few hours of local/limited risk, diurnal heating through late morning and into the afternoon will permit sufficient destabilization to allow gradual reintensification/redevelopment of storms, from Illinois to the Mississippi Delta region, then spreading northward and northeastward through the afternoon. Though flow aloft will remain largely south-southwesterly/unidirectional, sufficient speed shear combined with weak veering through the lowest 1 km or so suggests that locally severe/rotating storms will evolve, with threat for damaging wind gusts, along with some hail risk and potential for a couple of tornadoes across a relatively broad geographic region. A bit more uncertainty exists with northward extent, and into the evening hours, into the Great Lakes region. While ascent will spread across this region supporting a continuation of convection through the evening and into the overnight hours, less substantial instability -- diminishing further in tandem with diurnal cooling -- suggests that severe risk will wane gradually from late evening onward. ..Goss.. 10/10/2021
  5. It is the 150th anniversary of the Great Chicago Fire. LOT put this together for anyone who is interested. https://www.weather.gov/lot/1871fire
  6. Also worth pointing out that the high temperature departure was greater than the low temperature departure at ORD in September. I know warm mins will sometimes be used to act like it's "fake warmth" or something.
  7. I think both (departure and temp) are useful. It's impressive that we are still pulling off significantly + months with relative ease as the normals have risen.
  8. Chicago was +3.9 for the month, which tied for the 5th warmest September on record.
  9. It would appear that it will be a warmer than average month.
  10. Having to contend with a se ridge wouldn't be a strange concept particularly in a Nina.
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