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Hoosier

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About Hoosier

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KIGQ
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Griffith, IN

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  1. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Drought expanded a little overall Probably going to take a long time, relatively speaking, to get out of the hole for parts of Missouri
  2. We had a winter thread by this point in previous years so if somebody wants to make one, go for it. I agree that there's not much to go on this early though, with ENSO state probably being the most "knowable" factor.
  3. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Looks like ORD might get Powerballed today (barring a late bump)
  4. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    From LOT A discussion in the office this morning about recent rainfall trends and the relative condition of our lawns (crunchy in Plainfield versus lush and green in nearby Naperville) prompted a look at two-week observed totals across a wider area. The stark contrast between northwest Will County and southern DuPage County certainly is evident, even across such a short distance. In general northwest Indiana and portions of northern Illinois north of I-88 have seen considerable rainfall these past two weeks, at least compared to the area roughly south of I-88 and west of I-57. Even within the areas of larger rainfall totals there have been pockets that received quite a bit less. The latest forecast suggests a low pressure system moving through the region toward midweek could bring at least some relief to the drier areas.
  5. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Hey, I remembered http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2000-08-29/business/0008290072_1_tom-skilling-fox-offer-weather
  6. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Tom is an icon. I don't know how many other mets have a weather segment as long as his (easily 5-6 minutes long from what I recall). I think FOX or some other Chicago affiliate tried to pry him away from WGN a while back but it's hard to picture him anywhere else.
  7. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    It would be nice if there was a way to search by category... like you select D4 and it shows you all the maps that have had D4. (Edit: after poking around, just found how to sort by category) Pretty significant 6 month precip deficits out in that area of Missouri
  8. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    There is a tiny spot of D4 on the Drought Monitor in Missouri. Not 100% sure but I think that is the first time D4 has appeared in the Midwest since the summer of 2012.
  9. Probably a combination of things. I'd also add that the Frankenstein corn these days (as cyclone called it) could be a factor especially outside of the urban core... more evapotranspiration makes it harder to lose that warmth overnight.
  10. Hoosier

    2018 Short to Medium Range Severe Thread

    Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 1217 PM CDT Mon Aug 6 2018 .UPDATE... 1217 PM CDT Overnight convection and debris cloudiness is generally dissipating and this trend is largely expected to continue as we head into the afternoon hours. The composite outflow/cold front has been pushed south and while it is somewhat ill-defined, appears to extend from west central IL across our southern CWA into northern Indiana. There are some modest pressure falls over eastern IA into northwest IL late this morning, but those falls are likely more the result of the meso-high moving east more so than a response to the approaching shortwave trough, thus look to be rather transient. Speaking of said shortwave, GOES-16 differential water vapor RGB late this morning shows a fairly well defined shortwave trough moving eastward across northern IA. This shortwave should continue eastward and likely provide some large scale ascent across the area this afternoon. The big question at this point is where the surface boundary will end up this afternoon. Given trends in visible satellite imagery, would expect the boundary to lift/mix northward some this afternoon. Certainly the southern half of the CWA stands the best chance of making it into the warm sector and destabilizing, while northern CWA looks like cloudiness and easterly winds should prevent significant destabilization. As often seems to be the case, the demarcation line roughly looks to set up in the vicinity of I-80 later this afternoon around the expected time of convective initiation. The farther south placement of the boundary should result in a bit more of a disconnect between the stronger flow aloft/better shear and the stronger instability and expected sfc based storm development. Despite this disconnect, glancing blow from the stronger flow aloft is progged to support 0-6km bulk shear values of 25-30kt in the warm sector. Certainly not overly impressive, but should be enough given moderate-strongly unstable conditions to support a severe risk from what looks to be primarily a multicellular convective mode. In time, there should be a tendency for storms to evolve into short line segments, any which that become perpendicular to the mean westerly flow could produce some localized swaths of damaging winds. The 1630 UTC SWODY1 outlook appears to nicely depict the greatest threat area, which would be within the SLGT risk. Have updated pops/wx to focus highest pops southern CWA this afternoon/early evening. Its possible that northern portions of the CWA could end missing out on getting significant (or possible much of any) rain from this system. Also, lower high temps a bit northern CWA to account for the greater cloud cover and easterly winds. Updated grids have been sent and forecast text products will be out momentarily. - Izzi
  11. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Indeed, ORD has dropped into the mid 70s.
  12. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Yeah, no other way to say it. I can't really remember seeing a watch issued and then the entire thing getting cancelled less than 90 minutes later.
  13. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Yeah we'll see. Current motion would bring it toward ORD, so the question is how robust it (and outflow) is by then.
  14. Hoosier

    August 2018 General Discussion

    Assuming the low of 78 at ORD holds up the rest of the day (it should), it would tie the record high min from 1881.
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