Jump to content

hawkeye_wx

Members
  • Content count

    3,181
  • Joined

  • Last visited

1 Follower

About hawkeye_wx

  • Birthday 10/10/1974

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KCID
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Cedar Rapids, IA

Recent Profile Visitors

2,231 profile views
  1. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Most models are now showing the dry moat through central Iowa. An initial band of snow streaks across northern Iowa, then the main system organizes well south. I had been saying how Iowa needed the PV lobe to back off, but maybe it's a case of 'be careful what you wish for'. The PV is backoff off, but the main energy is digging even farther south.
  2. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    The 12z FV3 has slowed the PV lobe noticeably compared to the 00z run, allowing the main energy to amp up a little more... definitely an improvement.
  3. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    The euro is at least flat and weak with that lead wave compared to the GFS.
  4. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    I was just going to post that. The UK doesn't appear to have that PV lobe crashing southeast through the lakes on Saturday. Iowa needs that lobe to back off as much as possible. Otherwise, that nice energy moving in from the plains is going to dive southeast and leave us with only modest snow from an initial lobe of energy that shoots out of NE/SD. Tonight's UK actually has that initial lobe of snow passing through southern MN.
  5. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    You are right about that lead piece of energy and its strength having an influence on the main storm. However, also check out the GFS 500 trend to see the main energy going from tucked under the Hudson Bay gyre to holding farther west and able to be suppressed by that lobe crashing down from the nw on Saturday.
  6. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    The GFS has been slowing the main energy in recent runs, trending toward the euro. If the main energy is not quick enough to sneak underneath the Hudson Bay gyre(previous gfs runs showed this), it'll tend to be suppressed more, like the euro.
  7. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    12z UK is very similar to the euro.
  8. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Ryan Maue tweeted the 12z euro 144 hr map. That sure looks familiar.
  9. hawkeye_wx

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    The 12z FV3 is about as good as it gets... a series of snow events and reinforcing cold through the end of the run. That would make a lot of us forget about the first half of winter.
  10. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    If we get a bunch of cold, dry power on top of the current snow, with strong wind, good luck measuring.
  11. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019

    I finished with 4.8" from 0.46" liquid. Considering I was expecting 2" early yesterday, I'm quite happy. I still want to see some heavy snow rates, but this was a nice light to moderate daytime snowfall. When the wind is light enough to use my snow boards, I like to clear one or two of my boards in the 8-12 hour range, depending on how long the snow is expected to last. I don't clear every 6 hours, even though that is acceptable, because it feels like I'm cheating. For this storm, my uncleared main snow board finished with 4.5" while the boards that were cleared halfway (~8 hours) finished with a combined total of 4.8".
  12. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019

    When the wind is relatively light, I use a few snowboards in the open part of my enclosed backyard.
  13. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019

    This. Plenty of times during storms with ten hours of 0.5"/hr snow I've thought, "Yeah, this is nice, but give me some heavy snow." However, this is the first real snow I've actually seen fall this winter so I'm loving it.
  14. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019

    Up to 4.1" here, still snowing at 0.5"/hr. I never even considered more than 4" a possibility.
  15. hawkeye_wx

    Winter Storm!? Jan 12-13th, 2019

    There's a report of 14.5" southwest of Ottumwa in Iowa.
×