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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx

    Tropical Storm Karen

    The first visible loop this morning shows the surface vort popping out from under the convection.
  2. hawkeye_wx

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    And there you go.... the 00z Euro has 99L getting caught under the ridge. It sends a strengthening system steadily wsw into Cuba, a la Ike.
  3. hawkeye_wx

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    And just like that, it has been upgraded to TS Imelda.
  4. hawkeye_wx

    September 2019 General Discussion

    Stockton, IL, in the far northwest, has received a 12.03" of rain over the first two weeks of September.
  5. hawkeye_wx

    September 2019 General Discussion

    I picked up 0.40". The real heavy stuff missed just south. I've had several moderate rain events this month totaling 2.41".
  6. hawkeye_wx

    Major Hurricane Humberto

    As Levi just tweeted, it appears this system may be trying to organize farther northeast under the mid-level center. If it forms way out there, it's likely it would be swept out to sea and not be a big problem for anyone.
  7. hawkeye_wx

    September 2019 General Discussion

    All week, models had been advertising a nice line of storms pushing through Iowa today, but they pretty much skipped by Cedar Rapids. I picked up a tenth or so. Dubuque took the brunt last night and again tonight.
  8. hawkeye_wx

    September 2019 General Discussion

    Another nice cell overnight boosted my 3-day total to 1.60". Much, if not all, of the action over the next 24+ hours should be north.
  9. hawkeye_wx

    September 2019 General Discussion

    After becoming quite dry again recently, I picked up 0.51" of rain yesterday and another 0.78" this morning. We may get more later.
  10. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    That's a significant rise in pressure this morning.
  11. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Given the satellite appearance, I was expecting another drop in pressure, but apparently not.
  12. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The next recon plane is now off Cape Canaveral, so it should be getting into the storm in the next 30-45 minutes.
  13. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    A couple hours ago the eastern part of the CDO showed just a hint of warming, but since then the CDO has become more impressive than ever with very deep red. It's too bad there won't be another plane in there for the next few hours.
  14. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The dewpoint inside the eye is only 4ºC. I believe in Rita, at <900 mb, it reached 0ºC.
  15. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    If that location is in the eye, their barometer is way off. It says 982 mb.
  16. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The 915 mb dropsonde came about 15 minutes after the 913 dropsonde.
  17. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    There is also a NOAA plane flying in from the nw that is about to reach the eye.
  18. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I was just about to post that (longwave IR version). With Levi's site bogged down, COD is a great alternative. It is very speedy. Here's the IR version https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Gulf_Stream-14-24-1-50-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined
  19. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The chasers in Marsh Harbour are going to get the experience of their lives... and some incredible footage.
  20. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Eye dropsonde says 928 mb with 8 kt wind.
  21. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Well, I guess there's our answer. I thought for sure we already got 150 kt flight level data last night and NHC said that wasn't enough. Maybe the continued lowering of the pressure and even-more-spectacular satellite presentation convinced them to upgrade.
  22. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Remember, NHC said they are not trusting those very high SFMR measurements. They did not upgrade because the flight level wind did not meet cat 5 level.
  23. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Still no cat 5 flight level wind... "only" 150 kts.
  24. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    That's odd. On the weather.us maps, the UK never has the eye touching the coast.
  25. hawkeye_wx

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    00z UK stays offshore.
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