hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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The first visible loop this morning shows the surface vort popping out from under the convection.
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2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season
hawkeye_wx replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Tropical Headquarters
And there you go.... the 00z Euro has 99L getting caught under the ridge. It sends a strengthening system steadily wsw into Cuba, a la Ike. -
2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season
hawkeye_wx replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Tropical Headquarters
And just like that, it has been upgraded to TS Imelda. -
Stockton, IL, in the far northwest, has received a 12.03" of rain over the first two weeks of September.
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I picked up 0.40". The real heavy stuff missed just south. I've had several moderate rain events this month totaling 2.41".
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As Levi just tweeted, it appears this system may be trying to organize farther northeast under the mid-level center. If it forms way out there, it's likely it would be swept out to sea and not be a big problem for anyone.
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All week, models had been advertising a nice line of storms pushing through Iowa today, but they pretty much skipped by Cedar Rapids. I picked up a tenth or so. Dubuque took the brunt last night and again tonight.
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Another nice cell overnight boosted my 3-day total to 1.60". Much, if not all, of the action over the next 24+ hours should be north.
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After becoming quite dry again recently, I picked up 0.51" of rain yesterday and another 0.78" this morning. We may get more later.
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That's a significant rise in pressure this morning.
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Given the satellite appearance, I was expecting another drop in pressure, but apparently not.
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The next recon plane is now off Cape Canaveral, so it should be getting into the storm in the next 30-45 minutes.
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A couple hours ago the eastern part of the CDO showed just a hint of warming, but since then the CDO has become more impressive than ever with very deep red. It's too bad there won't be another plane in there for the next few hours.
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The dewpoint inside the eye is only 4ºC. I believe in Rita, at <900 mb, it reached 0ºC.
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If that location is in the eye, their barometer is way off. It says 982 mb.
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The 915 mb dropsonde came about 15 minutes after the 913 dropsonde.
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There is also a NOAA plane flying in from the nw that is about to reach the eye.
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I was just about to post that (longwave IR version). With Levi's site bogged down, COD is a great alternative. It is very speedy. Here's the IR version https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Gulf_Stream-14-24-1-50-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined
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The chasers in Marsh Harbour are going to get the experience of their lives... and some incredible footage.
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Eye dropsonde says 928 mb with 8 kt wind.
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Well, I guess there's our answer. I thought for sure we already got 150 kt flight level data last night and NHC said that wasn't enough. Maybe the continued lowering of the pressure and even-more-spectacular satellite presentation convinced them to upgrade.
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Remember, NHC said they are not trusting those very high SFMR measurements. They did not upgrade because the flight level wind did not meet cat 5 level.
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Still no cat 5 flight level wind... "only" 150 kts.
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That's odd. On the weather.us maps, the UK never has the eye touching the coast.
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00z UK stays offshore.
