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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Once again, for next weekend's system, models are trending toward turning the flow out of Canada and suppressing the storm. There has been too much of that this winter.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Take the ICON out, models peaked last night and have been slowly fading weaker and southeast. It's difficult to get deep moisture and strong forcing this far north when the lead wave pulls the surface front down to Houston and Atlanta.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Of course, just as the GFS goes bonkers with next weekend's system, the Euro goes the other way and is now progressive and weak until it gets to the northeast US.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    The super amped & nw ICON is an outlier this morning. The GFS, Euro, and UK are farther southeast, but still solid. The Canadian is way southeast and weak.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The ICON is ramping this up big time. Models are digging the upper trough for the midweek system farther west, which is allowing the energy that's rounding the base to lift more nw and amp up.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    06z Euro.... keeps getting better
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Models are steadily beefing up the mid next week system, lifting it farther north. Yeah, these beefier systems are still out there several days and details will change, but up until a couple days ago the deterministic Euro was still spitting out plenty of goose-egg 15-day snow maps. This is what it is showing now through 8 days... quite the change.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    The latest GEFS and EPS are both their best runs of the entire winter. A 6+" average over the entire region is pretty solid.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    Today was our 4th straight 50º day.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    I got a bit of rain (0.19"), but the majority of models were correct with the more south track.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    Our local NBC station recently announced a plan to dump all their mets and just use The Weather Channel, but they got backlash and halted the plan... for now.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    We hit 54º today as the clouds moved in. That's three straight days of 50º. Mason City hit 62º today.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Models still disagree about Cedar Rapids. We could get a half inch or nothing. Most models have trended south, but a few are hanging on.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    It definitely helps that the entire region has been snowless this winter. It would be much worse if I was sitting at 7" and Waterloo and Dubuque were at 35".
  15. hawkeye_wx
    We made it to the low 50s again today.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Now models are punting the chance of any real snow until mid February. A few more punts are we'll be moving on to spring.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Our low-water 3" of snow is vanishing quickly today.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Unsurprisingly, all the snow along the gulf coast is already gone.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    This weak disturbance barely showed up on some models, but it really over-performed across east-central Iowa. It started early this morning and it snowed here all day. My storm total is pretty solid 3.3". The first inch was 10:1 and the next two inches were 20:1.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    This morning's EPS is the first decent-looking run in a long time. In the 10-15 day range, it has a western trough, with snow-producing waves getting ejected into the midwest.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    Another nickel-and-dimer this morning. I've picked up 1.1" so far.. A bit more could fall through this afternoon.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    There are people in New Orleans showing measurements of 12". I have lived in Cedar Rapids for 50 years and I have never measured 12" from any storm.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    I was looking forward to watching heavy snow during the Eagles game, but so far it is rather disappointing. The precip is too scattered.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    It's amazing how stuck the pattern is this winter. It doesn't seem to matter which phase the MJO is in. We just cannot get a trough in the west.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Man, this winter is really brutal for snow lovers. I can't remember anything like this. An entire winter with little to no hope of anything is astonishing. Day after day, the ensembles out to 15 days are bone dry.
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