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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Wow, Humberto has had an epic collapse. In just a couple days it has gone from cat 5 to an exposed vort.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Imelda has a great outflow channel to the north, but it appears to be fighting dry air. Convection within the core is looking a bit ragged this evening.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Recon is finally into Humberto. The pressure is 929 mb. There are a couple wind maxima and the max wind on the first pass was only 120 kts flight level.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    It appears Imelda is fighting some dry air getting pulled in from the west.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The average high drops below 70º tomorrow. The forecast has mid to upper 80s for the next seven days.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    This thing really got stuck in the Bahamas, and has been slow to develop. It has barely moved in the last 24 hours.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    The T# is up to 7.0, which is 160 mph. This certainly looks near cat 5.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    I'm still not seeing anything in the recon plans regarding flying into Humberto. As far as I know/remember, they always fly into hurricanes within range, as Humberto clearly is.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    Models have consistently been predicting that Humberto would slowly organize today into early Friday, but then late Friday the shear would drop and the storm would begin to strengthen more rapidly and accelerate westward.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Another wild 18z Euro run.... has a 966 mb and a 933 mb hurricane off the coast.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The visible loop confirms 93L has a well-defined surface vortex. It just needs to exit the shear zone.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    This is going to be wild. Two hurricanes right next to each other off the southeast US coast? I've been tracking the tropics since the late 1980s and I can't remember anything like this.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    A nice line of storms moved southward through central and eastern Iowa last evening. It produced what may have been the best light show of the year. I finished with 0.66" of rain, a welcome soak. The solid storm a week ago and the one last night have re-greened the lawns a bit. My September rain total is 1.29".
  14. hawkeye_wx
    GOES is having trouble today. It has been almost two hours since the satellite data has updated.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    I'm curious to know why we have three recon planes flying all the way out to a tropical storm in the middle of the ocean, which isn't going to affect any land.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Gabrielle is getting its act together today. Recon shows the pressure down to 997 mb. The wind has not caught up, yet.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Ugh. The early to mid next week system is now expected to pass well south of Iowa, so models have really dried up through ten days again, and that's after barely getting anything the last couple days. The ensemble averages have been too optimistic with their prediction of a wetter pattern.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    It was looking like nothing would make it into Cedar Rapids today, but a storm cluster to the west tonight built eastward and gave us a very solid storm. I finished with a badly-needed 0.39".
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The models are trending up with rain over the next couple weeks. Some runs are showing a series of slow-moving lows moving across the upper midwest.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    I'm not looking forward to the upcoming heat and continued extreme dryness. I may have to run the sprinkler because the lawn is turning brown, which I would never have thought might happen a month ago when everything was wet and lush. The weather has been generally pleasant, but the combination of the US pattern and the dead tropics continues to be incredibly boring.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    The active MCS pattern we had in mid summer feels like ages ago. We needed a break, but it has been way too long.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    It has been 2.5 weeks without rain. The lawns have de-greened quite a bit. We could use a good soak again.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    June was boring, but the last several weeks have been one of our most interesting summer stretches in years. The recent break has been nice, although it has remained somewhat humid. That is finally over at about 9am this morning when the strong front moves through.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    90/80 here in Cedar Rapids. This is as hot as it has been all summer.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    I got yet another 1.44" of rain from this storm. This was expected to be a totally dry week. My August total is up to 4.32". Over the last six weeks my total is nearly 13 inches.
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