Those of us in the I-80 corridor really needed the big southeast Canada gyre to lift out, but it just isn't. It remains parked as the storm approaches, continuing the wnw flow across the lakes region.
I received 0.22" from this system. Some of the models were pretty bad, going back and forth from north to south. A few models, even up to last night, predicted several hours of light snow. We did not see a single flake.
Models have all gone back south with tonight's system, so I will likely get nothing. Even southern Iowa won't get much, though... just some modest rain and a bit of wet snow.
Booya! The 12z GFS has fully joined the Euro. A major wave moves into the pacNW, the eastern trough exits, but leaves cold air in place across the north, and we get a big snowstorm in the midwest.
It's still a week out, but, for the first time, the 06z GFS has joined the Euro in showing a much more amped wave moving into the pacNW, which then leads to a big event for the midwest.
The Monday night/Tuesday system may end up a bit more interesting than it appeared yesterday. Models had mostly gone south, with both the GFS and Euro showing nothing here. However, the Euro has jumped back north quite a bit and now has 2-3 inches of wet snow through central Iowa. The NAM agrees with the Euro. Other models are still south.
We are at least seeing the first tease of the season. The last couple Euro runs (and AI Euro) are the most bullish. The Euro then follows the storm with brutal cold... multiple days remaining below zero.
After the next week of mild air and light rain, the op Euro finally shows a major pattern change to active and cold...... and it STILL doesn't show a single dang flake of snow through the end of the run. It's unreal how difficult it can be to get snow around here.
We lost power for about 40 minutes. Tree branches have a good 1/4" of ice on them. There is up to 3/8" in spots. It's good that the icing is done. We have finally crept above freezing and the precip is diminishing.
The worst icing was over southeast Iowa, where as much as 1/2 to 3/4" of ice built up on the trees.
We got a solid glaze overnight, but it's not a problem for trees so far. The surface is also rough/bumpy due to a little sleet that got mixed in. We should get one more batch of heavier precip before the temp rises above freezing.
Iowa is way over-performing today. A couple days ago it was supposed to be upper 40s here. This morning it was raised to the low 50s. It is currently 59º. Central Iowa is in the low 60s.
The latest models have trended away from a good snow event. Instead, we get a fast zonal to nw flow that shears out any decent energy and suppresses moisture. This morning's Euro hardly has a sprinkle or flake here through ten days.