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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. The WPC has a moderate chance for excessive rainfall across southeast Iowa, nw Illinois, and southern Wisconsin this weekend. The forecast has widespread 3-5+ inches across that area. The discussion even mentions isolated 9" totals are possible. DVN thinks 10" is possible.
  2. After a brief respite, models are hitting Iowa with another wet period starting this weekend.
  3. 1.18" should be my final total. My July total is 8.54", almost the same as last July. The plants and lawns are very lush.
  4. I got 1.11" of rain overnight from a couple lines. Nothing too strong, but there was some solid lightning/thunder. The global models did not handle this system very well.
  5. The sirens went off at 2am here for severe wind, but it only reached about 50 mph. The line was also racing through, so we only got 0.33" of rain. Since mid month we've been very active, but we are only getting small amounts from each event.
  6. The overnight MCS scoured out the extreme humidity across Iowa, so we are not going to get the 80º dew point today. It's low to mid 70s instead.
  7. Most of Iowa didn't get much. It was mostly gusted-out weak crap as the cold pool dove into the humid air. Tonight may be the same -- strong up in SD/MN, but dying remnants down here.
  8. As expected, the big storms up in southern Minnesota raced south across Iowa overnight and fell apart. We got some moderate wind, but very little rain (0.20). The initial line was almost dry. It looks like tonight may be a repeat, with storms falling apart as they dive southeastward. We haven't gotten a lot of rain over the last week, but frequent small rains are keeping it moist. The lawns are growing like crazy. I have to mow every three days.
  9. It appears the 80º dew point will be back Monday. 50s and 60s dp will surge into the region later in the week. That'll feel good.
  10. The south models were correct about this morning's rain. I'm only getting some very light rain on the northern edge.
  11. It's unclear what tonight's disturbance will produce up here. Some models bring it up here and dump good rain, while other models keep it farther south and just scrape us with the fringe.
  12. Got a brief, but pretty heavy, downpour from the bubbly, gusting-out line very early this morning. I picked up another half inch of rain, so I'm now approaching 7 inches for the month. July 2024 was also very wet.
  13. Cedar Rapids hit a dew point temp of 81º this afternoon.
  14. The heavy rain went around me this morning, so I only got 0.25". This weekend's two MCSs only produced 1.18" here, which is a bit disappointing.
  15. We got our first vivid lightning, with loud cracks of thunder, of the year this morning. There was very little wind, though, despite the warning.
  16. I finished this morning's MCS with 0.93" of rain. As it moved in, it looked like a lot more would fall. We did get our best lightning and thunder of the year, by far, but the warm advection band weakened as it moved through and then the second line crapped out, too. We had a flash flood warning and a severe storm warning, but neither came close to verifying. Models are showing another MCS Sunday morning.
  17. Today's event turned into nothing. A disturbance is moving across Iowa, but the timing is poor. We got a brief light shower this morning and that should be all we get. The weekend is the next chance.
  18. 2.14" of rain fell this evening from the big MCS. The daily total is 2.43". This is my second 2+" rain event in the last week. July is up to 4.98". We had 3" in all of June.
  19. Nothing severe here, and very little, weak, thunder like always, but the wind is gusty and the rain is torrential. I've received an inch in only 15 minutes. I may exceed 2" based on radar. Radar shows a big eastward surge just north of Cedar Rapids. There is likely stronger wind up there.
  20. First tornado watch of the season (I think) has been issued for Cedar Rapids.
  21. The heavier cells have missed me so far. I got a few tenths yesterday and a few tenths early this morning. The storms later today could fire over me or mostly south and east. Some good sunshine would help.
  22. Models are pretty bullish for northern Illinois tonight. Training storms could produce some big rain totals.
  23. Medium-range models had been drying out through mid July, generally showing below average rain around here. However, we got the 2" event a few days ago and now the EPS is creeping back up again with precip across the region. With ridging in the nw and ne US, the upper midwest should be in a decent spot for moderate temps and regular rain chances.
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