hawkeye_wx

The NWS forecast often has upper 90s during these heat waves, but we rarely get higher than low to mid 90s.

All I got was a little bit of light rain. It took all morning just to get 0.12". As often happens with these summer morning storm events, it was fed from the backside by a low level jet. The nose of the jet remained to my west, so the storms continued to back-build, and any storm that tried to move east of that LLJ nose quickly vanished. Only a couple counties west and northwest widespread 1-3" fell. The year without thunderstorms continues, as if winter wasn't boring enough. Maybe next week's ring of fire pattern can finally produce something.

Maybe. Hopefully. The ridge is pretty strong.

The model trend is to keep much of the ring-of-fire storms to my northwest next week. There could be a band of several inches of rain up there while southeast Iowa and points east and south get nothing but heat.

Recon found 953 mb.

Yesterday's plains convection drove this system well south of the model forecast. It's a big bust for many locations across Iowa. I'm at least getting one more decent batch of general rain this morning. We are getting into late June, but we are still waiting for our first good thunderstorm. The vast majority of our rain this spring has been the stratiform type with little to no thunder.

We have received 0.53" of rain (all on June 3rd) since May 22nd. This is the time of year when we average 1.25" per week. The lawns are beginning to brown. From 2007 to 2016, I averaged 8" of rain in June, a pretty crazy wet stretch. We have not even reached average rain in June since 2020.

While we missed out on rain this week, the next two weeks are looking fairly warm and stormy.

The line of storms that moved ese-ward across northern Iowa yesterday produced a long path of 60-70 mph wind. They crapped out just north of me, but I still got 40 mph gusts from the outflow.

Yesterday morning's Euro run was just a tease. The mid to late-week storms have been lifted north again. Most models show little to nothing here. At least the garden will get some nice sun and heat.

There has been a big change on the Euro in the mid to late week period. The multiple rounds of storms that had been forecast to remain north of my area are now dropping farther south. Instead of zero rain, 1-2" is possible.

Not. We got a half inch of rain a few days ago and now models are trying to paint a dry bulls-eye over Iowa for much of June. Another severe-season snoozer.

This system was a dud for a large swath of sw through ne Iowa, where not much rain fell.... following days of models dropping 1+" across most of the state. I was lucky to get 0.53", with only a couple very low rumbles. Models are showing very little rain, again, for the next week+.

This week's decent rain system vanished on the models. We've gone from Tuesday washout to a few sprinkles/spritzes Tue-Thu.

My final rain total is 2.74".

It rained here all night... mostly light to moderate, but with a few downpours mixed in. My total is up to 2.30".

It is kinda looking like my area is going to make it to June with no real severe weather.

Tuesday is looking like a much-needed soaker for Iowa. We'll be north of the low, so it's possible we won't even get any thunder out of this.

I just had to dig up some plants I just got in the ground because the 50 mph wind was ripping them apart.

The GFS and the CAMs were right about the band of thunderstorms through central Iowa late this afternoon. I picked up 0.35" of rain, with plenty of rumbles and a bit of small hail.

It appears there won't be much to talk about for the next week or two. I guess that will make it easy to get my garden planted.

0.31" here overnight, maybe a bit better than expected. I was able to fill my rain barrel before we head into the long dry stretch.

Despite the warm, moist air surging north into Iowa, most models show little, if any, storm activity around here. Are we capped or something?

Early to mid spring, 2012, we received a fairly normal amount of precip around here. The spigot shut off in May.

My April total is up to 4.43".