We finally got some clouds today. A tiny cluster of clouds popped, along with some showers, right over the Cedar Rapids area, and it kept bubbling for a couple hours. I only got 0.13", but the clouds were nice and it helped keep the temp down a bit.
Another dying line of storms dropped 0.27" here last night, so I've only received 1.42" this month. The next two weeks look very dry. Some COCORAHS stations in far southern Iowa and northern Missouri are reporting 0.00" this month. Meanwhile, stations from central to northern Iowa and southern Minnesota have received several inches.
A bunch of rain fell just north and west of Cedar Rapids last night into this morning, but it's all crapping out before reaching us. I hope we can get something decent tonight because the next week looks dry again.
The SPC put out a meso discussion this afternoon for southeast Iowa into northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin, which included an 80% chance of a watch, which seemed odd. They were focusing on a band of cumulus through this area. However, the area is capped and no models have been predicting anything around here, only northern and western Iowa tonight. Nothing ever developed and the cumulus faded away.
The big question for us this week is when do the storms begin to reach our area. The Euro says Wednesday night, but other models say not til the weekend.
Why are the CAMs often bad with the lasting power and southward extent of an MCS like the one moving across Iowa this morning. Even as they rerun every 1-3 hours, they just can't see the south half of the line and keep trying to crap it out too quickly.
My rain total is 0.47", on the low end of guidance. This is about as awful as a June day can get. It feels like April. Let's get back to warm and humid with storms.
Models are trending south with the Sunday system. The CAMs are well south of my area with any storms. The Euro had been holding on a bit farther north, but it has caved this morning. I'm no longer expecting anything more than a light shower.
Here, farther north in the city, we got 50+ mph wind as the severe bowing missed a hair south. However, this is the second torrential comma head we've been under in the last week.
A bunch more rain behind the morning line boosted my daily total to 2.21". My June total is up to 5.97".
Just about everyone in eastern Iowa got 1-2+", so the drought concern is fading.
This week of high heat (DVN, a few days ago, had several days in the 90s, maxing at 96 today) is a bust. Monday-Wednesday we reached 80, 88, 83, with the rest of the week likely not even reaching 80.