powderfreak

14F and 0.75sm visibility -SN. Arctic small flake snow blowing and drifting a bit. It might as well be mid-January now.

6z EURO had quite the mid-level band across the north. Over 1" of QPF up here...more GGEM/RGEM than GFS/NAM.

November so far is heading in the right direction. It has still been instant winter in the mountains after the rapid end to summer this autumn. Long summer, early winter... A shot from today's system. The radiant heat cobblestones work well at these temperatures.

A photo from my way into work this morning... not sure if it was the warm temps or if there was some solid lift in the snow growth zone, but the snow seemed to stack well in this event.

ORH got me thinking about the RGEM, and I've always loved the old school liquid equiv snow maps they have. About as widespread a snowfall as you can get in New England, too. That's some 0.8" or more south of the pike as frozen on this prog.

That's an impressive 6-hr panel...

Nice! Jackpot in the NEK....also saw 9.6" for Lyndon Center, solid storm for mid-November. Winter Storm season is upon us.

Might as well add BTV's... they currently are thinking widespread 3-7" and that seems fair enough to me when blending all guidance.

First plowing of the driveway at home today... best estimate seems to be about 4" along with some slight compaction this afternoon. Now it's pouring snow, sleet and rain with the orographic precipitation. Enough to briefly slush up car windshields but it's essentially white rain. Just adding more moisture to the snow on the ground that should freeze up tight tonight. BTV mentioning 3-7" with the Friday event and I agree there. The bigger model runs are fun but realistically I think another advisory type event is in order. One heck of a great November stretch though. Multiple colder than expected storms prior to Thanksgiving is a good way to start the winter, as even today's event seemed to tick colder yesterday leading up to it...just like the one last Friday.

Damn nice! My best estimate was 6.5" at the base of Stowe. However with the previous event there's like 8-10" on the ground and it's heafty snow. Looks like winter.

But seriously, that conversation has been had today. Walking around the base area with a dense 8-10" on the ground and big snowbanks from the wet snow... a few coworkers were like man, you know how many times we'd die for this in January when we are getting Arctic flurries while NYC and Boston get a blizzard... when all we want is a good shot of QPF snow to resurface the slopes.

The funny thing is is far inferior will likely say the same to coastal zones in January, lol...wondering if we get into cirrus or just have a sunny day.

My defensive instincts think it's a bit south of here... like ALY CWA through CVT, CNH, ME. But the signal on a lot of these models are the mid-level Magic will lead to the haves and have nots. Whenever we see one of those arcing snow bands stretching from like NY to ME, a narrow area will get absolutely lit... QPF and snow maps won't be able to get it but one of those things you look at the SUNY MM5 Fronto plots 18 hours out to see where it will be.

Looks like nice banding all the way into NY state and western Mass too. Perfect track for some arcing mid-level band of goodies.

I may go back to WxBell as I went to get the Euro 4x... but they you realize you may not need it with all the other guidance out there. Weathermodels is hard to navigate to me.