Hoth

this guy does a good job modeling different scenarios.

Brother outside Worcester reports lightning hit a tree in his yard. Best outbreak of the year probably lol.

Dispatch from the front. https://twitter.com/PrakritiGaba/status/1244384878822645767

So much for keeping your eye on the ball. Jesus.

Even if my chance of death is low as a fit 35 year old, I'd still rather not face greater risk of requiring ventilation, intubation or having so much fluid in my lungs I'm turning blue and secreting a pink bloody foam, as is apparently often the case in that 15-20% of cases requiring hospitalization. Panic no, but very conservative behavior minimizing interaction with people, yes.

Some are considering universal DNR orders at this point. If you get to a certain point, they just let you go.

Here's my question: isn't this applicable to any disease? The weak almost always get hit harder.

Well, even with social distancing, our measures are imperfect. The fact that most people still regularly meet at a central marketplace to get groceries helps perpetuate transmission, for example. And some sizable segment of the population remains either ignorant or willfully cavalier about the risk. I was amazed to see virtually no one wearing gloves or masks or bothering to distance themselves at the super market three days ago. And look at the morons on spring break last week, or the crowds on southern Californian beaches. Also, our measures have not had the force of law behind them and have not been universal across the whole country. Lots of chinks in the armor. Finally, the damn thing is extremely infectious. They say the R0 is somewhere around 2.5, but I've seen some experts quoting numbers closer to 4 to 6. Tough to keep something like that down.

Indeed. In fairness, I love their beer though.

I'm with you. We would be counting cases in the tens of millions easily by now without all these measures globally. Speaking of that Philly example, that happened during the second wave in fall 1918 as I recall. That wave was vastly deadlier than the first one. Let's just pray that this thing doesn't go that route.

She seems like a real catch.

Partially explains why gun sales have been spiking? People anticipating roving bands of marauders setting upon their homes?

Ah, you know what, the source I saw misquoted the NY Times. They're saying 600+ cumulative importations, not just yesterday. Still doesn't change my stance that they're lying sack of s&^t though.

Lol China reports 693 "imported cases from 43 countries" Saturday. Lying sacks of sh&*

838 new deaths in Spain. US over 500 yesterday. We have significant outbreaks in NYC, Boston, New Orleans, Detroit, Miami, Dallas, LA, Chicago, Seattle. The list continues to grow. Houston exploded yesterday. Stay home folks.