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chrisNJ

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About chrisNJ

  • Rank
    Back to Jersey
  • Birthday 02/02/1977

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KSMQ
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Hillsborough, NJ
  1. Looks like PHL will get some good storms into early afternoon? Flight delays?
  2. Guess my flight out of PHL at 1 PM Thursday could be in jeopardy. The winds are concerning not so much the rain.
  3. Yes finally! Looks like maybe 4-5 inches of sneet. But that is my guess by eyeballing. How much there?
  4. Near the racquet club off Amwell east of 206. Serious pingers here now. 25/75 maybe?
  5. Dry slot approaching fast. 50/50 mix now.
  6. Back to all sleet in Hillsborough. Yuck.
  7. 70/30 snow to sleet in Hillsborough. As wxman said, snowing snowballs.
  8. 1.5 hrs of sleet. Back to all heavy snow in Hillsborough! 10 minutes later - sleet again.
  9. So I am curious as to thoughts on road conditions tomorrow. I have a moving company moving my stuff from Lebanon to Hillsborough around Noon (they are coming from Allentown). Hopefully, the roads stay slushy/wet only. Of all the days for it to snow... Anyway, 3-6, on grassy areas at least, looks like a good bet.
  10. So I am curious as to thoughts on road conditions tomorrow. I have a moving company moving my stuff from Lebanon to Hillsborough around Noon (they are coming from Allentown). Hopefully, the roads stay slushy/wet only. Of all the days for it to snow... Anyway, 3-6, on grassy areas at least, looks like a good bet.
  11. Quite the ongoing dump here in Hillsborough. Heavy snow, wind blown, 5-6 inches on the ground.
  12. Mr. Kocin speaks... PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICING DISCUSSIONNWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD411 PM EST WED MAR 04 2015VALID 00Z THU MAR 05 2015 - 00Z SUN MAR 08 2015DAYS 1 AND 2......SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GULFCOAST/OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS/MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...A COMPLEX AND WIDESPREAD WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM IS CURRENTLYUNDERWAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEENCHARACTERIZED BY VARIOUS PHASE TRANSITIONS MAKING FOR ACHALLENGING FORECAST OF SNOW/SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AMOUNTS. INMANY LOCATIONS...THERE ARE COMBINATIONS OF ALL 3. THE FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR A DRAMATIC GRADIENT BETWEEN THEHEAVIEST SNOW AND THE NORTHERN EDGE OF MAIN SNOWBAND...WITH SMALLDIFFERENCES IN MODEL SOLUTIONS REPRESENTING POTENTIALLY LARGEDIFFERENCES IN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THERE ALSO IS THE CHALLENGE OFTIMING THE CHANGEOVERS FROM ONE PHASE TO ANOTHER AND WHAT FORM THECHANGEOVER ENTAILS. THE MAIN DRIVERS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE A LIFTINGTROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST US AND A COUPLE SHORTWAVES...ONE AFAIRLY WEAK SYSTEM LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE US CANADIANBORDER AND THE OTHER A SHARP SHORTWAVE SYSTEM BOTH ASSOCIATED WITHAN IMPRESSIVE COLD OUTBREAK FOR EARLY MARCH. THIS SYSTEM WILLCOMBINE WITH THE SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AS A POWERFUL UPPER JETCROSSES THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES WITH A BROAD CONFLUENT ZONEWHILE HIGH PRESSURE AND COLDER AIR SLIP FARTHER SOUTHWARD OVER THENEXT 36 HOURS. SOME OF THE MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM ORIGINATESFAR SOUTHWARD OVER THE TROPICS AS INDICATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE BROAD AREA OF RAIN CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN/SLEET AND SNOWWILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTHWARD WITH THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOWFALLCONTINUING TO BE INDICATED TO EXTEND EAST NORTHEASTWARD FROMARKANSAS ACROSS NW TENNESSEE AND MUCH OF KENTUCKY AND WESTVIRGINIA. THIS AXIS WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERNVIRGINIA/DELAWARE/SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA ACROSS NEW JERSEY. MANYOF THESE AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE GREATER THAN 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOWWITH A MODERATE CHANCE FOR 8+ INCHES ACROSS KENTUCKY AND WESTVIRGINIA. ALL OF THESE LOCATIONS WILL GO THROUGH A SIMILARTRANSITION PROCESS FROM RAIN TO FREEZING RAIN/SLEET AND THEN TOSNOW. WHILE THE DEEPER COLD AIR RESULTS IN A CHANGE TO SNOW ANDSLEET...MORE SHALLOW COLD AIR WILL MORE LIKELY RESULT IN GREATERAMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN EXTENDING AS FAR SOUTH AS EASTERNTEXAS...MUCH OF LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERNALABAMA. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE LIKELIHOOD OF FREEZING RAINAMOUNTS EXCEEDING .25 INCHES FROM EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS ACROSSNORTHERN LOUISIANA INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS STILL THE LIKELIHOOD THAT 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BECOMMON FROM WASHINGTON DC TO NEW YORK CITY ALTHOUGH THERE AREISSUES ON THE NORTH END OF LOWER TOTALS AND ON THE SOUTHERN ENDWITH CHANGEOVER TIMES. WHILE THE 12Z NAM/GFS BOTH INDICATED APOSSIBLE SOUTHWARD SHIFT IN THE QPF AREA...LATER FORECASTS BY THE18Z NAM/12Z UKMET...CANADIAN AND ECMWF ALL HAD FARTHER NORTHSOLUTIONS SUGGESTING THAT THE FEWER CHANGES TO PREVIOUSFORECASTS...THE BETTER.KOCIN
  13. Nice consistent snow now here..dusting on roads on front of condo. I like the radar returns and slight west to east, and even north building back in PA. I will wake up with 1-3. Nighters... OC, get some sleep as well. Rest well...Defense is short lived
  14. Light snow here in Lebanon, near Clinton, NJ. 0.5 mile south of I-78
  15. SREF plume mean of 9 inches at TTN now...getting interesting.