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About Tatamy

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    Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC / Skywarn Spotter

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    Bethlehem, PA - Elevation 400'
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    I have had a life long interest in the weather and all of the surprises that it brings.

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  1. Light rain mixed with sleet. 33F
  2. Yes it is progged to fill in later. Question will be precip types. Most models are keeping precip type rain for most with snow north of I-80 /I-95 in NY as the afternoon progresses. New HRRR is colder and would have more snow south of I-80 in NJ/PA. Another piece of this is the inverted trough that is expected to be set up particularly across eastern PA. This will effect rates and thus precip types.
  3. 12z NAM has totally missed this initial burst of snow. According to it the Lehigh Valley (I am in Bethlehem Twp.) gets no snow today. It's only 9 AM and a lot of models have already busted on the day. I am at 1" myself and it is still coming down. The 12z HRRR has trended colder for the area near I-78 in eastern PA and NJ.
  4. Moderate Freezing rain. 31.6. Trees and shrubs starting to accumulate ice.
  5. 18z GEFS - No support on the ensembles for next Friday that I can see here. With the current pattern in place focusing on an event on the OP at 168 hours is fantasy.
  6. We will have to see if subsequent runs are like this. Previous runs of the RGEM have kept the R/S line mostly north of I80. Up to now this model has been steadfast with a warmer solution. Agree that this is a minor event for most.