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Showing results for tags 'summer'.
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Mid February is usually when the early peeks at severe can sometimes start showing up. Judging by the models and the long range thread, looks like maybe a marginal threat for Thur night? General severe discussion, remembering past events, and all that usual stuff that goes in here each year can go in here again. Hopefully we get some good thunderstorms this spring and summer. Looking forward to plenty of copy and pasting from @yoda, downer posts from @Eskimo Joe, great analysis by @high risk, and plenty of sun obs that turn into nothing. Giddy up! And for humor sake - see below
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For those who were disappointed in a pretty much "snowless" eastern winter, there is a high correlation in predicting July temperature trends for the eastern U.S, when looking solely at historical teleconnections. Here are just two methods, of many that you can learn to use for FREE. One can also use these analog years to make some predictions of the hurricane season. If you email I would gladly show you. 1) +AO/NAO winters, we look at historical analogs months in advance. The result of this composite on ClimatePredict is for a hot July. 2) The lingering weak El Nino signal and warm oceans over the Indian Ocean 3)The +AMO and warm Atlantic Having reliable long range forecast models that can out predict the Euro and GFS are critical for commodity traders, farmers, insurance companies and more Jim Roemer www.bestweatherinc.com
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Throw out dates, locations, and lame reasons why you can't find the time to get together here: Would be nice to get to a water location. The ocean, River, Lake, etc. Even this place looks pretty awesome: http://sunset-tiki.com/
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New thead needed.
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It is 41 in Kingsport with a windchill of 31. Wind chills are forecast tonight to be in the upper teens to lower 20s. Snow advisories are still posted for mountain communities. Still feels like winter, but spring temps are back in the forecast for this weekend.
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2018 Mountains and Foothills Spring/Summer thread
FlatLander48 posted a topic in Southeastern States
Summer has arrived early this year, so let's get the thread going. -
Have at it. After a very warm winter, especially January and February, Spring has arrived early to the forum area. Oddly, my peach tree is holding tight and refusing to bloom. Here is the 6z GEFS which seems pretty representative of most LR ensembles. The Weeklies do depict March 7-14 for a return to "cooler than normal" for a brief time before going full bore into Spring w AN temps. The 0z EPS barely supports yesterday's Weeklies. To be sure the Weeklies have not been predictable in the LR when showing cold. Time for March Madness, baseball, severe weather(we have a severe thread), planting gardens(have a thread for that as well), rain, and retreating cold(did it ever get here?).
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