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Found 12 results

  1. Carvers Gap

    Spring/Summer 2018 Observations

    It is 41 in Kingsport with a windchill of 31. Wind chills are forecast tonight to be in the upper teens to lower 20s. Snow advisories are still posted for mountain communities. Still feels like winter, but spring temps are back in the forecast for this weekend.
  2. Summer has arrived early this year, so let's get the thread going.
  3. Cold Miser

    Summer GTG???

    Throw out dates, locations, and lame reasons why you can't find the time to get together here: Would be nice to get to a water location. The ocean, River, Lake, etc. Even this place looks pretty awesome: http://sunset-tiki.com/
  4. Have at it. After a very warm winter, especially January and February, Spring has arrived early to the forum area. Oddly, my peach tree is holding tight and refusing to bloom. Here is the 6z GEFS which seems pretty representative of most LR ensembles. The Weeklies do depict March 7-14 for a return to "cooler than normal" for a brief time before going full bore into Spring w AN temps. The 0z EPS barely supports yesterday's Weeklies. To be sure the Weeklies have not been predictable in the LR when showing cold. Time for March Madness, baseball, severe weather(we have a severe thread), planting gardens(have a thread for that as well), rain, and retreating cold(did it ever get here?).
  5. We did this last year with some success, but it eventually fell apart as the board membership went AWOL during the non-weather months. Post your pics of woo storms, DC severe, flowers, wildlife, fireworks, trips to the hills, boating, crabbing, etc. I bet the crabbers on the board could post some great early morning pics on the water. And yes, I want to see your pics of opening day snowfall. Sure looks like April will be amazing!
  6. Mr Bob

    Summer Banter

    And the new banter topic is up and running. Anyone for the summer of '93 redux?
  7. The 6-10 day forecast is hinting at another severe weather sequence from the southern Plains into the Southeast US. Just like last time the models seem to be trending from a Plains highlight to a Dixie Alley highlight. South severe is still 8-10 days away so uncertainty is high. Though one cannot pinpoint details or target areas, in May one can assume severe weather will verify at least 2-3 days out of the 6-10 day period.
  8. Some summer climatology for several sites in the Midwest. I'll have more stuff to post soon. 1984-2013 mean average temperature and precipitation. 1984-2013 mean maximum and minimum temperatures. 1984-2013 mean number of 90º+ and 100º+ days (values rounded up/down). All values are "average of days" and are raw numbers (no smoothing). May differ from the NCDC method.
  9. Euro weeklies continue to advertise the pattern we have seen all summer, wetter and cooler than normal. Long-Range Forecast Model Update Not Big on Any Major Warmup July 30, 2013; 12:12 AM The most recent update of the long-range ECMWF model, which was released Monday night still shows more cooler and wetter anomalies, especially for central and eastern regions through most of August. The model just does not want to break down the northern latitude blocking, which in turn forces the jet stream farther south compared to normal, leading to a cooler/wetter pattern for many. The exception is northwestern Canada, where a strong ridge of high pressure is expected to persist and Newfoundland, which is more due to the well-above normal sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic which will likely remain through at least fall and probably the winter. I personally think that the blocking will break down by mid-August leading to a warmer pattern than what the ECMWF is showing for central and eastern Canada. ECMWF showing lower-than-normal tropical cyclone activity for August from the Gulf through the Caribbean basin..... One more thing, the model is fairly consistent in forecasting a drier pattern in the Gulf and Caribbean through a good chunk of August and this is likely due to the presence of increased wind shear due to the suppressed westerlies and higher than normal sea surface pressures. To no surprise, the model is predicting only 40 to 60 percent of normal tropical storm activity in this region for most of August. By the way, water temperatures in the basin are fairly close to normal, but we have been seeing above-normal wind shear and dry air/dust over the past couple of weeks, which are certainly inhibiting any serious development. Keep in mind though, it is still July and the tropics usually wait until the second week of August before things really start to get active. Hopefully, the ECMWF is right and it stays quiet through August. Brett Anderson's blog on accuweather. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/long-range-forecast-model-update-not-big-on-warming/15927728
  10. MetHerb

    July high heat WX disco

    I've never started a thread before so I thought I would for the high heat this week.
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