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CLIMATE PREDICT

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  1. A potential cold December exists for the eastern half of the United States. Following the historical Buffalo snowfall and the NAO index going negative in the face of the third straight winter of La Nina, this video discusses how to use teleconnections to predict weather months in advance--ENJOY
  2. You will find this interesting with respect to the MJO, La Nina and the loop current in the Gulf of Mexico https://www.bestweatherinc.com/hurricane/video-factors-affecting-the-2022-hurricane-season/
  3. While many standard forecast models were predicting an east based La Nina Modoki, our Climate Predict program has been saying a standard, strong and full La Nina would develop this winter. One can see that as of the end of last month, the MEI index was in the moderate La Nina category with a value of -1.40. Notice how Nino12 is cooler than Nino34. This implies a standard, not east based La Nina. Feel free to go to climatepredict.com and play with my software for free SOURCE: JIM ROEMER'S SOFTWARE CLIMATEPREDICT.COM Anyway, many weather forecasters are calling for a cold United States. winter. However, La Nina events like 2011 and 2012 were very warm winters across the United States. There were some recent exceptions--I.E. the winter of 2010-2011 that has extreme cold. Nevertheless, Climate Change and a warming Arctic may prevent a consistently cold winter. The big news the next week or so will be a huge western snowstorm for higher elevations and drought easing rains from the Pacific NW to Northern California. This is typical of a La Nina, in October or November. In the mean time, feel free to go to one of my latest blogs and see a video here about how La Nina is affecting winter weather and the easing of the historic drought in Brazil Jim Roemer
  4. This link and video shows how various teleconnections such as La Nina Modoki and global ocean temperatures will play a role for the rest of the hurricane season . Also, feel free to download a free issue of Climatelligence (the only all weather newsletter that educates weather forecasters about how to trade commodities)
  5. If you would like to learn about the power of weather in investing and receive a free version of Jim Roemer's commodity newsletter, please go here. Jim Roemer has been advising farmers, hedge funds, meteorologists and traders around the world how to use teleconnections, short and long range weather forecast to trade everything from natural gas to corn, soybeans, coffee and more Here is the front page of our March issue
  6. This report talks a bit more about the natural gas market and how you can use weather to make money trading. My newsletter Climatelligence for just $13/month is a far cry from the thousands of a month that clients pay to learn how to trade commodities. https://www.bestweatherinc.com/commodities/how-we-predicted-the-arctic-pig-for-february-setting-the-energy-markets-on-fire/
  7. As a lover of weather, you owe it to yourself to invest in other things, other than gamestock One way to get your feet weight using your love of weather is by trading commodity ETF's such as natural gas. They can be traded at your brokerage firm like Fidelity, etc. For example, since I started telling clients 2 weeks ago about the Polar Vortex, natural gas prices have rallied some 13% in two days; that's not bad considering keeping your money in cash or a money market makes less than 1/2 of 1% Another major snowstorm is coming to the eastern U.S. this weekend and due to the negative Arctic Oscillation Index. This report here talks a bit more about that and why February and potentially March will be cold https://www.bestweatherinc.com/commodities/how-we-predicted-the-arctic-pig-for-february-setting-the-energy-markets-on-fire/
  8. Teleconnections such as sea ice, the AO index and much more (Not just El Nino, La Nina) affect global weather patterns. For the first time. I am making a brand new newsletter called Climatelligence, available to weather lovers. It will teach you how to use your skill to learn about crops, long range weather forecasting around the world and investing. You can download a free winter outlook here. Be safe, Jim
  9. Many of you have a passion for weather, but how do you invest in commodities and develop a longer term approach to investing. While everyone talks about the rising stock market, there is no guaranteed this will continue forever. You should use your interest and talents of watching snowstorms, hurricanes and climate change around the world, to make money trading everything from natural gas to corn, coffee, etc. If you have a regular trading account with, say, Fidelity or another broker, and know nothing about commodities. The conservative approach to LEARN is to trade commodity ETF's. So how to you learn about this? First off, download my FREE Winter-Outlook here and find out how teleconnections predict a potentially cold 2nd half of winter, but not necessarily the first half, as the AO index goes positive.
  10. As a lover of the weather, many of you are probably interested and potentially talented enough to learn how to use your skill to trade commodity futures and conservative options such as natural gas (UNG), coffee (JO) and the grain market. While everyone gets excited about snowstorms, there is just as much potential excitement watching stocks and commodities affected by weather. Yes, watching stocks such as Apple and Amazon soar over the years may. not be your cup of tea, so why not learn how to use weather forecasts to make investments in things affected by weather. While I am firm believer in climate change and a warming planet, this winter has the potential to be much colder. I began telling clients last week that I thought we would go into a negative Arctic Oscillation Phase as shown on the upper right. Other than La Nina, it is quite possible that "aerosols" from the historic western fires are getting caught up in the atmosphere and warming the Arctic. This will help the AO index to go negative with cold late fall weather in at least the Midwest and possibly the eastern U.S. OCTOBER GLOBAL RAINFALL ANAMOLIES WHEN THE AO INDEX IS NEGATIVE My teleconnection program at www.climatepredict.com is free for you to use and you can click on different teleconnections such as the AO index and see historical rainfall, snowfall and temperature trends months in advance. Notice, for example, how in October other commodities such as coffee, wheat and soybeans are influenced by the negative AO index. I will be starting a much less expensive, monthly global commodity weather newsletter that is much more affordable from my web site www.bestweatherinc.com. and if you are interested in learning about commodities and weather you can always sign up for a FREE trial Regards, Jim
  11. Here is the way the potential Nov-Jan jet stream will look given present teleconnections and the La Nina. The one cavaet is of course climate change and the historical California fires that could alter the weather. You can go to climatepredict.com and play around with the FREE, lite version of our software here https://www.bestweatherinc.com/climate-predict/ Image--Using Climate Predict and Teleconnections in forecasting average 500 mb pattern Nov-January. Hurricane features, snowfall, rainfall trends, etc. are all included
  12. This is for a great cause and you can join in for Free. Just register here and learn about Climate Change, Florida Red Tide, Sea Level rise, etc. with two of the most notable hurricane and climate change experts and former big wig, Bob Bunting, who helped start NCAR many years ago https://www.bestweatherinc.com/global-warming/climate-adaption-center-and-live-september-17th-webinar/
  13. What You Need To Know About The Possible Next Explosion In Commodities Most commodities have been in the dog-house for years, brought on by concerns, not only of COVID-19, but a glut of supplies such as crude oil, grains, coffee, cocoa and cotton, but also due to ideal global weather. The one shining light has been in the precious metals market as gold, silver And others have seen increased global demand and are used as hedges in times of global panic. Many analysts rely strictly on technical analysis with no rhyme, reason or the remote understanding of how the power of “weather” has on global production of crops and the psychology of traders and hedgers throughout the world. However, weather patterns have a multi-trillion dollar affect, not only on the US Economy, but throughout the world. We are entering the time of the year, in which crops such as corn, soybeans and cotton grow in the northern hemisphere and their crop yields are impacted by both climate change, a developing La Nina and other variables. Since many of you love the weather (of course), why not learn how to invest in other things other than just the stock market. Sure, hind-sight is 20-20 and boy I wish I invested in APPLE, GOOGLE and ZOOM years ago, but you can have a ton of fun and learn how to use your skills to make money in corn, soybeans, coffee and natural gas with futures, options or even this very conservative grain ETF (JGG) For example, this ETF (JGG) is grossly oversold and I think we may see an explosion in some grain prices this summer due to a developing La Nina and record warming over the Arctic. Anyway, if you want to learn the basics of investing in weather, I can help teach you. Just go to this site and register for a free trial. Even though you put credit card info in, don't worry about it. You can just cancel it and I will give it to you for free for a while. Just contact me here and let me know you are interested, and I will set you up--Jim
  14. With a storm approaching the Gulf this weekend, I thought I would give all users of AmericanWeather's forum FREE access to my software, in which you can get 70 years of historical storm track data, ACE and much more. You can read more about weather forecasting for hurricanes and my techniques here. This link also talks about why cooling at NINO12, the warm 2019-20 winter and the warm Atlantic regions (+TSA/+TNA) all portend a potential similar 1995 analog--a very active season. What could go wrong? Only if Nino12 does not remain cooler and we see African dust off the Sahara. So, here is a sample of accessing the data Belowis a brief description below of how you can access really cool looking historical hurricane tracks
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