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Showing results for tags 'spring'.
Found 14 results
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It is 41 in Kingsport with a windchill of 31. Wind chills are forecast tonight to be in the upper teens to lower 20s. Snow advisories are still posted for mountain communities. Still feels like winter, but spring temps are back in the forecast for this weekend.
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You guys know the drill. I am ready for us to turn the proverbial corner and barrel into warmer temps. Some of the guidance has a cooler start to the month, let’s see if it hangs on.
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I'm throwing out April 22nd as a date to get this thing rolling. As much as people want to have these things in their own town, I still think Worcester is pretty central for a core group. As always though, this is still open for discussion. With the exception of Jerry-Fest in Boston at Christmas time for the past bunch of years, it has been a while since we've had a region wide event. Soccer and eating kids Easter candy is no excuse to not want to go. (John (Tip) has me blocked due to his thin skin so if someone can shoot him a note as well to let him know that we are discussing this that would be great)
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Have at it. After a very warm winter, especially January and February, Spring has arrived early to the forum area. Oddly, my peach tree is holding tight and refusing to bloom. Here is the 6z GEFS which seems pretty representative of most LR ensembles. The Weeklies do depict March 7-14 for a return to "cooler than normal" for a brief time before going full bore into Spring w AN temps. The 0z EPS barely supports yesterday's Weeklies. To be sure the Weeklies have not been predictable in the LR when showing cold. Time for March Madness, baseball, severe weather(we have a severe thread), planting gardens(have a thread for that as well), rain, and retreating cold(did it ever get here?).
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After researching analogs that match up closely to current sea-surface-temperature anomalies (as well as surface temperature and precipitation anomalies experienced from December through February), history suggests that drought-relief may be slow to achieve across the Mid-Atlantic over the next three calendar months (April through June). Unless a late-spring Nor'easter impacts the Washington, D.C. Region between now and mid-April with heavy rainfall, warmer than average temperatures would only further exacerbate the ongoing drought. Temperature Anomalies based on analog package I chose: Precipitation Anomalies based on analog package I chose: Full Details Here: https://dcstorms.com/2017/03/19/capital-weather-washington-dc-area-spring-2017-forecast/
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We did this last year with some success, but it eventually fell apart as the board membership went AWOL during the non-weather months. Post your pics of woo storms, DC severe, flowers, wildlife, fireworks, trips to the hills, boating, crabbing, etc. I bet the crabbers on the board could post some great early morning pics on the water. And yes, I want to see your pics of opening day snowfall. Sure looks like April will be amazing!
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Time to open a new banter thread....hopefully no one lost their crops this morning!
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We cant have a Spring thread with out Phil's official prediction: The Prognosticator of Prognosticators, Punxsutawney Phil, will once again appear at sunrise on February 2 at Gobbler's Knob in the Pennsylvania Wilds to make his annual prediction on the 130th anniversary of Groundhog Day - So my question to you... WILL he or won't he?
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Spring and summer weather for the mountains.
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Meteorological winter is two days away, and thus a new winter thread for Indiana. Everyone is welcome to post anything regarding winter in Indiana. I of course will fill this thread with an annoying amount of stats. I'm also going to throw out a winter guess for Indiana, hopefully by tomorrow at the latest. As for what I'm currently thinking...it may or may not be pretty. But, I have no real skill at long range forecasting. Anyways, we begin by taking a look back at last winter. DJF temperature, precipitation, and snowfall stats for EVV, FWA, IND, and SBN below. Departures based off averages of the prior 30 years (1983-84 to 2012-13).
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Models are getting to be pretty insistent on an Apps runner happening the first week of March, the 00z GFS just levels the western 2/3rd of Tennessee with heavy snow and really buries Nashville. This has been showing up quite a few runs in a row now on both the GFS and GEM. The GEM looks like it has an icy solution on it's current run. GFS snowfall on top. GEM precip/radar on bottom. -
Spring (March-May) temperature, precipitation, and snowfall rankings for Evansville, Fort Wayne, Indianapolis, South Bend, and the state of Indiana. State of Indiana (temperature and precipitation records since 1895) Evansville (temperature and precipitation records since 1897, snowfall since 1898) Fort Wayne (temperature, precipitation, and snowfall records since 1897) Indianapolis (temperature and precipitation records since 1871, snowfall since 1884) South Bend (temperature, precipitation, and snowfall records since 1894)
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I'm just going to throw the date of April 5th out there to our brains thinking about it. With the exception of a few times, I know that Worcester has been the go to place for the past few years, mainly due to the central location. Let's give serious consideration to other locations if it means getting more folks to show up - Maybe somewhere within the Boston metro, 495 (partial) loop...Hartford, CT... Stamford, CT...Providence, R.I...Springfield, etc...or just stick with Worcester.
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Seems a good time to start this given we now have a D3 slight for the eastern Plains, Ozarks and Mid/Lower MS Valleys for Thursday. In addition, it appears Friday into Saturday could hold potential as well for the Arklamiss and Mid MS Valley/perhaps approaching the TN Valley later in the day as a strong pool of instability (1500-3000+ J/kg on both the 00z Euro and GFS) interacts with another low amplitude and progressive s/w trough. Cyclogenesis and resulting wind profiles likely won't be as strong as they are on Thursday, but they should still be enough to cause a problem given storm development.
