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Found 8 results

  1. Mid February is usually when the early peeks at severe can sometimes start showing up. Judging by the models and the long range thread, looks like maybe a marginal threat for Thur night? General severe discussion, remembering past events, and all that usual stuff that goes in here each year can go in here again. Hopefully we get some good thunderstorms this spring and summer. Looking forward to plenty of copy and pasting from @yoda, downer posts from @Eskimo Joe, great analysis by @high risk, and plenty of sun obs that turn into nothing. Giddy up! And for humor sake - see below
  2. It is 41 in Kingsport with a windchill of 31. Wind chills are forecast tonight to be in the upper teens to lower 20s. Snow advisories are still posted for mountain communities. Still feels like winter, but spring temps are back in the forecast for this weekend.
  3. You guys know the drill. I am ready for us to turn the proverbial corner and barrel into warmer temps. Some of the guidance has a cooler start to the month, let’s see if it hangs on.
  4. I'm throwing out April 22nd as a date to get this thing rolling. As much as people want to have these things in their own town, I still think Worcester is pretty central for a core group. As always though, this is still open for discussion. With the exception of Jerry-Fest in Boston at Christmas time for the past bunch of years, it has been a while since we've had a region wide event. Soccer and eating kids Easter candy is no excuse to not want to go. (John (Tip) has me blocked due to his thin skin so if someone can shoot him a note as well to let him know that we are discussing this that would be great)
  5. Have at it. After a very warm winter, especially January and February, Spring has arrived early to the forum area. Oddly, my peach tree is holding tight and refusing to bloom. Here is the 6z GEFS which seems pretty representative of most LR ensembles. The Weeklies do depict March 7-14 for a return to "cooler than normal" for a brief time before going full bore into Spring w AN temps. The 0z EPS barely supports yesterday's Weeklies. To be sure the Weeklies have not been predictable in the LR when showing cold. Time for March Madness, baseball, severe weather(we have a severe thread), planting gardens(have a thread for that as well), rain, and retreating cold(did it ever get here?).
  6. After researching analogs that match up closely to current sea-surface-temperature anomalies (as well as surface temperature and precipitation anomalies experienced from December through February), history suggests that drought-relief may be slow to achieve across the Mid-Atlantic over the next three calendar months (April through June). Unless a late-spring Nor'easter impacts the Washington, D.C. Region between now and mid-April with heavy rainfall, warmer than average temperatures would only further exacerbate the ongoing drought. Temperature Anomalies based on analog package I chose: Precipitation Anomalies based on analog package I chose: Full Details Here: https://dcstorms.com/2017/03/19/capital-weather-washington-dc-area-spring-2017-forecast/
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