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Given that there is a tiny chance at something next week, we'll go ahead and open up the 2023 iteration of the thread. I doubt it will amount to much of anything (perhaps a better chance in the Carolinas and far SEVA) but we'll see. General mid to long range discussion can go in here, as can discussion about past events etc. In past years this has also served as a bit of an "on the fly" obs thread for events that are too small to warrant a separate thread. Pretty casual rules in this annual thread. Looking forward to our usual folks And as always - attached is the @WxWatcher007 tier system for our severe threats here in the Mid-Atlantic subforum.
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Seeing more of a consistent signal from the Euro about this Friday, June 21st, of at least an appreciable severe weather event for parts of Kansas, Iowa, Missouri, and Nebraska. GEFS signals have been hinting at this for a little while, with a consistent ~ +4 sigma conus SCP for about a week now.