You have to like our position only a few weeks out from serious winter weather across the country.
CP Niño shaping up which traditionally is the best ENSO pattern for us with the highest chance of below normal temps in the east with positive precip anomalies.
CP Nino is also best for storm track (see the bottom set of graphics in the image below.
This pic is for January-March.
This ENSO is on top of low solar which will increase the chance of blocking. I read through some research on Mid Atlantic board that found blocking chances are 4x higher in low solar than other years.
The NAO is showing signs of dropping into negative territory by the end of November for the first time in months!
The stars certainly are aligning about as good as you can hope for for winter in the east.
Its almost time to start looking at actual pattern trends as we get into late October!
1. Niño is establishing Itself
2. Hint of -NAO soon?
3. Some increased blocking this October is leading Toward some very early east coast systems
Get ready boys. Winter looks fun.