Warnings are real-time as cells evolve. Meso scale discussions and lead time watches are warranted based on synoptic reasoning and conditions that have been suggested by high res modeling and severe parameters. Two seperate entities. Too early to downplay threats when it's not even 22z yet for central areas.
Understand but anything happening in MS is slim. I wonder if our Hi res models need a reset. If this underperforms which would be great. Then something is wrong with our forecasting. Chances of people taking any other threats this spring seriously is greatly diminished.