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WxUnit

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    Exton PA

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  1. HRRR has been anticipating the southeast turn very shortly. If that doesn't happen, and it keeps chugging east we'll know it'll be a nowcast situation for this evening. Regardless these MCSs have been fascinating to watch so far. More then I can remember over the last day running over the same areas.
  2. Terminal radar reveals velocities nearing 80mph. Despite was some have noted via the KLWX radar with weakening, terminal radar is showing a completely different picture.
  3. Csu wind probabilities are fairly high tomorrow. SPC only has a smaller marginal risk though, maybe it gets expanded and/or upgraded.
  4. Looks like some supercells are already trying to get going as they move towards DC. A lot already have a bit of a rotation going on them.
  5. Tornado watch out for the area, goes until 9pm. 40% Tornado, 40% hail, 70% wind probabilities.
  6. Radar does look pretty bad for anything of significance. Seems odd to me with all we had at play today that we seem to be failing. Oh well
  7. Almost like 2023 with the red glow during the sunset and through the smoke.
  8. Need to monitor both Friday and Saturday for severe weather. As of right now Saturday looks to have the best potential.
  9. SPC mentions both Friday and Saturday have very similar severe setups. A slight risk was added to the northern areas in the new Day 3 outlook with higher potential mentioned as well.
  10. Earlier in the Exton PA area where the rotating storm went just north. Was able to photograph a funnel cloud from it. Was rapidly rotating like nothing Ive seen before.
  11. Supercell coming into Chester County with decent rotation. Large rotating wall cloud already reported on it.
  12. WPC has a slight risk of excessive rainfall and seems to indicate some areas could see 2+ inches of rain. "Current probs off the latest ensembles and National Blend indicate a large zone of 30-50% probs for >2" across the aforementioned area above with deterministic outputs closer to 2-3.5" into parts of Southern New England. The 00z HREF (only covers through 00Z 6/23) and 00Z REFS indicate 30-60% neighborhood probabilities for at least 2" per 6-hrs from D.C. to NYC and would be enough for some urban flash flooding concerns."
  13. Probabilities of all severe hazards seemed to go up significantly between the 6z and 12z runs. Definitely worthy of a watch for the next couple of days.
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