WxUSAF

It’s weird. He used to be a super pessimist on snow. Downplayed several of our historic storms at short leads as I recall.

I have no idea what’s the best conditions.

Up near Bahstan (Jesus save me from Sawx fans) for a funeral today. Frost everywhere. Much more fall color than Home, but doesn’t look like peak at all. Pretty late and lousy year for color everywhere it seems.

Tony Pann was teasing this on Twitter. Plenty cold aloft. If there’s a convective shower, could have some flakes mixed in.

Low of 39 at BWI.

Ian isn’t totally gone, just posts much, much less.

We’ve had good posters leave for over moderation (Ian) and under moderation (Mitch).

Yeah could be. Don’t think anyone gets to 32 this week but next week is probably an even money or better chance.

Mostly well it seems. Definitely had some germination. We'll see how it looks next year. It's all very long right now as I haven't mowed in a few weeks between waiting for the grass seed to grow and having some dry days when I have free time.

He still lives near BWI.

Mitch joined Phillywx this month and has started posting there. That makes me sad

34 entries this year. Our average values are: DCA: 11/17/18 BWI: 11/3/18 IAD: 10/30/18 RIC: 11/16/18 Tie: 4.03" So a week to 10 days past climo for the most part. DCA value is close to climo I believe. Looks like next week has the first legit threat, particularly for the non-DCA locations. IAD has 1.02" of rain to date for reference. 2018 First Freeze Contest.xlsx

#pantstent

Worst news I’ve heard yet.

You probably will do a bit better on a long term average based on a bit more latitude and elevation. But they’re close enough that it will more come down to storm by storm details most years.