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jayyy

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About jayyy

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    Union Bridge, MD

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  1. NAM / RGEM with 6-9” for many 48 hours out. Varsity models still further south with the heaviest axis. Seems the hi res have a healthier and more expansive precip shield instead of focusing so much energy south of us
  2. Definitely agree on the deamp trend as we get closer to storms. Also, on the “north trend” subject, I suppose it’s been more about banding setting up further north than the actual storm itself. Think many of us look at the bottom line - aka snow accumulation maps - and hope for a “north bump” but in reality, the storm can track exactly as depicted while having the banding placement slightly wrong. The 1/6 and other January storm both had this happen. Models nailed the track generally but C MD got kinda screwed because banding setup further north near the M/D line. EPS brings the coveted purples to just south of the Baltimore - Columbia latitude. Wouldn’t necessarily take a northern trend with the system itself to get those 6-7” totals up that way
  3. 4-6” for many, possibility of 7-8 south of DC. Sign me up
  4. January 6th and yesterday’s wave both went north in the final 24-36 hours. Not sure this year’s been *that* different. No block in place yet. Need a more SW to NE track than W to E but a slight bump is certainly possible as we get closer. Wouldn’t expect some massive jump, but I expect 25+ miles
  5. With no block in place, central MD is still very much in the game for 6”. I suspect a slight bump north in the final 24-36 hours. DC folks appear to be in a great spot for this one.
  6. Sold. Too bad it’s the NAM. Overall lines up with the euro / gfs but definitely wetter
  7. 5-7” for many if you take the gfs euro cmc combo. Not a bad place to be 3 days out
  8. I was trying to decipher output. Was throwing me off [emoji23]
  9. Kind of confusing up north since I assume that includes snowfall from tonight into tomorrow for New York and points N. Nice run for our parts. Not so much a north move, rather a healthier precip shield and better angle of attack to the naked eye. I’ll let someone with more knowledge break it down. euro / gfs showing a 4-8” possibility for many NAM / icon / gem showing more of a 2-5” storm
  10. Yeah, the jack will be south of the CWA as clskinsfan said. Models are clear as day on that. The question is, does DC and possibly Baltimore get in on those totals around 6” as well if there’s enough of a north push over the coming 2-3 days
  11. Cousins wedding = fucked Me = happy [emoji23]
  12. Entering the euros sweet spot. I’ll get excited if it holds (generally) over the next 36 hours.
  13. 384 hour clown map maaaay belong in the long range thread haha
  14. CMC/Euro say 3-6” type storm GFS/Ukie say 8-12” type storm (both waves) Set my expectations at a 6” max accordingly
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