
wasnow215
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Suppressed and warm. Nice combo lol. Again no cold air. PSU has been talking about it for days.
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Well that’s easy-just tell them what it’s been doing the whole winter. Some showers with cool breezy conditions. Like PSU keeps saying (correctly) there’s no cold air.
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Since our region was probably the worst in the country that would normally get snow for snow this season, does that mean we get a number one draft pick for next year? Lol
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Wave 9 right around Easter. Or maybe MAY DAY! Haha
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Literally was just going to post the exact same thing. 2 GFS runs in a row with St Paddy day weekend snow.
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*We
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This-Meteorology is hard enough 7-10 days out let alone 7-10 months.
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March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Understood-Would you agree that guidance 8-10 days out has shown quite a bit of snow a few times this winter for RVA to DC only to have it change inside of 7 days with little or no snow? But rarely do you see models show cutters 8-10 days out and then this region ends up having a SECS with snow. -
March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
But why do they consistently underperform in a “negative snow” direction? We continue to see possible SECS turn into cutters on the models within 5-7 days out or just some rain showers. But when was the last time a modeled cutter 5-7 days ended up being a SECS “in real life”? Even in the best of years, the best snowstorms are clearly seen pretty early on the models. Not going from cutter to snowstorm. -
March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Most likely will be unseasonably cold minus a couple days for at least 2 weeks starting in a few days, so won’t feel like spring anyway probably. Whether we get snow or not. -
March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Until the 0z runs tonight haha. But yeah. -
March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thank you- So it’s pretty absurd in this case how much if an outlier it is- no? -
March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
In a simplistic manner can someone explain what would cause the OP and ENS to be so different please? I mean it’s not even close. -
March Medium/Long Range Thread: The Empire Strikes Back
wasnow215 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Exactly-Haven’t really had any hope for any type of winter weather for a while and seems like a true pattern change is coming. So I came on here to read bc I thought there would be some good analysis. I was not disappointed. But “feely” statements like “it ain’t gonna happen”, is just a waste of a post and is only based on past disappointments not any kind of current medium range climatology. Like a person who is jaded about the entire “dating scene” in general, because THAT PERSON can’t get a date. .