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wasnow215

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Everything posted by wasnow215

  1. wasnow215

    2/20-21 Thump to Ice Winter Storm Threat

    Many weather models have surface temps at or below freezing in Philly as late as 8-9pm. Yes there will be travel disruptions. Hope all goes well!
  2. wasnow215

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    Driving will be very hazardous during morning rush for you folks in the Delaware Valley and probably evening rush. At least a couple inches of snow will then change to sleet and/or freezing rain. You will not see much “regular” rain at all. Thursday will be warmer but it will take a while.
  3. wasnow215

    Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion

    Expect WWA’s to be posted late tomorrow in RVA, with an outside chance of a WSW (watch) because of poss freezing rain on top of a couple of inches of snow Wed morning. Today’s model runs will help NWS decide. No matter what, Wed morning commute is going to be rough, until the CAD is eventually scoured out of the region, later that afternoon.
  4. wasnow215

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    Don’t think it does well sniffing out CAD at this range. We will know in about 60 hours or so.
  5. wasnow215

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    Really?? You got me. Totally thought the water was gonna turn to ice!! Lol!
  6. wasnow215

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    This is 0z NAM “snow depth” not 10:1. At storm’s end.
  7. wasnow215

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    No idea what thread to post this looking at the sub forum but ummm did any of you look at the 0z NAM? I have family in SJ. This could be a pretty big deal. Do you have a Feb 20 thread? I didn’t see it.
  8. wasnow215

    February Banter 2019

    What is going on with the Feb 19-21 storm threat thread and the Mystical Feb medium to long range threads? Lol. The Feb 19 to 21 one is talking about nino rains in Cali amongst other things, and the other one is talking about global warming.
  9. wasnow215

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    Is Chill still “holding out” (meaning like football haha) for this storm?? Are there at least ‘contract talks’ ongoing???
  10. wasnow215

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    Very meh
  11. wasnow215

    Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion

    Heavy wet snow here at my job in Mechanicsville. Big giant flakes, maybe the biggest I’ve ever seen.
  12. A few inches just NW of Richmond for me, along with sleet. I’m somewhere around 18-19” total for the season so far.
  13. wasnow215

    2/10-2/12 Winter Storm Threat

    I’m only going by what I’m reading, And I am seeing more of the American models then the Euro. I have family all over SJ, and they count on me to help w forecasting lol. It’s such a close call, especially with part two. Even tho the NAM just “blinked” I still like part two potential. It’s a wait and see game now.
  14. wasnow215

    2/10-2/12 Winter Storm Threat

    I still don’t understand why you all in Philly are ignoring the Euro.
  15. wasnow215

    2/10-2/12 Winter Storm Threat

    I see it above me now (The post I made) but it was not here today before, only other snow outputs for other models.
  16. wasnow215

    2/10-2/12 Winter Storm Threat

    Someone posted the euro? Meaning snowfall amounts? I see the Nam right above your post but not the euro.
  17. wasnow215

    2/10-2/12 Winter Storm Threat

    So are you folks discounting the Euro or are you just talking about round one?
  18. wasnow215

    2/10-2/12 Winter Storm Threat

    Euro is even more bullish than those models. Shows at least 6” for Philly metro area.
  19. wasnow215

    Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion

    Could be a nice tracking week leading up to next weekend. GFS and FV3 showing SECS for our region. I’ll be hitting the links on Tue as it will be close to 70° here, and then focus in more on tracking that evening lol.
  20. wasnow215

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    I have family and friends who live in the 3 southernmost counties of NJ. I send out forecasts to a bunch of people and have for years w snow and big events. My call for Fri was 1-3” when I made it yesterday for those counties. I feel pretty good about it still.
  21. wasnow215

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    Riveting analysis
  22. wasnow215

    Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion

    45° here in Glen Allen. Forecasted high was 49°
  23. wasnow215

    Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion

    Like I said earlier, it’s GFS n FV3 against the rest lol. I will say I’ve never known the 3k NAM handle these types of scenarios well. Consistently too warm. Euro was kinda weak also tho. I’m riding the FV3!! Lol #weeniealert
  24. wasnow215

    January/February Medium/Long Range Disco

    This is 12z Euro Wednesday 2/4 at noon. Pretty warm.
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