wasnow215

They're not thin anymore lol

Little thin bands forming west of us. Could bring a little more

Still snowing at Mag Green

Still good in 23120 Midlo. But looks like back edge

Exactly @RIC Airport many TV Mets around here were honking yesterday. That's why we all got so interested again. But again they got caught up in the NAM, GRAF, SREF's. ALL failed and they generally do. Like the HRRR

100%

But models nail storms more than 3 days out. NAM had 12" YESTERDAY at 12z

EURO was great too once it hitched on that the storm would not phase. It's been 2 days I believe or 2 1/2 with minimal totals

Oh I'm definitely not sticking up for him I'm just saying why he busted so bad. But those had way more QPF even later those models than the European model did and later on GFS CMC etc

He had to wave the white flag. Here's the issue and have been following and tracking storms since really the year 2000. We talk about how mesos....NAM (both), SREF, GRAF, HRRR and the like...are better inside 48 hours than the globals. They're not though. I said to @RVAmanlast night I think, that for the HRRR, I've never ever seen it be right. Consistently has too much qpf. So with DT? He REALLY hugged the NAM and SREF and then it became a frenzy with WRIC and the other maps with upwards of 9-12". Sadly I fell into it too to a point and hence changed my 2-4" to 4-8". You know why??? Because I didn't think so many professionals and "experts" and even Wakefield with 5-6" that they had yesterday could be that wrong. I should've stayed with what the globals were showing. Especially the EURO (as of 2 days ago). Low qpf can't produce high snow totals. Can't see the grass here now. Have about 2.5". I should've stayed 2-4" SMH.

Picking back up here in Moseley

Yes!

That literally happened Presidents' Day storm 1979 I was living near Atlantic City, New Jersey. Forecasted 4-6". Everyone got 18-24"!! I was 11 and it was AMAZING!

Rates not enough to have pretreated roads cave

Nice! Looks like we have about an inch of snow right now maybe a tad more?

The wind is picking up here Moseley. I wonder if the coastal is starting to get it's act together and if it can just come 25 miles more west once it does it'll help everybody

Dude! That was my exit for Hunton Park where I used to live! Moved down here by Mag Green this past August.

Lol!! Last call of the last call. 2025 version of defining words. "Last" -coming after all others in time, space or degree. Or in this case "last" AGAIN!

Why did they wait so long. "Trickling into the solutions"??? It's nowcasting time. Seems silly.

Look at the map again though. Very well could be 2" at Kings Dominion and then up to 6" near Petersburg and of course spots in between get 3-5 between there north to south. Then apply the same thinking in the 6-12" band. 6" at or just south of Petersburg for instance to 12" at Norfolk. They're not going to use multiple colors like that on a tv map.

My birthday storm...4-8"...let's do this!

NAM better than 18z but not close to 12z

I've never seen HRRR verify RVAman. Ever And it changes from hour to hour

Man -I'm impressed that y'all are keeping this up. I thought by now it would be one of those one post every 6 hours threads lol.

Yeah it's been less overall for a couple days now