Of course it's predicated totally on the heavier bands falling after dark. The reason why I think we get several inches of snow and not just one or two is because I think a lot of the models are now showing that pinwheel effect still over RVA when the storm starts really winding up. So I really feel we could get 5 inches in spots if that happens, and on eastern parts of the area up to 7 inches but we shall see obviously
Again we're talking about 20 mile difference for moves just a bit more west than the set up happens to get the heavy bands over RVA. That's why the national weather service has the 10% high totals so high lol because they're really not sure and how can they be
One of the main reasons I'm fascinated with weather is how winter storms can hamper day to day things. Can't do anything about it so might as well enjoy it!
'78 was Feb 5-7 I was almost 10 years old. It surprised a lot of people. Highways riddled with abandoned cars from pm rush hour. '79 was PD 1. '83 also amazing 2/11. '96 showed for 2 days, and '03 PD2 I remember there were times snowed so hard it was like a summer storm of snow lol
I understand I'm just saying I think snowdepth is a better measure, HOWEVER.... I read a couple things from some Mets that sometimes that can be too low so I'm learning lol. Just trying not to set myself up for disappointment.