Jump to content

Amped

Members
  • Content count

    11,166
  • Joined

  • Last visited

1 Follower

About Amped

  • Rank
    Still showing a big hit FWIW
  • Birthday April 5

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KFDK
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Frederick, MD
  • Interests
    Snowstorms that rank #11 of all time.

Recent Profile Visitors

4,965 profile views
  1. Amped

    7-19 Severe outbreak MN into upper MI

    7500 sbcape in Iowa. That's insane.
  2. Amped

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    The Warm Eddy in the gulf looks like it's in a similar spot to 2005 fwiw.
  3. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    Band of Heavy rain 1+/hr finally moving into Baton Rouge along with a bunch or Tornado warnings. Another heavy band in eastern MS
  4. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    Yes and precip is specifically dying right at the coast, so the northerly offshore wind shear might be helping it also. I remember the opposite with Harvey where precip was blowing up when it hit the coast. And LOL at the GFS 6hr forecast, Already wrong.
  5. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    The heavy rainfall is having a very hard time getting onshore in SE LA. Models had 2"/hr rates well onshore by now, and they are still tickling the coast. Edit: The HRRR is now keeping most of the 10+ totals offshore and confined to the immediate coast. Basically showing a bust.
  6. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    Now it appears to have taken over almost entirely and is about to make landfall early, then move back out over Atchafalaya bay and make a second landfall tomorrow. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=02L&product=vis Edit: Appears to have wobbled due west. And yes this is the only center now, and is north of where any model had it.
  7. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    The satellite and radar presentation are still a mess though an really haven't improved in the last several hours.
  8. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    GFS had a sharp NE turn after landfall that caused most of the convection to miss New Orleans on several runs prior to 18z. Now that it lost the sharp turn it puts the rain back over New Orleans. It's still hard to tell with these convective setups, the bands sometimes end up pushing further into the higher CAPE region to the SE than modeled. The GFS is also not predicting the current heavy rain areas very well.
  9. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    GFS doesn't match the current convection well. The RGEM is doing a better job.
  10. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    CMC now pretty close to the GFS with landfall in SE LA. NHC still way to far west if that verifies.
  11. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    It's hard to see how this produces more rain than Lee in 2011, which had a similar track speed and intensity to the Barry forecast. Rain amounts were in the 10-15 range across se LA
  12. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    Euro is similar to the gfs but slightly west. Cmc and ukmet are on their own bringing it into texas.
  13. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    Gfs has lower pressures over the apps and tenn valley at hr 6. This might be helping with the further east development and track.
  14. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    GFS now similar to the 18z Euro. Makes a pretty sharp turn NNE. Western New Orleans metro gets 18-20" on this run.
  15. Amped

    Hurricane Barry

    The gfs is still shows nw shear increasing as it approaches land as well as a lopsided storm. Even if it gets stronger than expected it should weaken on final approach.
×