psuhoffman

In all honesty I’m not rooting for anything. I’m fine if it’s nice and warm. But I do kind of find it humorous that many just want it to be over and winter is hanging on just enough to continue teasing us. I’m patient. It will warm up sooner or later. But this is funny.

And of course the obligatory fv3... granted it did kind of just win with the storm this week and has euro endorsement so...

Gfs misses us south with two snowstorms day 8-12 lol.

I track all year for whatever kind of weather. When nothing interesting shows up i don’t say anything but I’m still watching.

Since the setup wasn’t that good most failed to notice the antecedent temperature profile was degrading...to the point that any frozen is a real low probability even if we get this to trend towards a more amped west track. Its also super low probability but if the guidance is even close with a pressing anomalous cold airmass as a cutoff low system tracks under us day 8-10 that is a better setup. Still unlikely but less unlikely I guess.

We only get ~20”. The 40” area is down by DC. Next.

Lol

I used to post up here years ago when I lived in PA for a while. The only reason I post more down in the Mid Atlantic was at the time I moved back their forum was way more active. During down times when nothing is imminent this thread can sometimes go dormant for a while. But I think I will bounce back and forth more often. The discussion up here seems to be more level headed right now.

I’m trying to hit a weekend that warms up. Ideally sunny and 45 degrees. Get it to soften up. Yea powder would be ideal but that’s the second best conditions imo. I had 4 weekends available. The first two I passed because it looked cold/dry. I won’t do that. I have 2 options left. Last week of March and first of April. Hopefully one of them is either warm or a late season dump. Either works. Cold/icy and I’ll just wait till next year. I’ll let conditions decide but my preference would be wildcat or sugarloaf

Nice. What were the snow conditions? How’s their base? I might head up to either wildcat or sugarloaf the last weekend in March.

The March 27ish period actually has some possibility. It’s not likely. Maybe a 1/10 chance we see any frozen. But it’s not completely over unless you mean from a likely standpoint. I highly doubt we see anymore frozen but it’s not no chance yet.

The fact it’s 10 days away is why it’s the “better” chance. Neither is likely to cause snow. But that setup being further away leaves more room for chaos so more chance something truly anomalous happens that guidance is missing. There are some hints on individual ensemble members. Like this...

The period around the 26-28 is probably more likely for a fluke snow. Still highly unlikely but a lot of guidance is keeping a cutoff system under us and some has enough NS interaction to perhaps be cold enough if everything went perfect.

We have created threads for less

It’s not even just snow. Some people are being pissy about everything. Cold, wet, cloudy... and I’m not even actually rooting for any particular thing at this point. Honestly I’m not. I like interesting weather and I’m not gonna kick another snowstorm out of bed if it happens but I’m not really rooting for that. If we don’t get more snow I’m fine. If we do I’m fine. I’m just tracking whatever. Yea it would be great if we got weeks on end of 65-75 and sunny but I don’t actually have any control over that. Me talking about a storm threat doesn’t make it happen. My god I really don’t understand what is going on inside some people’s heads. And this isn’t directed at any one person and your right there are plenty of people not acting that way. I’m here all year. I like all kinds of interesting weather. I’m just annoyed with this telling people what to talk about crap. I never tell people not to talk about a thunderstorm threat in winter season. Or not to talk about a heat wave in December. People can talk about whatever weather they they want and we should discuss whatever interesting weather is happening regardless of the month. I post less outside snow season because a lot of the other stuff we track isn’t really a long lead tracking thing and I feel like I have less to contribute but I follow and post off and on. I just wish people would stop it with the telling people what to discuss or that they are wasting their time. If they don’t like the conversation just ignore it or start a new conversation about what they want to talk about.