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psuhoffman

StormMode Moderator
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Everything posted by psuhoffman

  1. psuhoffman

    May Banter 2019

    My 4 year old son pretends he is chasing tornadoes.
  2. psuhoffman

    April/May Medium-Long range

    The correlation to increased snowfall in the mid Atlantic seems to be the winter immediately following the minimum. However, it’s such a small sample size the correlation could be due to coincidence with other factors.
  3. psuhoffman

    April Banter 2019

    maybe we weren’t kidding about tracking snow on the FV3 in summer.
  4. psuhoffman

    April/May Medium-Long range

  5. psuhoffman

    March snowfall predictions

    Predict March snowfall this year for the 4 major airports. Predictions have to be in before the 25th. Then for fun predict your yard. Plus what number you would take right now if it was offered as a guarantee or else you could take your chances.
  6. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    The fv3 is awesome. It’s going to be fun tracking snow from my pool this year!
  7. psuhoffman

    Early April Winter Storm Discussion(LOL)

    Yea except that run was about 20” lol
  8. psuhoffman

    Early April Winter Storm Discussion(LOL)

    And it’s not from the coastal next week...it’s a day 11-12 storm around April 10th lol.
  9. psuhoffman

    Early April Winter Storm Discussion(LOL)

    So I saw this and was like hmmm... then was disappointed to see it was all from one member...but oh what a member it was I mean nothing like a 40” April snowstorm for the western burbs
  10. psuhoffman

    Early April Winter Storm Discussion(LOL)

    Gfs boundary temps always too warm
  11. psuhoffman

    Early April Winter Storm Discussion(LOL)

    @Ji who did you piss off???
  12. psuhoffman

    Early April Winter Storm Discussion(LOL)

    There’s something for everyone Not fringed cape special Jon Jon always wins the oh no not that again and finally reality
  13. psuhoffman

    March Discobs 2019

    38 some slush bombs mixed in.
  14. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    This is definitely the one!!!!!!! Woooo
  15. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    I see people are over reacting again
  16. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    2003/4 wasn’t a nino. 2004/5 was.
  17. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    But are those the top 5 wettest falls? Or just the top 5 wettest falls in that subset of years with wet summers? And some of those wet years just outside the top 5 were snowy. And there is a decent chance that any random 5 years would all be below 20” snowfall. Correlation does not equal causality. So I cannot say that there isn’t causality. But that small correlation in no way proves it does. It does show a wet fall isn’t a sign of a snowy winter though. One of my degrees is sociology and I used statistics a lot for that. I also had to get certified in economics and needed statistics for that. Plus I took statistics for meteorology before switching majors.
  18. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    Hopefully with the fv3 by the time we’re done tracking this year it will already be picking up on next years threats!!! Maybe we can have a debate in the summer of exactly which season the fv3 day 10 snow belongs.
  19. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    When you use a dependent variable that only happens about 30% of the time (above avg snowfall) along with an independent variable with a sample size of 5...you have absolutely no statistical significance. Chances are high you got that result from random chance.
  20. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    See it’s fun
  21. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    Watch out for April ice storms!!!
  22. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    The real threat still looks good
  23. psuhoffman

    The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

    I love nice weather But It’s warm 90% of the time for 6 months. It’s not rare. It’s not something I need to worry about. We will get plenty of warm nice days. Snow is way more rare. But you know that your just trolling.
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