Nomz
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About Nomz
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I wonder where the low pressure is????
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That's not supposed to be there...
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Per RONI, JFM for 96-97 was 1.8 so I didn't count it
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Given that we have a realistic shot of a 2.0+ °C El Niño this year, I decided to check how DCA has done snow-wise in those years. I used RONI, which goes back to 1950, and selected winters with ENSO >= 2.0 °C for DJF and JFM. 1972-73: 0.1" season total 1982-83: 27.6" season total, including 16.4" during the February 1983 blizzard 1991-92: 6.6" season total 2015-16: 22.2" season total, including 17.8" during January 2016 blizzard 50/50 odds, I'll take that
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and both events suck! we are who we thought we were
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I assumed that was what they meant because it made the most sense for the tornado cig levels; cig 1 hatching, you would expect EF2s if storms develop, etc. I could be reading between the lines too much, though.
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Need 75 mph gusts to verify cig 1 wind
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Little backside cover here?
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Re: capping. We were barely capped at 12z, and with convection already initiated, it wasn't gonna last long before this line formed. I should have checked this sounding before hoping for anything.
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I think that tiny bowing segment W of Fredericksburg will probably be the one that finally sweeps through DC. Will probably be marginally severe but whatever.
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This isn't gonna work.
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Yeah, this is gonna bust for DC, pretty badly. Even if this crapvection line never makes it to DC, there's gonna be zero instability.
