Nomz

Significant tornado threat looks to be pretty stunted for the next few hours. Nearly zero SBCAPE is making it inland, and storms are getting choked out before they can come ashore. Already happened to a few cells coming up Apalachee Bay.

go sox

Very strong supercell churning approx 35 miles SE of Carrabelle

Yeah, could just be a matter of time before the stronger winds mix down to the surface.

Surprisingly the east eyewall drop only recorded 87kt surface level winds

Interestingly, the side that will be sheared apart, the south side, is much healthier than the north side right now.

So far, a complete coup for Google DeepMind

Really starting to look quite nice on IR

Hurricane warnings hoisted for extreme W FL, AL, E MS.

Recon found 990 extrapolated; I would guess 995 or so on the drop, based on the last two passes. EDIT: Drop was was 996 @ 23 kt = 994mb

NHC issuing advisories for TS Isaias. Max intensity forecast 95 kt @ 6z on the 9th.

Google 12z is really quite aggressive. Worth noting the other AI models tend to agree while the classic models are less bullish.

Advisories for TD Nine forthcoming at the top of the hour per the NHC website

Google seems to be zeroing in on a significant landfall on the Gulf Coast. Still a long lead time though

Speaking of Mike Tomlin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_h_pQ1-5iQg