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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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About Eskimo Joe

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    Go big or shut up

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  1. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    The high SB CAPE on the SPC meso page is probably being shown due to a few stations with anomalously high Td, namely KMTN (Martin St Airport), KNHK (NAS Patuxent) and KNAK (Naval Academy). Their proximity to the water may be representative of the local conditions near the observation site but it's similar to how DCA can torch if the winds flip to the SW or back to the SE off the water. The ML CAPE values are more realistic, and even then might be a ~100 j/kg too high because they are incorporating the above stations.
  2. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    ^i'm in Maine that day...bank on a big event. Even possible legit MOD risk day.
  3. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    So, I guess we're getting a watch? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1115.html
  4. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    I just hope DCA can hit 90° again.
  5. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    That's centered over KMTN which has a high surface Td compared to the rest of the stations nearby. KGED also does that sometimes on the eastern shore and it gives a bad impression.
  6. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Also have a convective temp of 87° which is dubious to reach.
  7. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    LWX's AFD is a bit curious...the visible satellite shows the region is socked in with mid level clouds. Not sure how we manage to get north of ~1,000 CAPE without better sunshine.
  8. Eskimo Joe

    June Discobs 2019

    0.0" since Sunday
  9. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Sounds like a few trees into houses in Columbia. Likely a downburst.
  10. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    We've cooled off to 86 in Gaithersburg.
  11. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    At least all 3 terminal hit 90° today so JB looks like an idiot again. lol
  12. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    It's 2PM and we haven't even had a pity meso. Looks like a clean whiff today. EDIT: there's the pity meso https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1103.html
  13. Eskimo Joe

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    CU field popped in Gaithersburg. 88/62 at work.
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