Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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About Eskimo Joe

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    Go big or shut up

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  1. I'm in until 2/14, but man things are starting to look bleak.
  2. It's not out of the realm of possibility that we squeak out a quick cartopper from the weekend event. I would put the odds at 1 in 5 right now.
  3. For those wondering about the cold, the end of the 18z OP GFS has DC not getting out of the upper 20s on Inauguration Day. Sub zero air in Canada and the Great Lakes.
  4. He thinks this is a quick snow to rain for everyone, but admits it's several days off. From my conservations with Wes over the years, he's generally pessimistic about potential snow events in La Nina winters in these parts.
  5. Wes isn't enthused by the 12z OP euro.
  6. WRT to 12z EPS, the mean/individual members are not as wound up as the OP. It would argue all snow for everyone north of St. Mary's city. Hope we see the GFS start to catch on.
  7. Notice how the Pacific ridge is actually here, we almost get some cross polar flow here so temps won't be an issue with any storm that we get.
  8. 6 days out, everything has shift NW with time this winter. Lets see what the Euro has at 12z.
  9. Agreed. Standard caveat is that folks should always have low expectations going into this and be happy with what we get. To see this in a La Nina pattern is pretty amazing.
  10. 12z EPS sets up decent western ridge and maintains the stout -NAO. Cross polar flow tries to show up around Jan 16th. This is a signal that has existed for the past 24 hours:
  11. *ahem* I'll have you know I'm on the southern end of Jackpotville™.