Eskimo Joe
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Blue Box until 02:00 UTC -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The high SB CAPE on the SPC meso page is probably being shown due to a few stations with anomalously high Td, namely KMTN (Martin St Airport), KNHK (NAS Patuxent) and KNAK (Naval Academy). Their proximity to the water may be representative of the local conditions near the observation site but it's similar to how DCA can torch if the winds flip to the SW or back to the SE off the water. The ML CAPE values are more realistic, and even then might be a ~100 j/kg too high because they are incorporating the above stations. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
^i'm in Maine that day...bank on a big event. Even possible legit MOD risk day. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
So, I guess we're getting a watch? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1115.html -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I just hope DCA can hit 90° again. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's centered over KMTN which has a high surface Td compared to the rest of the stations nearby. KGED also does that sometimes on the eastern shore and it gives a bad impression. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Also have a convective temp of 87° which is dubious to reach. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
LWX's AFD is a bit curious...the visible satellite shows the region is socked in with mid level clouds. Not sure how we manage to get north of ~1,000 CAPE without better sunshine. -
0.0" since Sunday
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
meh- 2,538 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sounds like a few trees into houses in Columbia. Likely a downburst. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We've cooled off to 86 in Gaithersburg. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
At least all 3 terminal hit 90° today so JB looks like an idiot again. lol -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's 2PM and we haven't even had a pity meso. Looks like a clean whiff today. EDIT: there's the pity meso https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1103.html -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
CU field popped in Gaithersburg. 88/62 at work.
