ma blizzard

still a little concerned we see more amped mid/upper lvls while low lvl CAD remains similar .. I'd be wary of going much above 12" really anywhere until modeling is more consistent on the ANA front stuff later on Sunday. Also, how worried are we about last min NW ticks? Gulf source region + convection could def pump up downstream ridging ..

prob the most absurd forecasted sounding post cold tuck I've ever seen .. this is KBED valid 18z Sun on the GFS

wouldn't sleep on gulf source / longer duration of precip than typical SWFE i bet just north of the mid lvl warm front where precip can stay mostly snow has a good chance higher end amounts working out (say 8"-14")

https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493(1921)49<612a%3AGISONI>2.0.CO%3B2 @weathafella

sleet is super under-rated .. VD 07 dropped ~4" of sleet and it stuck around until early April that year also y'all are thirsty for micro-analyzing a D8 GFS fantasy storm .. albeit prob the best set-up we've had all year so far

should see winds start backing next couple hrs .. IMO looks icy later NW of 90/128, maybe as far SE as OWD / BOS towards 0z?

3KM NAM is pretty aggressive with locking in cold air with the meso low .. keeps a good chunk of C/E MA sub freezing till it get mixes out with the fropa wed morning

you know its been a rough stretch when we are holding out hope for a meso low + cold tuck scenario to have a shot at seeing some freezing rain

gotta love the run to run consistency from the goofus

maybe some higher gusts mix down w/ the convective cells starting to come ashore?

63/59 at KBOS .. maybe get up to 66-67?

we pray for big ice .. its been awhile

Congrats Wiz!

ya thats a good point .. not sure how the background state / tropics compares exactly. Hopefully doesn't lead to suppression city like Jan 04 - although we had some close calls