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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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About Eskimo Joe

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KGAI
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  • Location:
    Reisterstown, MD

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  1. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a Delmarva special today
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Ah that day was legit. I remember watching the radar and was quite impressed. That event is proof positive we can get several major tornadoes on the same day in the northeast and mid atlantic.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    You mean June 1, 2012? The moderate risk day that almost went full gang busters?
  4. Eskimo Joe
    With so many of the 12z western ROABs missing, I wonder if it's going to be a summer of short term model guidance beating mid range?
  5. Eskimo Joe
    That cluster which originated near IAD yesterday just went gangbusters as it swung through Fairfax, far southern Montgomery, DC, and Prince Georges County. There was a consistent 60-70kt wind signature for over an hour. Really impressive stuff. Looking back on it, the canary in the coal mine was probably the earlier convection near Pittsburgh going so strong.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    NOVA machine go brrrrrr
  7. Eskimo Joe
    We thank you in advance for your sacrifice.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    The Blue Angels have two upcoming shows in Maryland. Expect an increase in these activities across DC/Baltimore/Annapolis for the 250th events. https://www.blueangels.navy.mil/show/
  9. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR only has a few storms south of DC, but it aggressively mixes out the dew points too which probably is messing with things.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Just imagine if this thing hit at 4pm with some better lapse rates and a touch more shear.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    DCA just gusted to 52 kts
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Wow healthy 60 kt core just south of DCA.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Agree 9/10 times. IMO, this is the 1 out of 10 times I'll differ given the numerous 250 Anniversary event from Baltimore to DC. In a situation like this, it's just easier to slap down a big polygon and say "it's coming everyone".
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Two thoughts come to mind: 1.) These are machine learning/AI-influenced CAMS that don't yet have the "database" of events to properly articulate when these events die off. 2.) As we saw with April 2011 and the 2012 Derecho, mature MCS complexes persist longer than meso guidance if the downstream airmass is sufficiently unstable. However, the lack of an EML or good jet streak generally isn't enough to sustain the storms much past sunset. There is an eight part YouTube video from Rich Thompson (SPC met) speaking a Univ of Oklahoma and he talks about this extensively. I cannot find the YouTube series unfortunately.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    IAD gusted to 50 mph again. Impressive. Fairfax to DC about to get crushed.
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