Eskimo Joe

Hope the southern Maryland and Delmarva folks on here can cash in this afternoon and evening. Snow for everyone is the best!

12z Thursday, 1/22

Folks. . .

Euro just swings the MJO through Phases 7, 8, 2, 1 with a tanking -AO, marginal NAO, +PNA, and -EPO. It's like the stars are trying to align.

Agreed. This is probably our best shot for a widespread, warning level snowfall this season. My go/no go would be the 12z runs on Thursday, 1/22. My goal for this window is at least one, widespread warning level snowfall of 6"+. Bonus would be two, warning level snowfalls of 6"+. That would cement the region with it's first above normal snowfall in a decade. Bottom line: I'm very optimistic about the period Jan 25 - Feb 15.

Strong signal for a plowable snowfall (maybe 4" - 8"?) at D7 is legit.

Radar building across Delmarva and most of the Delaware/Maryland mesonet obs show a NW wind now. Looks like precip should be picking up in intensity for the southern NJ folks here within the hour.

Winter Weather Advisory for Lancaster & Lebanon counties extended to 6 pm this evening. Radar implies another coating to one inch of snow.

12 GEFS-AI is money for this Frid-Sat potential. Cold powder, 850s, never get above -6, and some gul moisture to boot.

@wxmeddler can probably provide more context, but it seems to me that it melted off to about 2", then another ~0.8" accumulated.

Cold, dry, get your dehumidifiers and skin care routine prepped.

While returns are light, they're building as far west as Central Wet Virginia. It would not surprise me to see a dusting to maybe half inch of snow in the metros and immediate suburbs with this second round this afternoon/evening if everything breaks our way.

Two days in a row with snow. Nice.

LWX bumped snowfall totals for tomorrow a bit.