Eskimo Joe

Hopefully we don't get above 55 degrees all winter. There is something deeply unwholesome about 70 degrees in the middle of winter.

Full climo for the month and we reinvigorate the December 5th Rule. Sold.

Bittinger and Frostburg mesonet sites showing a flip to westerly winds. Looks like the front is starting to crest the Eastern Continential Divide. Here's hoping we don't torch into the 70s prefrontal.

12z GFS really tries to see something up around the 5th, 8th, and 10th. If we can't score at least climo snowfall then we'll need a regional exorcism.

RSTM2 COOP site: M0.47" overnight M1.63" November to date. Glad to see additional precip. Our aquifers need it.

My benchmark is 1" - 3" that doesn't get washed away. Would get us to December climo.

12z GFS has a much better CAD signature compared to its 00z/06z iterations.

We still have a week to find our fail point. Could be any of the following: 1.) High slides offshore and we nibble away at CAD with antecedent southeast winds. 2.) Last minute de-amplification trend. 3.) Primary drives into Pittsburgh and it's just cold rain.

Good luck. We're all praying you two have the mojo this winter.

The 00z GFS/UKMET/Euro and 06z GFS/GEFS would get most of this subforum to climo snowfall for December by December 5th. Very impressive.

I could hear that all the way in Gaithersburg.

The Canadian high on the 06z Euro is a tad east for my liking. That setup can erode the CAD situation with prolonged southeast winds. Would like to see that backed up further west into the St. Lawrence River Valley.

It's La Nina...the odds of the big ones aren't on our side. I'd be happy with several light to moderate events that yield snow-on-snow.

100% agreed. I do not get excited for acute threats until we're inside D3 anymore.