Eskimo Joe
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One of my top 5 events. A colossal forecast bust from DC to Philly. Had almost a foot of snow in Lancaster.
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To my eye, this is very Jan 26, 2011 esque
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Closed 500 low over western/central Tennessee by HR 111. Surface low over western South Carolina. Everyone east of I-81 starts as rain, but the flip to snow seems imminent.
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I'm at HR 108 and the presentation at 500 mb looks good to my eye. Passing through western Tennessee and starting to go neutral.
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NAM is insistent on snow squalls even into the immediate suburbs.
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There is no way you whiff with a 500 vort pass like that on the Icon. I call BS.
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Heck of a way to run a winter in these parts. Blech.
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Agreed. @Terpeastsaid it best. As long as the 500 energy is to our south, we're in a good place.
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Jan 26, 2011 also developed early and everyone north of I-66 scored.
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Would just like a clean 4"-6" from the first event.
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Go on. . . .
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Jan 25-26, 2011. Absolutely wild event. Over 100,000 power outages from 6"-10" of paste in 6 hours under a setting sun.
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Notice how there is a bit of ridging edging into Maine. Wonder if this helps nudge the trough more neutral/negative?
