Eskimo Joe

No watches in our neck of the woods until Friday PM. We're 72+ hours out, and watches don't get issued until we're ~48 hours out.

Watches now stretch from New Mexico to West Virginia. It's truly a thing of beauty.

No pressure, just the hopes and dreams of every Delaware Valley snow weenie resting on your shoulders.

Yes that is a possibility in a setup like this at our latitude.

Agreed. From a winter weather perspective, there is nothing better than a sizeable snowstorm on the front side of a good pattern.

I'm having a hard time believing the CMC/UKMET where the primary low just runs into this dome of high pressure with ease.

Now THAT is a legitimate blizzard.

@paweather - any chance you can post the "traditional" 10:1 maps for the 12z GFS?

To my eye a key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for just about everyone. Even the folks in far southern Maryland and the tidewater of VA that mix get a solid event, then appear to flip back to several hours of accumulating snow.

Key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for the entire subforum. Everyone gets snow in some way.

Per the 12z GFS, temps in the low to mid 20s for nearly everyone during the storm. Incredible.

Here's the link for everyone:

It's amazing what clear skies, light winds, and even minimal snowpack can do.