frd

From Ventrice https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1149657951860248576

Wow that is crazy, I like to see some images. By the way, how is the food, I imagine very yummy. You might like this recipe..... I love calamari. My grandmother handed down years to me years ago a recipe that features linguine pasta served with a marinara, from garden tomatoes of course, sauted with the calamari in olive oil and topped of with fresh basil. An excellent seafood sauce , believe ir not.

Over 2.25 inches yesterday, mulch washed away and piled up in the bottom drive way, trees swaying down, garden hit hard, So much rain ! Power outages here and flooding on many roads. I believe the ground water levels must be very high. Fungus and other crap all around. Like clock-work this is similiar to last July. The first storm that hit us before the main area was a sight to behold. A lot of booming thunder with the evening complex. Some sad news about a car that washed away, driven by a women who was pregnant and her child in the Philly area. We need a serious break in my area.

Was body boarding down North Wildwood New Jersey, and wow in my 45 years of memory I can never recall seeing rays there. Many in groups, some surfacing. Did not bother us. My brother-in-law was in amazement. The water was aqua color and warm and the tide was coming in. I Googled on the beach and it seems they are after clams and also moving, or migrating, from South to North. What a day, many great waves, a great day ! Magic Seaweed does a great job along with Swell.com when it comes to forecasting winds changes and swell direction and height. Conditions were at times glassy.

Wow, went to the store and encountered an incredible thunderstorm, the most intense rainfall I have seen in years. Looks like over 1.50 inches here. Flooding on roads and vivid CTG strikes. Believe it is headed NE and carries a STW with it. There goes the garden. but really incredible to see and dark as night too! Also this would not send because of various FIOS issues here, and power outages

From @bluewave Rather interesting , so I brought it here. I find the -NAO connection intriguing myself, as we have been -NAO for years it seems now. And sure, the connection down in our woods is not a -NAO =cooler weather, but it may have an effect on storm track and other nuances. <<< from bluewave First, we get the heavy convection tonight with the tropical PWAT feed down to Barry and front. 0z Euro shifted the track of Barry to our south next week. So it gives us more rain and less heat than earlier runs. The further south track may be a result of the continuing record -NAO streak. So the exact Barry track will determine how much heat and rain we get. New run Old run >>>>

Did not expect rain this early, there was a heavy cell SW of me. Here I have .15 with cloud cover. My daughter is at the beach this morning , Bethany, DE, looking on the vis sat appears mostly sunny down there now.

That's rather interesting, also at this point we get the High pressure ridge in the center of the Country to become more of a player by day 7 through 10. That feature will be responsible for the heat wave by mid month and beyond. Wonder if maybe it drifts West and continues to go West or maybe it comes ashore in the Northern GOM and then moves North and abruptly due East. All speculation on my part . You would think the EPS should have the handle on this today.

Looks like the odds are increasing for a mid-month heat wave. GFS and EPS seem to concur. Also, bake those Western Atlantic SSTs even further.

Exactly . The trend is rather solid at this point .

Maybe the WAR will impact this and instead of a move NE towards, VA and NC, maybe this does develop and drifts West across the Northern Gulf of Mexico, speculation of course but certainly an outcome. I mean I take the Euro as a decent indicator, lets see the overnight run, along with what the other models do as well. Maybe the moisture makes a move North after any eventual landfall, as seen here. In this case not as exciting for us I imagine.

Wonder if this year follows the same pattern, or whether we make a change going forward to a hotter regime and drier. drier = hotter Some models indicate mid month a supportive pattern of hotter weather. Yet, so far at least, even a dry periods have reversed going back to wet. Some have missed the rainfall but certainly it has been more wet than not. Summer blocking supports heat further into the season so whether the current blocking continues might have a say.

And so it begins

and this

Well, the clouds sure looked cool rolling in, but the line really fizzled here and was a dissapointment, not even much rain.