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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. 1.10 of rain here. So far July has been wet.
  2. Machine learning did well in review, pointing out days well in advance. At least from what I read 7 to 10 days ago.
  3. CAPE stands for Convective Available Potential Energy. [1] It measures atmospheric instability. It indicates how much energy is available to fuel rising air currents (updrafts) to create thunderstorms. [1, 2, 3, 4]
  4. TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 507 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 205 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026 TORNADO WATCH 507 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC003-220100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0507.260721T1805Z-260722T0100Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NEW CASTLE $$
  5. Significant cloud cover to the North, East and West of DC presently. The area of storms in PA really has a crazy outflow as previously mentioned.
  6. The East based Nino folks are not going to agree.
  7. The sun here upon sunrise is a tiny red ball behind a thick milky sky, surreal.
  8. Hmm I dont smell smoke and this image would show the highest smoke density up North still
  9. Ah, its a new world out there.
  10. https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2077437310145077290 Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx Day 15: Another chance for Central heat rebuild, with maybe some expansion into Texas, as coasts stay mostly relatively cooler.
  11. Temp to 96 now that there is less smoke. Holly cow look at NY state, that is going to drop South.
  12. Wow, that is surreal. Wonder what code that gets? Code orange here today and tomorrow.
  13. WPC increased rainfall total
  14. Also record negative streak possibly
  15. You can clearly see the epicenter of the wild fires in this animation if you look in the NW part of the video https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 or the still frame
  16. Looks like our area is worse tomorrow as well. Dense smoke plume arrives tomorrow. https://x.com/weather_buffalo/status/2077091092860694878 The latest HRRR shows some absolutely insane smoke on Thursday across WNY. If it comes to fruition it would be much worse than what we experienced a few years ago in 2023.
  17. I can certainly see that too. Maybe a couple of degrees cooler would be possible. Never hit the forecasted high here today. Tomorrow's HRR smoke forecast is even worse, but I have not looked at the latest update.
  18. That would be cool. Still looks active starting Saturday and continuing a while afterwards. We cool off and then maybe another heatwave early August looking at model clusters. Meanwhile, I believe I bserve smoke overhead. Skies are milky white. Currently here Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 88°F 31°C Humidity 55% Wind Speed W 10 G 17 mph Barometer 30.12 in (1019.9 mb) Dewpoint 70°F (21°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 93°F (34°C) Last update 14 Jul 12:51 pm EDT
  19. This is crazy too, but over the Atlantic, granted hour 288 but still.
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