frd

Yes, that is what I find most interesting are the possible implications for Jan 15 th to late Feb. ie. blocking - AO, etc.

Interesting

Seems we might have a + NAO October, I believe thats a good thing.

Works for weather consulting firm. Weeklies are interesting.

WPC has shifted most of the rainfall off the coast even in areas to our Southeast and South.

Ryan Kane @ryankanerWX https://x.com/ryankanerWX/status/2111481037033296266/photo/1 The latest Euro weeklies run with the troughiness over the western US slowly pushing westward into the pacific makes sense to me. This would allow a more poleward flow at times into CONUS, increasing the chances for cold air intrusions for mid-late November. For now the cold likely stays bottled up through early November. A more typical, strong +ENSO pattern is beginning to take shape come November into December. For snow lovers across the Mid-Atlantic & Northeast, this will be a high boom/bust winter which will all be determined from Jan 15-Feb 15th. I'll have my full synopsis in my winter forecast on Sunday, November 1st. #EcWx #MdWx

Of course my grid says I go to mostly sunny, hmm? We shall see. Time is ticking. oday A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

After the cool down later this week warmth returns over a rather large area of North America.

1.06"

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2108603993190478158

https://x.com/severeweatherEU/status/2108462156245078159 SWE | severe-weather.eu @severeweatherEU Can rapid October snow advance in Siberia predict your winter? This is a famous forecast signal for cold winters in the U.S. and Europe, so we tested it across 47 winters of data and 4 different datasets. The results were surprising, and they change how we should read this October’s snow surge as we head into Winter 2026/2027. The first week of October was a bit slower than normal. But the forecast shows a big surge of snow coming in the next two weeks. If it verifies, this would be one of the faster October snow advances of the last three decades, roughly in the top 15% for this period of the month. Keep in mind that this is still an early look, as most of the data comes from the ECMWF forecast, which updates several times per day. The true final number will only be known after October 31. So, what happened with winter after similar October snow advances in the past? Below are the six years with the most similar October snow advances so far, and the winter AO that followed. The following winter AO was negative three times, near neutral once, and positive twice. Three of these years, 2002, 2019, and 2023, also had active El Niño, like this year, but they still produced three very different winters. So on its own, a fast snow advance this October tells us little about the coming winter in the modern era.

Coastal again possibly

More warmth as we near next weekend.

Models not doing well. Going to be a long winter.

I know Ai was.

Trying to get a mow in today and Friday morning before overseeding and areation. You think Friday morning looks good for a second lower cutting prior to areation? Going in to work at 2:00 PM today. Yeah and here is exactly what you mentioned.

Cloudy again this morning. The forecast is for mostly sunny skies

WPC does not agree

Sun was forecasted, but as usual a busted forecast. Has happened all year.

Wonder if the PDO in November or December gets to slightly positive. August 2026 -1.11 July 2026 -1.35 June 2026 -1.32 May 2026 -1.64 April 2026 -1.28 March 2026 -1.18 February 2026 -0.79 January 2026 -0.87 December 2025 -0.39 November 2025 -1.02 October 2025 -1.82 September 2025 -1.71 August 2025 -2.54 July 2025 -3.83 June 2025 -2.62

Multiple days of 80s coming up. Upper 80s for DC is also possible on Friday . After next week's cold shot warmth returns. Then back and forth.

Ying Yang