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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. It's over. Really, talk about upcoming hurricane season. Atlantic Ocean is very warm already.
  2. Seeing reports of 14 inches in East Central PA.
  3. For the 6 th year in a row the weeklies sucked. LR Models can not predict HL events, nor the NAM stae, modeling can not predict the AO or the NAO far in advance. Modeling may be able to handle the warm seasons, but when cold is forecasted best to not believe it. This winter was the final straw.
  4. Looking at the data on Stratobserve there seems to be some changes going on mid to late month. These changes may cause the long range ensembles to improve in the next few days to colder and snowier scenarios for our area. Will be interesing to monitor.
  5. It would be a bummer with the end of the month pattern not to score an all snow event for my area and @CAPE . But, I get it. Even @psuhoffman mentioned some frustrations with temps. I will remain optimistic. Hopefully things get active ( snowy ) and you can offer your valued insights.
  6. You are not concerned with the anomalously displaced STJ ? You anticipate this to change later in the month? I am thinking the massive - SOI tanking changes things up later. Just wondering .
  7. Yes, I saw that and I was reading Tip's thoughts in the New england forum where he mentioned he believes the + PNA longevity might be brief. Hard to say for sure what eventually happens in the Pac. The Greenland Block and the - AO look legit.
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