frd

Matches the WPC forecast almost perfectly

Honestly I know you have suffered down with rainfall, but it does seem the rainfall pattern is more active, and maybe the Nino is showing some effect despite it only being mid August. Of course just speculation on my part.

Another Flood Watch, been the summer of flood watches and brown patch. I bet they expand the Flood Watch SW later today. Flood Watch National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ Issued by National Weather Service New York NY 208 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026 DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012>022-025>027-PAZ070-071-101>106-200900- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0008.260820T1600Z-260821T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ New Castle-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington- Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean- Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester- Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks- Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Camden, Flemington, Oxford, West Chester, Pennsville, Trenton, Perkasie, Wilmington, Collegeville, Doylestown, Lansdale, New Brunswick, Kennett Square, Media, Sandy Hook, Chalfont, Atlantic City, Pottstown, Philadelphia, Norristown, Morrisville, Wharton State Forest, Cherry Hill, Hammonton, Honey Brook, Moorestown, Long Beach Island, Somerville, Mount Holly, Jackson, Millville, Glassboro, and Freehold 208 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas, Atlantic, Camden, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Cumberland, Eastern Monmouth, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, Salem, Somerset, Southeastern Burlington and Western Monmouth, and southeast Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, Western Chester and Western Montgomery. * WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the area beginning Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening. Rainfall rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour are possible. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible with localized amounts of 3 to 5 inches which could cause flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ DeSilva

Hmm, forecast looks like a Nino, and it feels like a Nino out there. oday Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 67. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Calm wind. Thursday A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 86. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday Night Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Friday A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Friday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday Night A chance of showers. Partly cloudy,

Heaviest rains have shifted SE in the 7 day from the WPC

You were correct ! A Flash Flood Warning was issued here last night and early morning. Training cells for almost an hour. 1.42 of rain here. 3 inches for the month so far. Pattern looks active later in the week. WPC https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd

and Flood Watches. A bust here so far in terms of rainfall. I understand how @CAPE feels.

I am postponing overseeding till the middle of Sept., maybe by then we get some Nino connection. I work and therefore can not manually water the lawn. I hope we dont repeat last Sept., and October when soil moisture hit very low levels of near 17 %

Where the F is Nino ?

This is pathetic for the Eastern areas.

Who will be correct?

Heat ?

Nothing new here, summer seems to hang on in these parts until early October, last October I believe the cooler weather might have arrived a bit sooner, I know it was very dry though. https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/fall-forecast-2026-summer-warmth-may-linger-as-el-nino-intensifies/1915201 Where will fall feel the warmest? September may feel more like an extension of summer across parts of the country, especially in the mid-Atlantic and southeastern U.S., where the above-average temperatures will be paired with high humidity and warm nights. It may not be until October before the first intrusions of chilly air arrive in the north-central Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast, but these cold outbreaks are not expected to be long-lasting. Worsening drought could also contribute to the warmth, including in the mid-Atlantic, interior Northwest and across the Rockies, where there are pockets of extreme to exceptional drought. The same dry pattern may also keep wildfire danger elevated into early fall, resulting in episodes of smoky conditions downwind of large blazes.

Certain areas have improved,but not all areas have been as lucky. Hopefully, the Fall and Winter months will be much above normal precip helping to replenish the water tables and eliminating the drought.

Was in the garden weeding and picking some veggies. When it was time to come back in I could not remove my t shirt, it was totally wet. Disgusting !

Hmm, not sure. I go to North Wildwood NJ. because the waves are better, versus Dewey Beach and the Inlet here in Delaware. I did hear there were jelly fish at some Delaware beaches, but I have not heard about any at the lower Southern NJ beaches such as Cape May, the Wildwoods and Stone Harbor. I believe Delaware beaches are more prone to stinging jelly fish due to the effects of the Delaware Bay incubator effect. Also, North Wildwood is more exposed to open water and more active currents lessening stinging jelly swarms. The Cheasapeake Bay might be responsible for more jelly fish activity on the MD beaches due to salinity this year because of the drought, calmer surf and warmer temps in the Chessy .

.55 of rain here. Grass and plants are very happy ! Sure better than last night's miss.

Finally something might form and get near the Islands, then head out to sea, but at least it can send some swells to the nearby beaches for surfing. Wave energy has been lacking so far this season here and along the East Coast.

Machine Learning is very pumped for 8/11 and 8/12 severe potential in our area, then things get eventually drier, cooler and less humid.

Storms seem to be getting stronger in NE Maryland as they move East.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 543 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 110 PM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-082200- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0543.260808T1710Z-260808T2200Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$