yoda

Thank you for sacrificing

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1137 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-016-501>510-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051- 053>057-501>508-526-527-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-132345- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0025.250713T1600Z-250714T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah- Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison- Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Hampshire-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 1137 AM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, and portions of Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Central and Eastern Allegany, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Eastern Garrett, Extreme Western Allegany, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, Washington and Western Garrett, Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Highland, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren, Western Highland and Western Loudoun, and West Virginia, including the following areas, Berkeley, Eastern Grant, Eastern Mineral, Eastern Pendleton, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson, Morgan, Western Grant, Western Mineral and Western Pendleton. * WHEN...Through 2 AM tonight. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms will form this afternoon and linger on and off through the first half of the night. Storms will be slow moving and capable of producing very heavy rainfall. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches appear likely for locations that receive thunderstorms, with isolated totals of 2 to 4 inches. The strongest thunderstorms may be capable of producing 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain in an hour. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information

Hope this hasn't been posted yet, if so my mistake... saw this new study this morning. Looks interesting and will be reading... but I appreciate any thoughts by our experts here https://www.google.com/amp/s/phys.org/news/2025-07-polar-vortex-patterns-shifting-winter.amp https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adq9557

You mean December to February

Thoughts? https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/1943673129965949186

SLGT risk for severe tomorrow on the updated afternoon 1730z SPC OTLK

Yay URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1231 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025 MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ057-080045- /O.NEW.KLWX.HT.Y.0006.250708T1700Z-250708T2300Z/ Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Southeast Harford-King George- 1231 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heat index values up to 105 expected, up to 107 degrees closer to the Chesapeake Bay. * WHERE...In Maryland, Anne Arundel, Prince Georges, Cecil, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, Calvert, Charles, and St. Marys Counties. In Virginia, King George County. * WHEN...From 1 PM to 7 PM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.

Slight Risk for tomorrow for the region per updated day 2 from SPC

Mesoscale Discussion 1529 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025 Areas affected...the Mid-Atlantic States Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 011548Z - 011745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...An increasing damaging wind threat and Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance are expected this afternoon DISCUSSION...Convection has been slowly building across the central Appalachians, ahead of a low-amplitude shortwave trough that is progressing east across the Upper OH Valley. While there is some near-term uncertainty of how quickly this initial activity will strengthen amid weak DCAPE, the downstream airmass east of the Blue Ridge is destabilizing well as surface temperatures have already warmed into the upper 80s to low 90s. This will yield an uptick in convective intensity as clusters impinge on the Piedmont to Coastal Plain where mid 70s surface dew points are pervasive. Although lower-level winds will remain weak and predominately veered, moderate mid to upper-level westerlies will support organized multicells capable of producing multiple strong to isolated severe gust swaths. Scattered damaging winds appear likely towards mid to late afternoon. ..Grams/Mosier.. 07/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 40117372 39117452 37967617 37757901 38627929 40127907 40667848 40497568 40117372 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

Watch coming soon per MCD https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1529.html

Hope you had a great birthday @mappy Sorry I'm late, I'm in England right now

A SLGT risk appears for this afternoon

Would be kind of ironic if today we reached 100 degrees

96 now at DCA... so got about 4 more hours to reach 100