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yoda

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  1. yoda
    Same here since this morning.. got 4 cloudflare 502 error message in past 10 minutes. Says bad gateway and that the problem is with the host website @dendrite
  2. yoda
    Looks like a quick line coming soon for you
  3. yoda
    Power is out at work lol... just chilling and waiting
  4. yoda
    Looks like the line in i81 corridor is strengthening a bit
  5. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 1253 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026 Areas affected...portions of the central Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 221725Z - 221930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity over the next couple of hours. Scattered damaging wind gusts, isolated hail and perhaps a tornado will be possible through evening. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed by 19z. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms over the higher terrain of WV and vicinity are gradually increasing in intensity this afternoon as gradual destabilization occurs. Downstream from higher terrain across portions of VA into MD/DE, southern NJ and southeast PA, stronger heating is occurring within areas of mostly clear skies. Higher quality moisture across eastern VA has been streaming northward toward southeast PA/southern NJ and ensuing stronger destabilization is noted. Enhanced westerly flow is apparent in early afternoon mesoanalysis and 12z regional RAOBs. This should allow for sufficient deep layer shear for storm organization. Thunderstorm clusters will pose mainly a risk of damaging wind gusts given steep (greater than 7.5 C/km) 0-3 km lapse rates and PW values around 1.75 inches. Some forecast guidance suggests sufficient clustering/outflow consolidation may occur in the vicinity of northern VA/MD and a forward propagating cluster/bowing segment could develop and track northeast with time toward southeast PA/NJ. This corridor aligns with the corridor of stronger midlevel westerlies, and may pose a relative greater severe risk compared to points further south into southern VA and NC where flow is weaker. If this scenario unfolds, damaging wind potential will increase. Given modest 0-1 km SRH across the region, a tornado or two also could occur, though the damaging wind risk is expected to be the primary hazard into early evening. ..Leitman/Hart.. 06/22/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RAH...RNK...PBZ...RLX... GSP...MRX...JKL... LAT...LON 40497808 40747686 40807597 40757507 40587476 40047426 39677428 38847474 38197525 37847570 37297702 36447933 36097997 35748149 35858253 36268338 36608350 36928354 37748308 38378233 39148140 40177908 40497808 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
  6. yoda
    Watch coming by 3pm
  7. yoda
    DCA at 00z Tuesday 12z NAM
  8. yoda
    12z NAM soundings would definitely suggest potential for tornadoes tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night IMO
  9. yoda
    SLGT risk up for Monday on afternoon Day 3 @high risk @Kmlwx @Eskimo Joe ...Mid-Atlantic... Areas of showers and thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing Monday morning across the lower Great Lakes/upper OH Valley region. Ahead of that convection, a southwesterly low-level jet is forecast to migrate through the Mid-Atlantic, enhancing the poleward transport of an increasingly moist and unstable boundary layer. Increasing height falls/forcing for ascent coupled with convergence near and ahead of the surface low, cold front, and any existing outflow boundaries are expected to foster an increase in storm coverage and intensity by afternoon. Strengthening mid-level flow aloft will combine with backed, near-ground winds ahead of the surface low to enhance vertical shear across the DelMarVa region, supporting the potential for supercell storm modes capable of all severe-weather hazards.
  10. yoda
    Day 3 morning SPC OTLK for Monday... ...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic... A moist airmass will move into the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic on Monday ahead of an eastward moving cold front. Mid-level lapse rates will be weak which will limit overall instability, but moderate shear and sufficient instability, combined with steep low-level lapse rates will support some damaging wind threat Monday afternoon/evening. In addition, a smaller area of greater low-level shear may exist closer to the surface low across northern Virginia and vicinity, which could have a localized region of greater tornado threat.
  11. yoda
    Looks like Monday maybe?
  12. yoda
    Sun is coming out quickly here
  13. yoda
    40/20 tor probs, 70/30 wind
  14. yoda
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1000 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western Massachusetts Central and Eastern New York Vermont * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1000 AM until 300 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...A line of fast-moving thunderstorms will sweep eastward across the watch area through the early afternoon, posing a risk of damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Elmira NY to 25 miles east of Montpelier VT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 349...WW 350...WW 351... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 26040.
  15. yoda
    Tornado Watch it is for W MA, VT, and E NY until 3pm
  16. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 1181 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0831 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026 Areas affected...portions of the Northeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 181331Z - 181530Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms to shift eastward with potential for damaging wind and perhaps a tornado. DISCUSSION...Low topped convection will continue eastward this morning across portions of the Northeast. Strong southerly flow is ushering in higher dew points ahead of this line. Though cloud cover is prominent, further destabilization is expected to occur through filtered heating into the early afternoon with MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg progged by the afternoon. Given the strong mid-level flow and low-level jet, damaging wind potential will likely increase into the afternoon. Given strong low-level shear profiles, a couple of tornadoes are also possible. A watch will be needed soon to cover this potential. ..Thornton/Hart.. 06/18/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP... PBZ... LAT...LON 43017777 41647945 41407616 41587391 42387246 44077204 44817237 44887508 43017777 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
  17. yoda
    Sounds like Tornado Watch coming per MCD
  18. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 814 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia... Western Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... East central Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Central Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 900 AM EDT. * At 813 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Romney to 12 miles north of Moorefield to near Petersburg, moving east at 60 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Romney, Wardensville, Springfield, Capon Bridge, Green Spring, Bean Settlement, Yellow Spring, Shanks, High View, Bloomery, Perry, Points, Lost City, Lost River, Delray, Cross Junction, Baker, Kirby, Gore, and Wapocomo.
  19. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 809 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Northwestern Augusta County in western Virginia... Highland County in western Virginia... Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 845 AM EDT. * At 809 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 15 miles west of Upper Tract to 9 miles east of Richwood, moving east at 65 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Franklin, Monterey, Brandywine, Upper Tract, Doe Hill, Head Waters, Riverton, Deer Run, Liberty, Circleville, Ruddle, Williamsville, Oak Flat, Vanderpool, Sirons Mill, Hightown, Clover Creek, Cherry Grove, Mill Gap, and New Hampden.
  20. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 806 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Allegany County in western Maryland... Northwestern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Northeastern Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... Grant County in eastern West Virginia... South central Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Western Hardy County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 830 AM EDT. * At 806 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Keyser to 6 miles east of Davis to 8 miles south of Hendricks, moving east at 65 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Keyser, Moorefield, Petersburg, Romney, Rough Run, Upper Tract, Burlington, Russelldale, Landes, Arthur, Brushy Run, New Creek, Seymourville, Lahmansville, Masonville, Cabins, Dorcas, Fisher, Medley, and Kline Gap. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
  21. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 755 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Garrett County in western Maryland... Northwestern Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... Central Grant County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 830 AM EDT. * At 755 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Bayard to 6 miles southeast of Hendricks to near Elkins, moving east at 60 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Streby, Seneca Rocks, Onego, Hopeville, Beechwood, Riverton, and Wilsonia.
  22. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 737 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Garrett County in western Maryland... Northwestern Grant County in eastern West Virginia... Southwestern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 800 AM EDT. * At 737 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northwest of Bayard, moving east at 60 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Bayard, Loch Lynn Heights, Deer Park, Redhouse, Hutton, Gorman, Crellin, Beechwood, Wilson, Gormania, and Wilsonia. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3942 7948 3944 7920 3921 7932 3921 7936 3919 7949 TIME...MOT...LOC 1137Z 273DEG 51KT 3931 7949 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
  23. yoda
    20/5 tor probs, 50/10 wind
  24. yoda
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch up until noon for SW portion of the LWX CWA https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0350.html URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 350 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 710 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Virginia Eastern West Virginia * Effective this Thursday morning from 710 AM until NOON EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A fast-moving organized linear system with a history of wind damage/some tornadoes overnight will continue east-southeastward this morning. Wind damage will remain possible if not likely, even if the linear system begins to weaken across the mountains. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of White Sulphur Springs WV to 35 miles northeast of Lynchburg VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.
  25. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 1165 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026 Areas affected...portions of northern/central Missouri...western Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 171803Z - 172000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development likely by the afternoon with potential for all hazards including damaging wind, large hail, and strong tornadoes. DISCUSSION...Morning convection has moved into central/eastern Illinois, with trailing outflow and a zone of differential heating extending across northern Missouri into south-central Illinois. This zone will be the focus of redevelopment of thunderstorm activity this afternoon. Strong daytime heating is ongoing across central/northern Missouri into far western Illinois in the cloud free zone south of the outflow. SPC Mesoanalysis indicates that MLCIN is eroding in this region, with temperatures climbing into the mid 80s F. This is further confirmed by visible satellite trends with the cumulus near the vicinity of the outflow also becoming increasingly agitated. Strong deep layer shear around 50-55 kts is analyzed across this region, with STP around 2-3 across northern Missouri into far western Illinois. This in combination with strong to moderate instability edging northward will likely support initial supercells capable of large hail, damaging wind, and tornadoes (perhaps strong). A 40-50 kt low level jet axis extends from the southern/central Plains into Missouri/western Illinois. This is progged to shift north and eastward through the afternoon, which may shift the higher STP and more favorable tornado potential into portions of western/central Illinois. One or more watches will likely be needed to cover this potential this afternoon. ..Thornton/Hart.. 06/17/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 38788965 39578844 40158794 40518805 40738844 40788904 40599090 40469164 40309251 40129360 40049405 39629469 39309489 38959516 38169511 37979368 38499057 38619015 38788965 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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