Jump to content

yoda

Members
  • Posts

    56,196
  • Joined

Everything posted by yoda

  1. Been raining for a while here... probably at least past 6 hours
  2. I wonder if that doesn't weaken some by the time it gets here
  3. If we could have this during winter... but with snow instead of cold rain, that'd be great
  4. Sigh PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 548 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0547 PM FLOOD 1 NNE GREENBELT 39.01N 76.88W 08/10/2022 PRINCE GEORGES MD EMERGENCY MNGR MULTIPLE 911 CALLS BEING RECEIVED FOR WATER RESCUES && EVENT NUMBER LWX2204808
  5. Numerous water rescues ongoing in Greenbelt
  6. Ugh... power flickered twice... but still on for now
  7. Stuff down in Fauquier County seems to be moving NE towards DC metro... that could cause some trouble if it maintains strength and track
  8. yoda

    Winter 2022-23

    I need @Bob ChiII and his WD index I think it was
  9. The AFD seemed a bit ominous for this evening The biggest threat today by far is the risk for flash flooding. Slow storm motions, high PWATs, high CAPE, a stalled frontal boundary, and parallel flow along that boundary are all favorable for a flash flood risk. Training and slow-moving storms are expected this afternoon. Most areas could see an inch or two of rain, but isolated higher amounts (potentially much higher) are possible where training occurs. Rainfall rates of 2-3"/hr will be commonplace this afternoon, but it will be a matter of who sees those rates for the extended periods that determines the maximum flash flood potential. The Flood Watch was expanded to include the rest of the NW tier of the forecast area. Definitely want to watch how this line over eastern WV orients itself as it pushes eastward. Should this lay out east to west over the metros, could be looking at a big issue this evening for those areas. Some positive thoughts though are that there seems to be just enough DCAPE at this time to ever so slowly push storms east and south as they form new updrafts along their own weak outflows. So hopefully this will be just enough to get storms through quick enough to not be a major issue.
  10. Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 VAZ025>027-029-030-503-504-507-508-WVZ505-506-101515- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0018.220810T1600Z-220811T0100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-Warren-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Brandywine, Hightown, Woodstock, Stuarts Draft, Front Royal, Staunton, Strasburg, Wintergreen, Ruddle, Sugar Grove, Shenandoah, Monterey, Oak Flat, Luray, New Market, Riverton, Stanley, Harrisonburg, Franklin, Waynesboro, Mount Jackson, and Big Meadows 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of Virginia and eastern West Virginia, including the following areas: in Virginia, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Eastern Highland, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Warren and Western Highland. In eastern West Virginia, Eastern Pendleton and Western Pendleton. * WHEN...From Noon EDT today through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into this evening. Rainfall amounts will average around 1 to 1.5 inches across the area, but locally higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches are likely and much of that may fall in a one to two hour timeframe. Heavy rain in short periods of time may cause creeks and streams to rapidly rise out of their banks along with potential flash flooding in urban areas. - Visit http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety information.
  11. Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-503>506-VAZ036>040-050>057-501-502-505- 506-101515- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0018.220810T1800Z-220811T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Nelson- Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Stanardsville, Laurel, Rockville, Annapolis, Franconia, Arlington, Centreville, Germantown, Ellicott City, Baltimore, Chesapeake Beach, Montclair, North Beach, Damascus, Odenton, Dale City, Prince Frederick, Severna Park, Purcellville, St. Charles, Woodbridge, Glen Burnie, Dahlgren, Madison, Silver Spring, Falmouth, Columbia, Lexington Park, Gaithersburg, Greenbelt, Alexandria, California, Dunkirk, Lusby, Orange, College Park, Suitland-Silver Hill, Severn, Lake Ridge, Waldorf, Ashburn, Bowie, Bethesda, Reston, Culpeper, Manassas, Arnold, Herndon, McLean, Lisbon, Chantilly, Huntingtown, Fredericksburg, Lovingston, Clinton, Warrenton, Washington, Camp Springs, Falls Church, Annandale, Leesburg, Gordonsville, Turnbull, Charlottesville, Sterling, and South Gate 307 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southern Baltimore and St. Marys. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Orange, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and numerous thunderstorms are expected later this afternoon through this evening. Rainfall amounts will average around 1 to 1.5 inches across the area, but locally higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches are likely and much of that may fall in a one to two hour timeframe. Heavy rain in short periods of time may cause creeks and streams to rapidly rise out of their banks along with potential flash flooding in urban areas. - Visit http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety information.
  12. There they are for some of us
  13. And it fizzled to sprinkles by the time it got here lol
  14. Love late night storms... especially hearing the booming thunder as it comes closer
  15. FDK get smacked PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 820 PM EDT TUE AUG 09 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0747 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW FREDERICK 39.41N 77.44W 08/09/2022 FREDERICK MD 911 CALL CENTER NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES BLEW DOWN ON THE WEST SIDE OF FREDERICK. SEVERAL TREES AND WIRES BLEW DOWN KNOCKING OVER A COUPLE OF POLES AND CAUSING A TRANSFORMER FIRE ON HOLLYBERRY WAY. WIRES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN THE 900 BLOCK OF US-40 WEST PATRICK STREET. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2204784
  16. trying not to @ someone who hasn't posted in a little while after that comment
  17. Should be getting close to you now
  18. Lots of lightning with that line Seems like it's disappearing some too
  19. yoda

    Winter 2022-23

    I only read the bolded
  20. Probably in the morning update tomorrow looks like reading the afternoon AFD .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... A slow moving cold front will impact our region Wednesday through early Thursday morning. A continued unstable environment with CAPE between 2000 and 3000 j/kg will interact with forcing provided by the frontal passage to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. PW's are forecast to maximize between 2 and 2.5 inches with storm motions being relatively low. Based on the slow nature of the frontal passage along with current model trends, it seems the main storm/flooding threat will occur later in the day on Wednesday and continue into the late evenings periods. The combination of forcing from the front along with PW's around 2.3 inches and slow storm motions will lead to an increased threat for flooding on Wednesday. Although the flooding risk will be the bigger threat for Wednesday, a combination of good forcing along the front and favorable CAPE will likely mean there will be risk for strong to severe storms as well. Global and hires guidance still has some disagreements on the overall coverage/location of storms,but they all agree that there will a risk for rain rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour with storm totals above 4 inches possible. The threat for showers and thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain will continue into the early morning periods of Thursday.
×
×
  • Create New...