yoda

And now a TVS marker lol

@WxUSAF what's with Radarscope showing two rotation markers?

Special Marine Warnings up for the waters

Too bad my Rangers will be in your way

Who wants some more snow? From this mornings AFD Mountain Snow (Thursday/Friday): The first in a series of cold fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, as the base of the cutoff mid-level low moves across PA/NY. Colder temperatures surge into the Alleghenies by Wednesday afternoon, causing precip to transition from rain to snow by Wednesday night. Favorable dynamics and ample moisture could result in a prolonged period of upslope mountain snow. Marginal temperatures likely limit accumulations through Wednesday evening, then better chance for snow to stick Thursday into Friday. The GFS in particular is much higher than the other guidance, showing significant snow accumulations late in the week. At the very least 1-3", possibly up to 4-5", of accumulating snow is possible at the higher elevations. Light snow could fall as east as the Blue Ridge/Catoctins

Morning AFD from LWX on the threat .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... An active weather pattern is likely to develop during the middle to late part of next week, bringing possibly impactful weather to the area. A strong Southern Stream Jet overspreads the area, with a broad wave of mid-level energy phasing with a digging mid-level trough from the Great Lakes. This is could bring strong to severe storms and/or a flood threat to parts of the area Tuesday. The ensuing mid-level cutoff low slowly moves east, as additional embedded shortwaves rotate around the western side of the low. This could bring mountain snow Wednesday night into Thursday, as well as windy conditions to end the week. The current temperature forecast for Tuesday is highly uncertain, and will be dependent on precip, cloud cover, and the placement of a warm front somewhere over or near the area. The area could be wedged in the cooler airmass, keeping temps in the 50s, or warm advection scours out the low-level inversion resulting in 60/70s for highs. The first in a series of cold fronts crosses the area early Wednesday morning, bringing gustier and near-normal temperatures Wednesday through Friday. Severe/Flood Threat (Tuesday/Wednesday): A warm front is forecast to be draped across the CWA early in the week, likely producing a large north to south temperature gradient. This is going to play a key role in whether we see any strong/severe storms, and/or a potential flood setup if other conditions line up. SPC has most of the area in a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) of severe weather for Tuesday. The threat appears to be greatest in the Alleghenies and south of US-50 where there is the greatest chance of instability developing. Around 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE combined with a strong deep-layer shear (60- 75KT possible based on model soundings) could produce a favorable environment for all modes of severe weather. A residual severe threat is possible Wednesday in central VA. A flood threat could develop along or north of the warm frontal boundary where training storms result in heavier rain rates. These aspects of the forecast remains highly uncertain, be sure to stay tuned for additional updates in the coming days.

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 300840 SPC AC 300840 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CDT Sat Mar 30 2024 Valid 021200Z - 071200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Tuesday/Day 4 and Wednesday/Day 5... A positively tilted upper-level trough is forecast to move quickly northeastward into the mid Mississippi Valley on Tuesday, as an associated mid-level jet translates northeastward into the Ohio Valley. At the surface, a cold front will likely advance east-southeastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, with a moist and unstable airmass in place across the region. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of the front Tuesday afternoon. Strong deep-layer shear, associated with the mid-level jet, should be favorable for severe storms. Wind damage, hail and a few tornadoes are expected in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, with the severe potential extending eastward across the central Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic. On Wednesday, the cold front is forecast to move to the Atlantic Seaboard. Ahead of the front, instability will increase during the morning. A severe threat could develop in some areas near the Atlantic coast early in the day, before the front moves offshore. Predictability is low concerning where the most favorable areas will be for strong thunderstorms.

06z GFS does have steep mid-level lapse rates though... 7 C/KM to even some 8s across the region

Don't remember seeing HWOs listing severe for 5 days out before @Kmlwx @Eskimo Joe Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1055 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508- VAZ053>057-527-301500- Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD- Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD- Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA- Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD- Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD- Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor- Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay- Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River- Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD- Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard- Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1055 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A Gale Warning is in effect until 6 PM for the Chesapeake Bay and adjoining estuaries north of Drum Point MD, and the tidal Potomac River from Key Bridge to Cobb Island MD. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday There is a slight threat for severe weather on Tuesday into Tuesday night. All severe weather hazards are potentially at play should the threat materialize. Isolated instances of flooding are also possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is possible on Tuesday.

I'd say that's some strong wording for Day 5 for our region Tuesday/Day 5... The upper-level system is forecast to move eastward into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley on Tuesday. An associated cold front will likely move quickly eastward into the mid Mississippi Valley early in the day. Ahead of the front, a moist and unstable airmass is expected to be in place by midday, with scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys in the afternoon. The mid-level jet is forecast to move into the Ohio Valley by late afternoon, suggesting that a widespread severe threat will be possible. Strong deep-layer shear and lift associated with the jet would be favorable for supercells with a threat for wind damage, large hail and some tornadoes. The severe threat is forecast to extend southward into the Tennessee Valley, and eastward into the Mid-Atlantic, where scattered severe storms will be possible within a moist and unstable airmass.

It looked like it at the time lol... now there is still a few showers down there

What about what looks to be some development down west of RIC?

Lightning and thunder in the 40s lol

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 138 PM EDT Wed Mar 20 2024 VAZ025>031-038>040-507-508-WVZ052-053-210000- /O.UPG.KLWX.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-240321T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0005.240320T1738Z-240320T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0011.240320T2100Z-240321T0000Z/ Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 138 PM EDT Wed Mar 20 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. For the Wind Advisory, west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, northwest and western Virginia, and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 5 PM EDT this afternoon. For the Wind Advisory, from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

We really do wind well around here recently

I'm tired of the wind

There it is URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 56 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 PM CDT Sat Mar 16 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of southern Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 1035 PM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms west of the Rio Grande will spread eastward into southern portions of Texas over the next couple of hours. Large hail will be the primary threat with these storms, though a few locally severe/damaging wind gusts will also be possible -- particularly across the more southern portions of the WW. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Cotulla TX to 70 miles south southwest of Alice TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26030.

Looks like a watch is coming soon for S TX https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0267.html Mesoscale Discussion 0267 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0939 PM CDT Sat Mar 16 2024 Areas affected...parts of south Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 170239Z - 170445Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Scattered storms are expected across parts of south Texas late this evening, some of which may produce hail and gusty winds. A watch may be issued. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are ongoing in northeast Mexico in advance of a subtle shortwave trough apparent in water vapor satellite imagery. Across south Texas, some nocturnal surface stabilization has occurred. However, an ACARS profile from San Antonio and regional RAP profiles indicate the presence of a deep moist layer, which should continue to support convection even in the presence of a surface stable layer. Given diffuse low-level forcing for ascent, storms are expected to remain cellular, though some clustering is apparent in short-term model guidance. In addition, with deep CAPE profiles and relatively steep mid-level lapse rates along with long, straight hodographs (effective bulk shear values of 50-60 kts), large hail is expected to be the primary threat. Additionally, some gusty winds are possible with any clustering that occurs, though this is mitigated by the relatively moist profile. Short-term model guidance indicates storms will continue eastward across south Texas through the night before moving off the coast early in the morning. ..Supinie/Goss.. 03/17/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...

Not good in Plymouth

I guess that's technically a TORE?

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Cleveland OH 803 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024 OHC033-077-139-150015- /O.CON.KCLE.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240315T0015Z/ Richland OH-Huron OH-Crawford OH- 803 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN RICHLAND...SOUTHERN HURON AND NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES... At 802 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Plymouth, or 18 miles northeast of Bucyrus, moving east at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Plymouth around 810 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Shenandoah, North Fairfield, Tiro, Olivesburg, and Greenwich. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation. && LAT...LON 4091 8284 4099 8286 4100 8283 4111 8283 4112 8243 4099 8244 4099 8242 4086 8242 TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 270DEG 34KT 4099 8273 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 555 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 TXC121-439-142330- /O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-240314T2330Z/ Denton TX-Tarrant TX- 555 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN DENTON AND NORTH CENTRAL TARRANT COUNTIES... At 554 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Roanoke, or over Trophy Club, moving northeast at 20 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. This severe storm will be near... Flower Mound, Argyle, Double Oak, Northlake, Bartonville, and Corral City around 600 PM CDT. Denton and Copper Canyon around 605 PM CDT. Corinth around 615 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Westlake, Ponder, Dish, Lewisville Lake, Grapevine Lake, and Marshall Creek. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from windows. && LAT...LON 3287 9727 3295 9739 3327 9725 3307 9691 TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 213DEG 18KT 3303 9722 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Cleveland OH 703 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024 OHC063-142315- /O.CON.KCLE.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240314T2315Z/ Hancock OH- 703 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL HANCOCK COUNTY... At 703 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Vanlue, or 7 miles east of Findlay, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Hancock County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4105 8342 4099 8342 4099 8346 4095 8346 4095 8348 4093 8348 4096 8357 4106 8358 TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 276DEG 38KT 4101 8349 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN