yoda

Updated evening AFD from LWX explains reasons for the watch SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Evening update: The main forecast change this evening was the issuance of a Flood Watch for flash flooding for portions of the Alleghenies, Potomac Highlands, Shenandoah Valley and Central Virginia from 7 AM to 10 PM tomorrow. Within this corridor, flash flood guidance is very low due to saturated soils and high background streamflow levels following recent rains. East to southeasterly 850 hPa flow to the north of the surface front will also intersect the Blue Ridge and Alleghenies, potentially leading to orographic enhancement of rainfall. A widespread 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is expected across this area, with localized totals up to 5 inches possible. This rain will likely be spread across multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms late tonight through tomorrow evening. For now, the Watch is in effect where wet antecedent conditions and potential terrain enhancements resulted in greater confidence regarding flash flooding potential. The Watch may possibly need to be expanded along the edges at a later time, but decisions for those surrounding areas were deferred to subsequent shifts due to uncertainty in the northeastward extent of the heavier rains and/or higher flash flood guidance values.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 757 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 MDZ501-509-510-VAZ026>030-037>040-507-WVZ050-055-501>506-080800- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.A.0009.250608T1100Z-250609T0200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Extreme Western Allegany-Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Hardy- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 757 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, including the following areas, Eastern Garrett, Extreme Western Allegany and Western Garrett, Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Frederick VA, Greene, Madison, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah and Warren, and eastern West Virginia, including the following areas, Eastern Grant, Eastern Mineral, Eastern Pendleton, Hampshire, Hardy, Western Grant, Western Mineral and Western Pendleton. * WHEN...From 7 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - -Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected on Sunday as an area of low pressure tracks eastward and interacts with a frontal zone. A widespread 1 to 2 inches of rainfall appears likely, with localized totals up to around 5 inches possible. Saturated soils and background high streamflow levels may enhance the threat for flooding. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Afternoon day 2 disco from SPC ..South to Lower Mid-Atlantic States... Boundary-layer heating is anticipated along the Atlantic Coastal Plain and adjacent Piedmont should support MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Multiple embedded MCVs will support at least scattered afternoon storms developing near the higher terrain and spreading east towards the coast. Enhanced mid-level westerlies will support transient/weak updraft rotation and multicell clustering. Scattered damaging winds and isolated severe hail are likely. A couple of tornadoes are also possible in the Lower Mid-Atlantic along the primary differential heating corridor, where low-level shear may be adequate ahead of a central Appalachians MCV.

Hmmm... let's try again tomorrow? 15 wind and 5 tor

Thunder and moderate rain here

Sneaky wind threat on Saturday? Its a MRGL on the new day 2... but its all we've got for now

17/9/4

You're 0?

Flickering here... ugh

Found it - CWG says its scud FWIW https://x.com/capitalweather/status/1928599140839088251

The LSR itself or the reported video that's mentioned in the LSR?

@WxUSAF just to your south now?

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 714 PM EDT Fri May 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West central Prince Georges County in central Maryland... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 714 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Fort Washington, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Clinton, Fort Washington, Camp Springs, and Friendly around 720 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Tantallon, Accokeek, and Brandywine. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3868 7700 3871 7704 3879 7693 3875 7684 TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 227DEG 18KT 3871 7699 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 717 PM EDT Fri May 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... South central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... North central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 717 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over The Plains, or 7 miles north of Warrenton, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... South Riding around 725 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Broad Run and Woolsey. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3879 7777 3882 7780 3896 7763 3889 7750 TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 230DEG 28KT 3882 7776 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

Hmmm...

Much fail... much not wow

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 711 PM EDT Fri May 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... South central Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northwestern Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 711 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Greenwood, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central Morgan and northwestern Berkeley Counties. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3943 7824 3945 7827 3957 7816 3952 7806 TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 225DEG 22KT 3945 7823 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 709 PM EDT Fri May 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northern King George County in central Virginia... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 709 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over King George, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Nanjemoy Creek, Dahlgren, and King George around 715 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Weedonville and Berthaville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3827 7728 3838 7714 3839 7712 3838 7712 3839 7711 3841 7705 3840 7704 3834 7701 3824 7720 TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 227DEG 22KT 3828 7721 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

This is our severe threat... everything after is flood risk

Yeah, I see what you and @GramaxRefugee are saying now. I dunno why that is.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 705 PM EDT Fri May 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Allegany County in western Maryland... Northeastern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Northeastern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 800 PM EDT. * At 704 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Paw Paw to near Greenwood to 9 miles northwest of Winchester, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Johnsontown, Valley View, Berkeley, Fishers Bridge, Oakland, Big Spring, Cross Junction, Falling Waters, Jones Springs, Williamsport, Unger, Gore, New Hope, Pecktonville, Cherry Run, Glengary, Omps, Greenwood, Gainesboro, and Spruce Pine Hollow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 PM EDT for western Maryland...northwestern Virginia...and eastern and the Panhandle of West Virginia. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until midnight EDT for north central Maryland. && LAT...LON 3972 7786 3958 7772 3917 7834 3937 7833 3955 7855 3972 7841 TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 221DEG 27KT 3953 7845 3940 7828 3928 7830 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

I see what you mean now on the site, my apologies. But yes, the tornado watch was issued around 5pm

Are you being sarcastic or? There is one until midnight. I dunno why Radarscope isn't showing it

Pulling this post in here

Another one BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 655 PM EDT Fri May 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 654 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Hume, or 10 miles northwest of Warrenton, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... The Plains around 700 PM EDT. Middleburg around 705 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Saint Louis, Aldie, Halfway, Marshall, Philomont, Ashville, Rectortown, and Ada. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3879 7794 3884 7800 3909 7770 3894 7755 TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 232DEG 32KT 3884 7793 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN