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Everything posted by yoda
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Some storms trying to get going in the SW flank down towards Front Royal... probably wont survive... but its the best chance for DC metro to get anything
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 525 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 MDC013-021-043-WVC003-037-062215- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-260606T2215Z/ Washington MD-Carroll MD-Frederick MD-Jefferson WV-Berkeley WV- 525 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND EASTERN BERKELEY COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... At 525 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Carroll Valley to near Smithsburg to near Boonsboro, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Hagerstown, Thurmont, Emmitsburg, Municipal Stadium, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Robinwood, Taneytown, Walkersville, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Braddock Heights, Paramount-Long Meadow, Mount Aetna, Mount Lena, San Mar, Clover Hill, Discovery-Spring Garden, and Wolfsville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3966 7700 3937 7734 3946 7789 3972 7764 3972 7696 TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 267DEG 36KT 3977 7739 3964 7751 3950 7772 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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evere Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 456 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 MDC021-043-VAC069-WVC003-027-037-065-062115- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260606T2115Z/ Washington MD-Frederick MD-Frederick VA-Jefferson WV-Morgan WV- Berkeley WV-Hampshire WV- 456 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT FOR WASHINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...NORTH CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... CENTRAL JEFFERSON...CENTRAL MORGAN...BERKELEY COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEASTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... At 455 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Greencastle to near Martinsburg to near Greenwood, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Hagerstown, Martinsburg, Thurmont, Charles Town, Emmitsburg, Shepherdstown, Municipal Stadium, Greenwood, Robinwood, Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, Ranson, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Inwood, Paramount-Long Meadow, Wilson-Conococheague, Williamsport, Mount Aetna, Mount Lena, and San Mar. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3956 7737 3928 7779 3940 7843 3972 7812 3972 7728 TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 277DEG 45KT 3975 7779 3953 7798 3938 7822 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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Numerous reports of tree damage and trees downed in W MD
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278 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 402 PM EDT SAT JUN 6 2026 MDC005-015-025-027-031-510-VAC043-107-171-187-WVC023-031-070000- /O.EXA.KLWX.SV.A.0278.000000T0000Z-260607T0000Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 278 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MARYLAND HOWARD MONTGOMERY IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND CECIL IN NORTHERN MARYLAND BALTIMORE BALTIMORE CITY HARFORD IN VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA LOUDOUN IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA CLARKE SHENANDOAH WARREN IN WEST VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA GRANT HARDY
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service State College PA 357 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Bedford County in south central Pennsylvania... Fulton County in south central Pennsylvania... Southern Huntingdon County in central Pennsylvania... * Until 500 PM EDT. * At 356 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Ogletown to near Cessna to near Bedford to Buffalo Mills to near Lake Gordon to near La Vale, moving east at 65 mph. THESE IS A LINE OF DESTRUCTIVE STORMS! HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. * Locations impacted include... Bedford, Breezewood, Warfordsburg, Clearville, New Enterprise, Everett, McConnellsburg, Osterburg, Harrisonville, Big Cove Tannery, Crystal Springs, and Waterfall. Radar has indicated rotation within these severe thunderstorms. Although a tornado is not immediately likely, tornadoes can develop quickly during severe thunderstorms. This includes the following Interstates... Interstate 70 from mile markers 147 to 170. The Pennsylvania Turnpike from mile markers 140 to 185. Interstate 99 from mile markers 0 to 14. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEEK SHELTER NOW inside an interior room or closet on the lowest floor of a well built structure. Prepare immediately for tornado like wind speeds capable of producing significant damage. Very heavy rainfall is occurring with these severe thunderstorms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3973 7868 4005 7859 4023 7863 4027 7834 4025 7830 4027 7827 4026 7791 4024 7776 4001 7792 3982 7801 3972 7810 TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 270DEG 55KT 4022 7871 4012 7862 4004 7860 3994 7860 3984 7866 3973 7882 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 405 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... Allegany County in western Maryland... Garrett County in western Maryland... Northern Frederick County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 500 PM EDT. * At 404 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Lake Gordon to near Ridgeley to near Keyser, moving east at 60 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Cumberland, Frostburg, Keyser, Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Westernport, Romney, Hancock, Bel Air, Paw Paw, Bittinger, La Vale, Fort Ashby, Lonaconing, Piedmont, Grantsville, Berkeley Springs, Loch Lynn Heights, Deer Park, and Accident. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3972 7810 3939 7842 3925 7862 3929 7909 3931 7914 3933 7927 3931 7928 3933 7949 3953 7948 3962 7945 3972 7916 TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 289DEG 52KT 3979 7862 3961 7878 3948 7899 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0278.html URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 278 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 140 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of The Maryland Panhandle Central Pennsylvania Extreme northern Virginia The eastern West Virginia Panhandle * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Storms are forming in western Pennsylvania, and a separate storm cluster in Ohio has a history of wind damage. Either or both areas of storms will spread into central Pennsylvania through the afternoon, and potentially as far south as the West Virginia/Maryland Panhandles. Damaging gusts will be the main threat, though the strongest storms could also produce isolated large hail (1-1.5 inches in diameter). The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles south southwest of Dubois PA to 40 miles northeast of Harrisburg PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. &&
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Watch up for N MD into NW VA
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Probably will stay north of us... but... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0998.html Mesoscale Discussion 0998 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026 Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western Pennsylvania...northern West Virginia...and northern Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 061507Z - 061730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity to increase in coverage and intensity through the late morning/afternoon with an increase in damaging wind potential. DISCUSSION...A line of storms continues south and east across portions of eastern Indiana into Ohio, with occasional strong to isolated severe gusts (50-60 mph). It is uncertain how this will evolve downstream, with guidance showing potential for maintenance and intensification along the remaining outflow later in the afternoon. Gradual increase in forcing for ascent will occur this afternoon as strengthening mid-level flow overspreads the area with the trough across the Great Lakes. Filtered heating is expected through broken mid-level cloud cover. This in combination with dew points in the low to mid 60s will yield around 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. Additionally, steepening low-level lapse rates are expected, supporting downward transport of higher momentum flow aloft to the surface. Additional downstream development is likely with potential for several clusters of storms capable of damaging wind through the afternoon. While exact timing of this threat remains uncertain, a watch will likely be needed to cover this potential by the afternoon. ..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/06/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...
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Looks like the SLGT risk and MRGL risk lines were nudged southward a tad on 1300z SPC OTLK
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Tomorrow evening could be interesting near the northern parts of the LWX CWA
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Code orange air quality alert here today
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12z Euro showing a real return to summer starting middle of next week... upper 90s and low 100s
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- we got burned
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It has begun in the EPAC BULLETIN Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026 800 AM PDT Wed Jun 03 2026 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2026 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.6N 128.2W ABOUT 1475 MI...2375 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located near latitude 10.6 North, longitude 128.2 West. Amanda is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the west and west-southwest at a slower forward motion is forecast this weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. A weakening trend is forecast later this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
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https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0258&yr=2026 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0258 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 920 AM EDT Wed May 27 2026 Areas affected...Maryland, District of Columbia Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 271319Z - 271519Z Summary...Isolated flash flood potential will exist as a cluster of storms over western Maryland moves through the region this morning. Discussion...A persistent cluster of thunderstorms was noted via radar mosaic imagery near Frederick. These cells have shown modest signs of intensification in the last few minutes. They are being supported by weak mid-level waves moving through zonal flow over northern VA and near 70F dewpoints that were fostering 1.75-2 inch PW values and ~1000 J/kg MUCAPE. Despite current rain rates of 0.5-0.75 inch/hr, moisture values increase with downstream extent toward the Chesapeake Bay. Though appreciable steering flow was supporting fairly quick movement of individual cells (around 35-40 knots), increasing downstream moisture profiles and urban ground surfaces/lower FFGs nearer to I-95 (0.75 in/hr) may support isolated instances of flash flooding this morning. This potential should be brief (perhaps extending through 15Z/11a). More upstream convection is possible later today and will be monitored for any flash flood potential beyond 15Z. Cook ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI... ATTN...RFC...RHA...NWC... LAT...LON 39727661 39527578 38907572 38667657 39187757 39657737
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51 degrees and rain on May 22nd... unbelievable
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Oh... ok Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Charleston WV 506 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026 WVC015-039-087-202130- /O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-260520T2130Z/ Kanawha WV-Roane WV-Clay WV- 506 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN KANAWHA...SOUTH CENTRAL ROANE AND WEST CENTRAL CLAY COUNTIES... At 505 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Clendenin, or 15 miles west of Clay, moving east at 30 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR Clendenin. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. Locations impacted include... Clendenin, Elkview, Amma, Glen, Pinch, and Left Hand. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A tornado watch remains in effect for the warned area. Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. Although a tornado is not immediately likely, if one is spotted act quickly and move to a place of safety inside a sturdy structure, such as a basement or small interior room. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3842 8153 3855 8158 3862 8124 3836 8119 TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 249DEG 26KT 3850 8136 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN WIND THREAT...OBSERVED
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Random TW from RLX near Charleston, WV
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Storm popped right in top of @EastCoast NPZ
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Greencastle storm looks interesting
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It has begun Severe Thunderstorm Warning MDC001-043-WVC065-201815- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0052.260520T1737Z-260520T1815Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 137 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northeastern Allegany County in western Maryland... Northeastern Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 215 PM EDT. * At 137 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Barnes Gap, or 10 miles west of Hancock, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Hancock, Berkeley Springs, Pecktonville, Big Pool, Little Orleans, Cherry Run, Lineburg, Spohrs Crossroads, Spruce Pine Hollow, Forest Park, Bellegrove, Sleepy Creek, and Shady Grove. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3972 7829 3972 7801 3962 7802 3962 7803 3961 7804 3964 7843 3971 7842 TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 267DEG 21KT 3967 7837 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 234 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1240 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC001-003-005-013-015-021-023-025-027-031-033-043-510-210000- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0234.260520T1640Z-260521T0000Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL CECIL FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 234 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1240 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS VAC013-043-047-059-061-069-079-107-113-139-153-157-165-171-187- 510-600-610-660-683-685-840-210000- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0234.260520T1640Z-260521T0000Z/ VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARLINGTON CLARKE CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FREDERICK GREENE LOUDOUN MADISON PAGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH WARREN VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH HARRISONBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK WINCHESTER $$ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 234 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1240 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 234 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-210000- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0234.260520T1640Z-260521T0000Z/ WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON $$
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