yoda

@andyhb

Nice win after a shaky 1st quarter

Frosty tonight out west URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1147 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025 MDZ509-510-VAZ503-504-WVZ501-503-505-506-020000- /O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0008.251002T0600Z-251002T1300Z/ Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Eastern Highland- Western Grant-Western Mineral-Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 1147 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In Virginia, Highland County. In West Virginia, Pendleton, Western Grant, and Western Mineral Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

Just got off night shift... so a bit late as well DCA: +1.8 NYC: +1.4 BOS: +1.3 ORD: +2.5 ATL: +1.7 IAH: +1.8 DEN: +1.3 PHX: +1.9 SEA: +0.3

@mappy https://eos.org/articles/new-usgs-map-offers-an-interactive-look-at-the-rocks-beneath-our-feet I think you might like this

Tropical Depression Nine Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025 The organization of the depression has not changed much since this morning. Some deep convection has flared up this afternoon near the estimated center, which appears broad in the 850-mb flight-level wind data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters. The earlier scatterometer winds and more recent aircraft data do not suggest the system has intensified. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory. The center appears to be slightly south and west of previous estimates, with an uncertain initial motion of 315/4 kt. Over the next couple of days, the system should turn more north-northwestward within the flow between an upper trough over the southeast U.S. and a subtropical ridge over the Atlantic. This forecast brings the depression over the central and northwestern Bahamas through early Monday, then toward the southeast U.S. coast by Tuesday. The NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous one, with only a slight nudge westward based on the initial position adjustments during the day. Warm waters and strong upper-level divergence should promote strengthening during the next few days, but this could be tempered by moderate southerly shear over the system from an upper-level trough. The NHC intensity forecast shows steady strengthening through early next week, with the system becoming a hurricane by 60 h. This prediction lies close to the latest IVCN and HCCA aids. There is still above-average uncertainty in the details of the long-range forecast. In general, the models agree that the presence of Hurricane Humberto to the east will result in a weakening of the prevailing steering currents, causing the system to slow down and meander near the southeast U.S. coast on Tuesday. While the chances of a landfall appear lower than yesterday, there are still some hurricane regional models and ensemble solutions that show this possibility. Given the expected asymmetric storm structure, a risk of significant heavy rainfall, storm surge, and wind impacts exists for the southeast U.S. coast even if the storm center remains offshore. The increased track spread at 96-120 h is related to whether the system feels the effects of an amplifying upper-level trough behind Humberto over the western Atlantic. While many global models show a sharp eastward turn and acceleration away from land, the system fails to be captured by the trough in the 12z ECMWF and lingers offshore. The NHC track forecast at days 4-5 maintains a consensus approach and shows a slower eastward motion, but future track adjustments are likely as confidence increases. The system may be in close proximity to fronts by the end of the period, so extratropical transition could begin around or shortly after day 5. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The depression is expected to strengthen and bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas through Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are also possible along portions of the east coast of central Florida beginning Monday, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. 2. Rainfall will continue to impact eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and the Bahamas through the weekend, which will likely produce flash and urban flooding. Mudslides are possible in the higher terrain. 3. There is a significant threat of heavy rainfall early next week from portions of the east coast of Florida northward into the Carolinas, which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding. 4. The depression is expected to be at or near hurricane intensity when it is closest to the southeast U.S. coast early next week, where there is a risk of storm surge and wind impacts. Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast updates and ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 22.2N 76.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 23.3N 77.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 24.9N 77.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 26.7N 78.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 28.5N 78.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 30/0600Z 30.0N 78.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 30/1800Z 30.8N 78.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 01/1800Z 31.1N 76.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 02/1800Z 31.5N 74.0W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Reinhart

000 WTNT43 KNHC 272044 TCDAT3 Hurricane Humberto Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082025 500 PM AST Sat Sep 27 2025 Humberto has quickly strengthened during the past several hours. A very symmetric ring of cloud tops colder than -70 deg C now surrounds the clear eye of the hurricane. At 1800 UTC, the TAFB subjective Dvorak analysis was 7.0/140 kt. Most of the objective techniques like the UW-CIMSS ADT and AIDT, as well as the SAB subjective Dvorak fix supported a slightly lower intensity, closer to 130 kt. However, since that time, cloud tops around Humberto have gotten colder and the objective estimates have increased. Therefore, the intensity has been set at 140 kt, making Humberto the second category 5 hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Some additional strengthening is possible tonight. Internal factors like eyewall replacement cycles will likely dominate Humberto's intensity for the next day or two, so fluctuations in maximum wind speeds are expected. All of the intensity guidance indicates that some slow weakening is expected to begin by Monday, before Humberto begins to interact with a mid-latitude trough on Tuesday. The cyclone should then begin its extratropical transition shortly thereafter, resulting in a quicker decrease in maximum winds but an expansion of the overall wind field. Overall, little change was needed to the official forecast aside from showing a higher intensity for the first day or two. Only a slight westward adjustment was made to the track forecast. Humberto is moving slightly faster, but westward, near 9 kt. The hurricane is still forecast to move around the subtropical ridge for the next few days before it interacts with the aforementioned trough and accelerates quickly northeastward. The spread in the model track guidance has increased since the last advisory, particularly with regard to how fast Humberto will accelerate northeastward in 4 or 5 days. Confidence in that aspect of the forecast has therefore decreased, even though little change was made to the official forecast. The NHC forecast remains generally based on a blend of the GDMI, the AIGEFS and HCCA. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 22.9N 61.1W 140 KT 160 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 23.5N 62.7W 145 KT 165 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 24.7N 64.6W 140 KT 160 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 26.2N 66.1W 135 KT 155 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 28.0N 67.5W 125 KT 145 MPH 60H 30/0600Z 30.0N 68.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 72H 30/1800Z 32.1N 68.5W 105 KT 120 MPH 96H 01/1800Z 36.1N 62.4W 95 KT 110 MPH 120H 02/1800Z 42.5N 46.5W 85 KT 100 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky/Bookbinder

BULLETIN Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082025 500 PM AST Sat Sep 27 2025 ...HUMBERTO QUICKLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 61.1W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 685 MI...1105 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Humberto. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 61.1 West. Humberto is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is anticipated on Sunday. Humberto is forecast to then turn northward and move west of Bermuda by Tuesday evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher gusts. Humberto is now a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Humberto will likely remain a powerful major hurricane for the next several days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Humberto will affect portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Bermuda beginning tonight and continuing through next week. Swells from Humberto will also affect the U.S. East Coast beginning Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Bookbinder/D. Zelinsky

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 500 PM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025 Visible satellite images and surface observations suggest that Invest 94L is gradually organizing and beginning to develop a low-level circulation near eastern Cuba with estimated maximum winds of about 30 kt. Although the system does not meet the criteria of a tropical cyclone currently, it is expected to become one during the next day or so. In addition, the system is likely to bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas this weekend and potential impacts to portions of the southeast U.S. early next week. Therefore, NHC is now initiating Potential Tropical Cyclone advisories for this disturbance. The system has been moving west-northwestward at about 8 kt during the past 12 to 24 hours. However, this motion is expected to change as the disturbance is forecast to turn northward in southerly flow between a large-scale trough over the eastern U.S. and a subtropical ridge over the central-western Atlantic. This track should take the system across the central and northwestern Bahamas over the weekend. The models are in good agreement through that time period, but they diverge significantly early next week when the synoptic pattern becomes complicated. If the system moves on the fast side of the guidance, it will likely be more influenced by the U.S. trough that is expected to cut off. In that scenario, the disturbance would move inland over the southeast U.S. early next week. Conversely, if the system moves on the slow side of the guidance, Humberto's circulation will cause the steering currents to collapse, resulting in this system stalling near the southeast coast or drifting eastward. The NHC track forecast lies roughly between these scenarios, in best agreement with EMXI, but confidence is very low in the days 4 and 5 positions. Strengthening is likely to be slow in the short term due to the current land interaction and some southerly shear. However, gradual intensification seems like a good bet this weekend and on Monday while the system tracks over the Gulf Stream and within a diffluent upper-level wind pattern. The NHC intensity forecast lies close to the hurricane regional and consensus models and shows the system reaching hurricane strength early next week. It should be emphasized that the long-range intensity forecast depends largely on where the system is and the degree of land interaction at those periods, and therefore, is of low confidence. Given the higher-than-usual uncertainty in the forecast track and intensity of the system, NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft have been collecting data over the western Atlantic since yesterday, and additional upper-air launches are occurring. This data collection will continue through the weekend to help improve the model guidance for this system. KEY MESSAGES: 1. The disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm this weekend and bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas, where Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches, respectively, have been issued. Rainfall associated with this system will impact eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and the Bahamas through the weekend. 2. There is an increasing threat of heavy rainfall early next week from coastal Georgia through the Carolinas and into the southern Mid-Atlantic states, which could cause flash, urban, and river flooding. 3. The system is expected to be at or near hurricane intensity when it approaches the southeast U.S. coast early next week, where there is a risk of storm surge and wind impacts. Residents in that area should monitor updates to the forecast and ensure they have their hurricane plan in place. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 20.9N 74.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 27/0600Z 21.7N 75.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 24H 27/1800Z 22.7N 75.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 36H 28/0600Z 24.1N 76.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 28/1800Z 25.6N 76.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 29/0600Z 27.4N 77.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 29/1800Z 29.7N 78.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 30/1800Z 31.8N 78.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 01/1800Z 32.3N 79.3W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

DCA 2.5" QPF on the 12z EPS mean through next 10 days

I'd take that

@CAPE https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/46380826/kyle-hamilton-says-unfair-blame-dc-orr-ravens-woes

12z euro would be a yikes rainfall total wise from NC into C VA

Morning AFD from LWX already mentioning PRE potential .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... The cold front looks to sit just east of the Chesapeake Bay Friday morning. A few lingering showers may be possible for areas east of I- 95 and down across southern MD and the northern neck of VA. Clouds will gradually thin with filtered breaks of sunshine, especially later in the day and in areas mainly north of I-66/US-50. The front itself will continue toward the Delmarva coast before stalling into the upcoming weekend. With the frontal zone nearby expect continued scattered shower chances in areas south of I-66 (central VA Piedmont) Friday afternoon into Friday evening. High temperatures Friday will push back into the upper 70s and low 80s (upper 60s and low 70s mountains). Overnight lows Friday night will fall back into mid to upper 50s west of I-81 with low to mid 60s further east. Surface high pressure tries to build back into the region from the Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley. Meanwhile, a stalled frontal boundary will remain in the vicinity of the lower Delmarva coast and Carolinas with an upper level low pressure system cutoff within the mean flow over the southern Appalachians. In addition to this Tropical Storm Humberto will continue further north toward the Bahamas and southeast U.S coast late Saturday into Sunday. The interaction amongst all these surface/upper level features could lead to a pseudo PRE event across portions of the Mid-Atlantic region as early as Saturday night into Sunday morning. Lots of uncertainty remains in regards to where this event will occur given the interaction and overall placement of the aforementioned features above. The dynamics are there though given the approaching upper level trough and surface cold front, low pressure to the south, and influx of tropical moisture along the stalled boundary at the coast. Something that will have to continue to monitor in the coming days ahead. Either way if this were to occur we could be looking at drought busting rainfall for much of the region to round the weekend into early next. Highs Saturday will range from the mid to upper 70s over central and northeast MD to mid 60s and low 70s over the mountains/Shenadoah Valley. Lows Saturday night will fall back into the upper 50s and low 60s. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... UL troughing and an associated cut-off ULL over the southern Appalachians will meander over the same general area through much of the long term. For Sunday, rather interesting set up with some model guidance and ensemble suites starting to hint at a pseudo PRE event with heavy rain in the Mid-Atlantic. Lots of uncertainties wrt placement and actual occurrence, but dynamics are there: approaching trough and sfc cold front with UL right entrance of jet streak, some MUCAPE with low-level stability, and near record PWs. Depending on timing may start before sunrise Sunday, and go into Monday, but something to keep an eye on. Thereafter, attention turns to the tropics and how Tropical Storm Humberto interacts with invest 94L and the trough across the eastern CONUS. Lots of uncertainties and NHC has the latest official forecast at hurricanes.gov. Temperatures will be in the 70s each day with higher elevations staying in the 60s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s for those east of the Blue Ridge and 50s for those along and west.

Chance of maybe an isolated spinner today? Morning AFD from LWX The first wave of showers and thunderstorms look to exit mid to late morning allowing the atmosphere to reload for the afternoon and evening ahead. Some uncertainty remains into how much clearing that we do see given the morning activity and incumbent trough/surface cold front nearby. Even with that said, the added lifting mechanism of the trough/front and leading shortwave energy should aid in higher convective chances this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has a Marginal Risk (Level 1 out of 5) for severe weather today east of the Allegheny Mountains. The main threat is damaging winds and heavy rainfall with a secondary threat of an isolated tornado. CAPE values look to sit between 1000-2000 j/kg with deep layer shear around 40 to 50 kts. This should lead to some organization if storms are to materialize (i.e line segments or even a supercell or two). The NAM3km/NSSL/ARW remain the aggressors when it comes to curved hodographs with 0-1 SRH values up around 200-250 m2/s2. The RAP/HRRR show less values and less of a curved signature. With that said, the tornado threat would remain isolated (i.e via supercell or most likely in a QLCS type of scenario) with a focus east of US-15. Greatest concern for severe weather if it were to occur would be between 4-8pm as the front crosses. Once again the threat will be highly dependent upon cloud cover and how quickly things can reload after this morning`s rainfall. Afternoon high`s will reach into the upper 70s and low 80s (upper 60s and low 70s mountains).

3 straight days of MRGL per SPC... today through Thursday

560 WTNT42 KNHC 182053 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Gabrielle Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 500 PM AST Thu Sep 18 2025 Gabrielle continues to fight off strong westerly vertical wind shear and significant dry air entrainment this afternoon. Some thunderstorms have blossomed on the storm's eastern flank, which is an improvement from its naked low-level swirl earlier this morning. The initial intensity is held at 45 kt based on recent scatterometer data of at least 40 kt and little in the way of change to its structure from earlier this morning. Atmospheric conditions are expected to remain hostile for another day or so, meaning Gabrielle is likely maintain its current intensity or weaken slightly during that time. Recent 12Z guidance indicates vertical wind shear relaxes and an increasingly moist vertical profile should foster a much improved environment for strengthening this weekend, with the GFS model trending toward the more conducive ECMWF solution. As a result, intensity guidance is notable higher on this cycle. The NHC intensity forecast is raised from the previous one, but not as high as the model consensus mostly due to continuity. There are a growing number of hurricane models that are indicating Gabrielle could approach major hurricane strength after the weekend. Gabrielle is moving west-northwestward at 13 kt and should maintain this track with a bend toward the northwest over the next few days as the storm is steered primarily by a subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic. A turn toward the north and northeast is forecast to occur late this weekend and early next week when Gabrielle rounds the western periphery of the ridge and a frontal system approaches from the west. While the guidance envelope has shrunk on this forecast cycle, there are some significant speed differences, with the ECMWF/GFS models considerably faster than the Google Deep Mind ensemble. Although no significant changes to the forecast were made, confidence remains on the lower side given the along-track model spread and an unclear intensity forecast beyond 48 hours. Interests in Bermuda should continue to monitor Gabrielle over the next several days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/2100Z 20.8N 52.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 19/0600Z 21.5N 54.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 19/1800Z 22.6N 56.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 20/0600Z 23.9N 58.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 20/1800Z 25.3N 59.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 60H 21/0600Z 27.1N 61.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 21/1800Z 29.0N 62.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 22/1800Z 33.0N 61.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 23/1800Z 39.0N 52.5W 80 KT 90 MPH

Impossible. The desert is so dry there

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 17 2025 Satellite imagery this morning indicates that the large system is not well-organized, with an elongated circulation oriented from north-northwest to south-southeast containing a few embedded swirls. The advisory center is a mean center of those swirls, with any associated convection well east of the position due to southwesterly shear. While it wouldn't appear so from conventional satellite data, a recent scatterometer pass indicates upwards of 40-kt winds present, generally northeast and southeast of the center of circulation. Although the system is at best marginally well defined, there is enough data to support an initial intensity of 40 kt, and the depression is named Gabrielle. Little strengthening is anticipated over the next 48 hours as Gabrielle faces an unfavorable shear environment from an upper-level trough and a possible center re-formation, and the forecast intensity remains nearly steady through Friday. By this weekend, a more conducive environment is anticipated, which should allow for gradual intensification. Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by 96 hours. The NHC intensity forecast remains fairly similar to the previous forecast cycle, but it should be noted that there remains considerable spread in the solutions and overall forecast intensity confidence is low. Gabrielle is well away from land and about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands. The current estimated motion is north-northwestward, but this is highly uncertain as the center could be re-forming to the north. The system is forecast to move northwestward to west-northwestward due to the subtropical ridge for the next several days. While the forecast has been adjusted to the north from the previous one, this is almost exclusively due to the jump in the initial position. This is a highly uncertain forecast until a better defined center forms. Based on the recent trends, this system should pass well east and north of the Windward and Leeward Islands, but interests in Bermuda should monitor forecasts during the next several days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 17.5N 46.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 18/0000Z 19.5N 48.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 18/1200Z 20.8N 50.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 19/0000Z 21.8N 52.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 19/1200Z 22.7N 54.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 20/0000Z 23.5N 56.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 20/1200Z 24.7N 58.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 96H 21/1200Z 27.4N 60.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 22/1200Z 30.0N 62.5W 75 KT 85 MPH $$ Forecaster Taylor/Blake

BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 17 2025 ...GABRIELLE FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER OPEN WATERS FOR SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 46.6W ABOUT 1085 MI...1745 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of poorly defined Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 46.6 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the north-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h). An erratic northwestward to west-northwestward motion at a reduced forward speed is anticipated across the tropical and subtropical central Atlantic during the next few days. Satellite-derived winds indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours but some gradual intensification is forecast over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center, primarily in the eastern semicircle of the storm. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

@CAPE https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/46245106/ravens-planned-take-shedeur-sanders-draft-sources-say Would have been interesting to see

What TS? Mario die lol

Good, because we need the rain. A nice, rainy day in the 70s is fine with me. Hope we can all get near an inch at least