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yoda

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  1. yoda
    Probably flyover for the American 250 F1/Grand Prix race thing in DC today
  2. yoda
    I didn't know about this until it showed up in my feed - lunar eclipse this Thursday night into Friday morning https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/in/usa/washington-dc?iso=20260828
  3. yoda
    And more rain for you
  4. yoda
    Hitjob
  5. yoda
    Its headed east... coming for you
  6. yoda
    Looks like its re-intensifying... hail core has reappeared
  7. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 2091 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0502 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Areas affected...Portions of western/central Virginia and northern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 222202Z - 230030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase in coverage while spreading eastward into this evening. The primary concern is locally damaging wind gusts. While a watch is not currently expected, trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are increasing in coverage along the Blue Ridge in western VA, potentially aided by increasing midlevel height falls preceding a broad midlevel trough approaching the region from the west. Over the next few hours, these storms should continue spreading eastward across western/central VA and northern NC. A warm, moist, and uncapped air mass downstream should support a modest increase in thunderstorm coverage. While midlevel lapse rates are limiting overall buoyancy (around 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE), an elongated midlevel hodograph (40 kt of 0-6 km shear per FCX VWP) could promote a few loosely organized clusters capable of producing locally damaging wind gusts. While the overall risk may remain too localized/sparse for a watch, trends are being monitored. ..Weinman/Thompson.. 08/22/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP... LAT...LON 36568122 36908125 37628037 38057977 38737887 39377837 39447792 39237739 38807712 38207722 36967810 36137933 35987997 36008043 36298116 36568122 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
  8. yoda
    What the... what is this Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 614 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 WVC027-031-222245- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0435.000000T0000Z-260822T2245Z/ Hardy WV-Hampshire WV- 614 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN HARDY AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES... At 613 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Wardensville, or 14 miles southeast of Romney, moving east at 10 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR SOUTHERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Rio, Yellow Spring, Delray, and Capon Springs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm is producing destructive winds and large damaging hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3913 7869 3920 7867 3926 7846 3912 7845 3911 7848 3910 7850 TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 273DEG 8KT 3917 7861 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH
  9. yoda
    Arsenal pretty much toying with Coventry
  10. yoda
    Spotter in Dover reported flying debris and rain wrapped tornado at 618pm
  11. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ Issued by National Weather Service New York NY 618 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 DEC001-202245- /O.CON.KPHI.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-260820T2245Z/ Kent DE- 618 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL KENT COUNTY... At 618 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Dover Speedway, or over Dover, moving northeast at 30 mph. Damage from the tornado has been reported in Dover. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Dover, Camden, Cheswold, Rising Sun-Lebanon, Rising Sun, Dover Base Housing, Dover Speedway, Wyoming, Little Creek, Leipsic, Rodney Village, Kent Acres, and Highland Acres. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is occurring. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3921 7561 3930 7542 3929 7542 3928 7540 3920 7538 3909 7539 3908 7558 3912 7562 TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 247DEG 28KT 3919 7550 TORNADO...OBSERVED TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
  12. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ Issued by National Weather Service New York NY 554 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 DEC001-MDC035-202215- /O.CON.KPHI.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-260820T2215Z/ Kent DE-Queen Anne`s MD- 554 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN KENT AND NORTHEASTERN QUEEN ANNE`S COUNTIES... At 553 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Hartly, or 14 miles west of Dover, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Sudlersville, Hartly, Kenton, and Templeville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado has been confirmed. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3921 7588 3925 7578 3925 7576 3926 7575 3929 7566 3909 7565 3910 7574 3914 7575 3913 7579 3911 7583 TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 262DEG 28KT 3917 7578 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
  13. yoda
    TOG heading towards Dover
  14. yoda
    Madison to Culpepper storms going up
  15. yoda
    Looks like @WxUSAF got a nice quick hit
  16. yoda
    Initiation trying near Harrisonburg
  17. yoda
    AFDLWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 331 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Severe and Tornado Watches have been issued for parts of the area until 10 PM. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Severe and Tornado Watches are in effect until 10 PM. - After a brief lull Friday, additional showers and a few thunderstorms are possible Friday night into Saturday. - Thunderstorm chances increase on Sunday before drier conditions move in early next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Severe and Tornado Watches are in effect until 10 PM. KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Our atmosphere is characterized by 90F temps and mid 70s dewpoints with up to 3500 J/KG of MUCAPE, DCAPE of 418 J/kg, 40 kt of 0-6 km shear, and 0-3 km SRH of 220 m^2/S^2 based on our 18Z IAD sounding. Storms have already exhibited mid-level rotation, particularly the one over the eastern shore of MD. Expect discrete supercells this afternoon with a sig tornado potential, particularly along and south of I-70 where 18Z gridded NUCAPS data showed a tight low-level moisture gradient. By evening, storms may congeal into an MCS or line as shown in earlier and most recent HRRR forecasts. Flash flooding risk is expected to remain low due to progressive storm motions of around 27kt, but brief intense rainfall rates of 2"/hour are possible.
  18. yoda
    90/74/99 at 3pm at DCA
  19. yoda
    Fwiw, SPC disco from the tornado watch makes it seem we see storms this evening SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to continue to develop and intensify through the afternoon and into the evening. A few of the stronger storms will be supercells capable of a risk for tornadoes, damaging gusts, and large hail. A consolidation of storms will probably occur during the evening as one or two line segments develops with an attendant risk for damaging winds and possibly a tornado.
  20. yoda
    40/20 tor probs... pretty decent for our area. 50/30 wind
  21. yoda
    The 18z sounding should be very interesting
  22. yoda
    Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1133 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026 Valid 201630Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...AND FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms are possible this afternoon into this evening across parts of the Mid Atlantic, posing a risk for a couple of tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. Large hail and isolated wind damage will be possible late today into tonight with severe storms from Nebraska into northwest Wisconsin. Scattered damaging gusts are possible over parts of the Deep South this afternoon into the early evening. ...Central Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic... Radar mosaic late this morning showed a couple of weak convectively related vorticity maxima moving east across the central and southern Appalachians (i.e., southwest PA, eastern KY). One of these lead disturbances was sampled by the WSR-88D VAD at Jackson, KY, with an upstream shortwave trough over the OH Valley moving towards the Mid-Atlantic states. The airmass across the Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas will continue to heat amid patchy but thinning cloud cover. Model guidance shows moderate buoyancy developing by early to mid afternoon from the southern Appalachians northward into the northern Mid-Atlantic region. A belt of stronger 700-500 mb westerly flow (30-45 kt) will overspread the northern half of VA northward into PA/NJ. Beneath this stronger flow, southerly low-level flow veering and strengthening with height will support hodographs favorable for organized severe storms, including supercells and organized line segments. The latest model guidance shows a few simulated supercells developing in the area centered over MD and the upper Chesapeake Bay vicinity during the 20-00z timeframe. This scenario seems plausible given some low-level enlargement to the hodograph and effective shear around 40 kt. A tendency for upscale growth into a line segment is expected as this activity moves east towards the coast during the evening. A couple of supercell tornadoes are possible with this activity, in addition to a line-embedded mesovortex and scattered damaging gusts.
  23. yoda
    Oh... um hello there CIG 1 hatching
  24. yoda
    Well thats interesting... 30%wind and 5% tornado moved westward, now includes DC metro on 1630z OTLK
  25. yoda
    LWX will do an 18z SPEC sounding per SPC request - in updated morning AFD
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