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yoda

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  1. yoda
    I dunno... I remember concerns about it. I think it was ERC and something else that weakened it
  2. yoda
    Before it weakened... wasn't Isabel a big concern for that kind of track?
  3. yoda
    @EastCoast NPZ everything okay? The desert got hit again
  4. yoda
  5. yoda
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch up until 9pm URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 653 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 205 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Eastern Kentucky Western Maryland Southeast Ohio Virginia West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Relatively widespread clusters of storms will continue to become increasingly common this afternoon, with the potential for storms to organize over time as they progress generally southeastward. Wind damage will be the most common hazard.
  6. yoda
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2232.html Mesoscale Discussion 2232 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 PM CDT Fri Sep 04 2026 Areas affected...southeast Ohio...much of West Virginia...western Maryland and northern and western Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 041731Z - 041930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered storms may produce areas of damaging gusts and marginally severe hail through the afternoon from southeast Ohio into Virginia. DISCUSSION...Cells have intensified from central into southeast OH, south of the synoptic wind shift and within the instability axis. Precipitable water is high, with moderate instability developing. Midlevel northwesterlies of 30-40 kt are also supporting cellular and mixed storm modes including small bows. Given the destabilizing air mass downstream of the existing storms, gradual upscale growth may occur as outflow production/storm coverage increases. ..Jewell/Guyer.. 09/04/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX... LAT...LON 38978248 39418172 39698096 39767982 39577793 39077719 38627744 37967822 37507916 37218080 37368163 37828223 38138248 38978248 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
  7. yoda
    Sounds like severe thunderstorm watch coming soon for areas west of i95 corridor per MCD
  8. yoda
    Radarscope had rotation in the Garrett County cell which just got svr warned
  9. yoda
    Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1052 AM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No wholesale changes to the forecast this morning. Monitoring convection upstream over Ohio (again) as that is on pace to affect the region with a damaging/severe wind threat later this afternoon into this evening.
  10. yoda
    Though morning AFD from LWX suggests otherwise DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Hot temperatures, high humidity, and severe thunderstorm chances again today into Saturday. Additional showers and thunderstorms, possibly severe, are anticipated again this afternoon/evening. Timing is a bit uncertain given the subtle waves aloft, but increasing low-level convergence paired with another upper impulse may very well result in another round or two of storms with a damaging wind risk. The latest guidance has nudged the threat a bit further north due to slower progression of the cold front, encompassing areas as far north as I- 70 or the Mason-Dixon line . While storms can develop over the region and congeal before moving southeast, areas in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia will need to be monitored to see if anything grows upscale in those areas in linear segments and dives southeast. Highs today will range from the upper 80s to lower 90s with dew points in the lower to middle 70s resulting in heat indices in the upper 90s to lower 100s. This will be just shy of heat headline criteria (except in Charlottesville and surrounding Albemarle/Nelson Counties). The potential for early day clouds to offset heating precludes enough confidence to issue any further heat headlines at this time, though it will be unusually hot and humid for early September regardless.
  11. yoda
    So today's final severe weather threat should be more SW of DC metro?
  12. yoda
    And now the usual "vehicles stalled/stuck in high water" reports
  13. yoda
    Now seeing an LSR of a tree into a house in the 3000 block
  14. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 2227 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1056 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026 Areas affected...northern Virginia and central Maryland Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 652... Valid 040356Z - 040500Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 652 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind threat is increasing for the greater Washington D.C. area. DISCUSSION...Rapid thunderstorm development occurred late this evening in the vicinity of Washington D.C. Here, warm-air advection thunderstorms combined with increasing convergence from an outflow boundary from an earlier storm. The result has been a rapid increase in hydrometeors aloft, which will support heavy water loaded downdrafts/downbursts capable of wind damage across the greater Washington D.C. area. At 0348Z Washington National airport measured a 64 mph wind gust. This threat will continue to move east over the next hour. ..Marsh.. 09/04/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX... LAT...LON 39067724 39157691 39117648 38947629 38777634 38617657 38647704 38767728 39067724 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
  15. yoda
    DC metro got its own personal MCD lol
  16. yoda
    LSR says fire department reported trees down on Woodlawn Ave in Falls Church
  17. yoda
    62mph gust in Arcola per mesonet
  18. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1137 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... The District of Columbia... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Prince Georges County in central Maryland... Arlington County in northern Virginia... The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia... East central Fairfax County in northern Virginia... The City of Alexandria in northern Virginia... * Until 1215 AM EDT. * At 1137 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near North Potomac to near Mclean to near Newington, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Arlington, Alexandria, Rockville, Bethesda, Bowie, Annandale, Clinton, Olney, Springfield, College Park, Fort Washington, Greenbelt, Langley Park, Beltsville, Fort Hunt, Vienna, Groveton, Forestville, Falls Church, and Huntington. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3909 7683 3907 7684 3904 7675 3902 7675 3898 7670 3887 7668 3881 7671 3879 7670 3878 7672 3877 7670 3873 7670 3872 7727 3892 7725 3892 7716 3911 7711 3913 7692 3912 7691 3913 7689 TIME...MOT...LOC 0337Z 260DEG 37KT 3908 7720 3894 7713 3876 7722 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
  19. yoda
    Lol raining. Figures
  20. yoda
    Granted this was over an hour ago... but this isnt too bad looking
  21. yoda
  22. yoda
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 652 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 840 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Maryland Southern New Jersey Far Southeast Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Far Eastern West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 840 PM until 200 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms capable of scattered damaging wind gusts will be possible this evening and overnight.
  23. yoda
    Actually for i95 corridor and Delmarva
  24. yoda
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch up until 2am
  25. yoda
    Or..... could just wait a few more minutes lol
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