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https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2108603993190478158

https://x.com/severeweatherEU/status/2108462156245078159 SWE | severe-weather.eu @severeweatherEU Can rapid October snow advance in Siberia predict your winter? This is a famous forecast signal for cold winters in the U.S. and Europe, so we tested it across 47 winters of data and 4 different datasets. The results were surprising, and they change how we should read this October’s snow surge as we head into Winter 2026/2027. The first week of October was a bit slower than normal. But the forecast shows a big surge of snow coming in the next two weeks. If it verifies, this would be one of the faster October snow advances of the last three decades, roughly in the top 15% for this period of the month. Keep in mind that this is still an early look, as most of the data comes from the ECMWF forecast, which updates several times per day. The true final number will only be known after October 31. So, what happened with winter after similar October snow advances in the past? Below are the six years with the most similar October snow advances so far, and the winter AO that followed. The following winter AO was negative three times, near neutral once, and positive twice. Three of these years, 2002, 2019, and 2023, also had active El Niño, like this year, but they still produced three very different winters. So on its own, a fast snow advance this October tells us little about the coming winter in the modern era.

Coastal again possibly

More warmth as we near next weekend.

Models not doing well. Going to be a long winter.

I know Ai was.

Trying to get a mow in today and Friday morning before overseeding and areation. You think Friday morning looks good for a second lower cutting prior to areation? Going in to work at 2:00 PM today. Yeah and here is exactly what you mentioned.

Cloudy again this morning. The forecast is for mostly sunny skies

WPC does not agree

Sun was forecasted, but as usual a busted forecast. Has happened all year.

Wonder if the PDO in November or December gets to slightly positive. August 2026 -1.11 July 2026 -1.35 June 2026 -1.32 May 2026 -1.64 April 2026 -1.28 March 2026 -1.18 February 2026 -0.79 January 2026 -0.87 December 2025 -0.39 November 2025 -1.02 October 2025 -1.82 September 2025 -1.71 August 2025 -2.54 July 2025 -3.83 June 2025 -2.62

Multiple days of 80s coming up. Upper 80s for DC is also possible on Friday . After next week's cold shot warmth returns. Then back and forth.

Ying Yang

Getting pounded here one wave after another, 1.68 in of rain at the current time

Still going to make the West turn, later tonight and tomorrow more rains. But yeah, so far more Nina like to a degree.

Wow, and more high tides to arrive.

Some videos out of there look bad. Be safe !

Wow, just spinning away. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

I believe the Inlet at First and Second streets and the curve of the beach there causes the effect of the exsisting incoming waves and swells to enhance the erosion.

You think that looks bad, well look at this from 15 th Street , North Wildwood looking up the beach towards 26 th street. Appears large chunks of the beach has washed away, you can see the steep drop off. several feet of sand missing, maybe more. The damage is extensive. Was just there last week surfing and it was a great day. The storm will continue to cycle for the next 36 hours. More damage and loss of beach to continue. https://northwildwood.com/north-wildwood-surf-cams/ choose the 15 th street animation on this link